Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2008

Gale Warning 732, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 18, 2008

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 18, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 36 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2008, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 20, 2008, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 190003
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THU. A
STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WED NIGHT AND THEN
TRACK SLOWLY EASTWARD ON THU. A 1001 MB LOW WILL FORM ALONG THE 
FRONT WED NIGHT AND MOVE TO 150 NM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA THU AFTERNOON
AT 984 MB.

$$

PKZ150-191500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO N WIND 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 50 KT DECREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.

.WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 16
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-191500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-191500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-191500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-191500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-191500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-191500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-191500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-191500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-191500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-191500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EAST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND
20 KT WEST OF THE ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-191500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$
3 follow-up statements
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 191254
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH THU MORNING. 
ON THU MORNING A 990 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA. 
IT WILL THEN STRENGTHEN TO 972 MB AND MOVE TO 330 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA
BY FRI MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-200300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-200300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-200300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-200300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-200300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF 
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF CAPE
MENDENHALL. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-200300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-200300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-200300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-200300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-200300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-200300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-200300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 200002
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL STRENGTHEN TO 975 MB AS IT MOVES TO 350 NM
NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA THU NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 200 NM
NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AT 980 MB.

$$

PKZ150-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 17
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-201500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 14
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-201500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-201500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-201500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF CAPE
MENDENHALL. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-201500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10
KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-201500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-201500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING W WIND 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-201500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF THE ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. E OF THE
ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-201500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 19 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$
000 
FZAK52 PAFC 201230
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
AND DISSIPATE BY FRI MORNING. A 999 MB LOW 160 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA
WILL STRENGTHEN TO 971 MB AND MOVE TO 400 NM NORTH OF ADAK BY FRI
MORNING. IT WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 979 MB AND MOVE TO 140 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAINT PAUL BY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-210300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-210300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-210300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-210300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF 
CAPE MENDENHALL. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN 
AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-210300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-210300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. WIND BECOMING SW 35 
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-210300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-210300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-210300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 20 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 18, 1:35 PM AKST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 1:35 PM AKST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
135 PM AKST TUE NOV 18 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH WITH EMBEDDED
LOW COMPLEX IS CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF OF ALASKA. A TRIPLE POINT
LOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THIS CIRCULATION QUICKLY STRENGTHENED THIS
MORNING AND HAS NOW BECOME OCCLUDED. THE FRONT IS BEING PUSHED NORTH
AND WEST INTO THE GULF WHILE THE LOW BEGINS TO CURVE TOWARD THE
SOUTHWEST. A RIDGE DOMINATES THE BERING WITH A TROUGH UNDERCUTTING
THE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH. ANOTHER HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH IS CENTERED
OVER EASTERN RUSSIA WITH A 165KT JET HEADED FOR THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE NO SURFACE OBSERVATIONS TO
CONFIRM THIS...BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ALL OF THE MODELS ARE
TOO WEAK WITH THE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE GULF. THE MARINE FORECAST
WINDS ARE ALREADY HIGHER THAN MODEL GUIDANCE...SO WONT NEED TO MAKE
MANY ADJUSTMENTS. THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE INITIALLY IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH LOCATION OF THE MULTIPLE LOWS...BUT DIVERGE AS THEY CONSOLIDATE
INTO A SINGLE CENTER WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GFS SHOWS GOOD RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY AND HAVE STUCK CLOSE TO ITS SOLUTION THROUGH THURSDAY.
THERE HAS BEEN A GENERAL TREND OF PUSHING THE FRONT FARTHER NORTH
AND WEST...SO WILL INCREASE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF
COASTAL AREAS.

MODELS SHOW POOR RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY WITH LOWS APPROACHING THE
WESTERN BERING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THUS...NO MAJOR CHANGES WILL BE
MADE TO EXISTING FORECAST. THERE IS NOW GENERAL AGREEMENT IN
DEVELOPMENT OF TRIPLE POINT LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND MOVEMENT
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY...SO WILL TREND A
LITTLE MORE HEAVILY TOWARD THIS SOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY
AS FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF SHOULD HELP PRODUCE ENOUGH MIXING TO
EITHER WEAKEN OR BREAK THE LOW LEVEL INVERSION IN PLACE OVER MUCH OF
SOUTHCENTRAL. THEREFORE...EXPECT ANY FOG THAT DEVELOPS TONIGHT TO
BE LOCALIZED. PRECIPITATION WILL REACH KODIAK ISLAND EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING IN THE FORM OF SNOW AND ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW.

TEMPERATURES ON KODIAK ISLAND ARE CURRENTLY NEAR FREEZING AND DONT
EXPECT MUCH CHANGE BY THE TIME SNOW STARTS. WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR
ABOVE FREEZING DONT ANTICIPATE VISIBILITIES WILL GET LOW ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS...BUT SOMEWHERE AROUND 1 MILE IS LIKELY.
THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE AS IT REACHES THE ISLAND. WHILE THE SURFACE
FLOW WILL REMAIN NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW RIGHT ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL
HAVE A NORTHEAST COMPONENT. THERE MIGHT BE JUST ENOUGH WARM AIR TO
MIX IN A LITTLE RAIN ALONG THE GULF...BUT PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. SNOW WILL ALSO OVERSPREAD THE PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND REGION ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP
IT GENERALLY LIGHT. THE BEST POSSIBILITY FOR ACCUMULATION LOOKS TO
BE WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WHICH WILL BE IN AN AREA OF STRONGER
UPPER LEVEL VERTICAL MOTION AND WILL HAVE AN UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO
THE WINDS ABOVE THE SURFACE. IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT FOR
PRECIPITATION TO MAKE IT OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. VERY DRY AIR
ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS WILL CONTINUALLY BE REINFORCED BY
NORTHERLY FLOW SO ANY PRECIPITATION T5HAT FALLS FROM ABOVE WILL
EVAPORATE BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. AT MOST THERE MIGHT BE A FEW
FLURRIES RIGHT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LOW REMAIN OVER
THE GULF. THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL REMAIN
STRONG...RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF LOCALLY STRONG GAP WINDS
ALONG THE GULF COAST.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA/ALASKA PENINSULA...A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ESPECIALLY ACROSS BRISTOL BAY AND THE
ALASKA PENINSULA. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE WILL THEN DROP DOWN
FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY RESULTING IN MODERATE
TO STRONG COLD ADVECTION ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THIS WILL PRODUCE
MORE WIDESPREAD GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. CONDITIONS WILL
REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE BERING WILL GRADUALLY
BE PINCHED AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE GULF ON THE EAST AND A STRONG
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL REACH THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS LATE WEDNESDAY AND TRACK TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
PRIBILOFS FRIDAY. A LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND
TRACK ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THURSDAY...BUT THERE IS LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THIS SOLUTION AND THE EVOLUTION OF THE SYSTEM AFTER
THIS POINT. MODELS INDICATE WINDS IN THE STORM FORCE TO NEAR
HURRICANE FORCE STRENGTH...BUT FOR NOW WILL MAINTAIN WINDS NO
HIGHER THAN GALE FORCE.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THERE IS A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXTENDED
TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...CURRENT MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE A MEAN
TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE BERING SEA WITH UPPER JET SETTING UP JUST
SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND THEN UP INTO THE GULF. IF ACCURATE...THIS
WILL RESULT IN AN ACTIVE STORM PATTERN FOR MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...130 132 138 140 150.
         GALE WARNING...120 121 141 155 160 165 175 176 180.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 08

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 18, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC36 hr
Nov 18, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 18, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 18, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC4 days
Nov 19, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Nov 19, 4:00 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC
Nov 19, 9:25 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC31 hr
Nov 19, 2:46 PM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFC4 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2008Every gale warning in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.