Gale Warning 606, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 292152
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 999 MB LOW NEAR 52N 147W WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE SOUTH AND WEAKEN.

$$

PKZ411-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 300230 AAA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
630 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-301400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 999 MB LOW NEAR 58N 163W WILL DISSIPATE NEAR 56N 158W WED NIGHT. 
A 979 MB LOW NEAR 56N 164E WED NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 61N 176E AT 980 MB
FRI AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BERING SEA FROM THE WEST
WED NIGHT THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-301400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT WED OCT 29 2008

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 301054
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-310200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A WEATHER FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY MORNING
THE LOW WILL MOVE TO 60N 175E AT 977 MB.  THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL BE IN THE EASTERN BERING ON FRIDAY MORNING.  BY SATURDAY
THE WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE.
$$

PKZ411-310200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-310200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-310200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-310200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

..GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 302301
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-311400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 974 MB LOW NEAR 58N 167E WILL MOVE TO 61N 176E AT 981 MB FRI
AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE TO 65N 179E AT 991 MB SAT AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING SEA THU
NIGHT AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRI.

$$

PKZ411-311400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-311400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-311400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-311400-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT THU OCT 30 2008

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 311101
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 31 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-010200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 978 MB LOW NEAR 59N 173E WILL WEAKEN TO 997 MB AND MOVE TO 62N 
176W BY SUN MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER THE SOUTHERN
BERING SEA BEGINNING FRI AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-010200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 31 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-010200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 31 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-010200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 31 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-010200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 31 2008

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
130 PM AKDT TUE OCT 28 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ARE POSITIONED
OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA /NE PACIFIC AND OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK WITH
A STRONG RIDGE IN BETWEEN...CENTERED WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. A
165 KT UPPER JET EXTENDS FROM THE NW PACIFIC UP AND OVER TOP OF THE
RIDGE (INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA) AND THEN DIVES SOUTHWARD INTO
THE NE PACIFIC BEFORE RETURNING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA.
THERE ARE TWO DEEP VERTICALLY STACKED LOWS CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
FORECAST AREA. THE FIRST IS OVER THE EASTERN GULF AND HEADED NNE
TOWARD SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS TIGHTENED ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST...RESULTING IN GUSTY GAP WINDS. THE DIFFERENCE
IN AIRMASS TEMPERATURE BETWEEN INLAND AND AIR OVER THE GULF IS ALSO
CONTRIBUTING TO STRONG WINDS. THE SECOND MAJOR LOW IS TRACKING ACROSS
THE NORTHERN BERING (OVER TOP OF THE RIDGE) WHILE AN OCCLUDED FRONT
PUSHES ONSHORE OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE COMBINATION OF A SHORT-WAVE
RIDGE OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND LITTLE PUSH BEHIND THE FRONT MEANS
THE INLAND PROGRESSION OF PRECIPITATION IS VERY SLOW. SNOW AND
BLOWING SNOW HAS IS OCCURRING ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHERE
TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 20S AND WINDS ARE GUSTING 40 TO 50 MPH.

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF CAPE NEWENHAM OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE COAST
INDICATE VISIBILITY HAS REMAINED 1 MILE OR MORE. SLOWLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES WILL PREVENT ANY POSSIBILITY OF SUSTAINED BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IS PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
GALE FORCE WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT
THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM FORECAST PERIOD. MODEL RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY
IS ALSO GOOD...SO WILL STICK CLOSE TO CURRENT FORECAST WITH JUST
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL...LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIE DOWN TONIGHT
AS THE EASTERN GULF LOW WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND OVER SOUTHEAST
ALASKA. IT WILL BE ANOTHER VERY COLD NIGHT ACROSS THE REGION UNDER
CLEAR SKIES. THE OCCLUDED FRONT OUT WEST WILL APPROACH KODIAK ISLAND
LATE TONIGHT AND FALL APART AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE KENAI PENINSULA
WEDNESDAY. THE BERING LOW WILL THEN CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TO
SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CAUSING FLOW OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH. IN ADDITION TO THESE FACTORS
THERE IS ALSO A DEEP LAYER OF COLD DRY AIR CURRENTLY OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL. THEREFORE...EVERYTHING POINTS TOWARD A DRY FORECAST
FOR INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL WITH JUST A PERIOD OF CLOUDINESS. EXPECT
SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO MAKE IT TO COASTAL SECTIONS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. CONDITIONS WILL THEN DRY OUT AS THE LOW PULLS
AWAY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE FRONT WILL FALL
APART FAIRLY QUICKLY TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO
TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD BRISTOL BAY. IT WONT MAKE MUCH MORE
PROGRESSION INLAND...SO MOST OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AS WELL AS
FAR INLAND BRISTOL BAY WILL REMAIN DRY. ONSHORE FLOW ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL PROVIDE JUST ENOUGH
WARM AIR TO CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN AND END THE ONGOING BLOWING SNOW.
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE BEHIND THE BERING LOW WILL MAINTAIN A
THREAT FOR A FEW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY BEFORE
DRYING OUT ON FRIDAY.

ALEUTIANS...STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE WEST OF THE LOW CENTER...THEN
DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS THE BERING
LOW WEAKENS AND TRACKS ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA. THERE IS LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF THERMAL ADVECTION ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW...SO
WINDS WILL DIMINISH IN STEP WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT. A RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER THE BERING OUT AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF
RUSSIA...BUT WILL QUICKLY MOVE EASTWARD AS A STRONG JET PUSHES A
FRONT EASTWARD ACROSS THE BERING ON THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE TROUGH CROSSING THE BERING AT THE END OF
THE WEEK WILL JOIN UP WITH THE GULF TROUGH OVER THE WEEKEND.
THUS...IF THERE IS ANY CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHCENTRAL IT
WILL COME FROM THE SOUTHEAST...WHICH IS WHAT THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
INDICATE. A SPLIT JET OUT WEST WILL MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE
TIMING AND LOCATION OF FEATURES...BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE ANY
MAJOR SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 165 170 176 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB OCT 08