Gale Warning 5, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 060001
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SAT JAN 5 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-061500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
GUSTY NORTHWESTERLIES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN BERING
THROUGH MON. A 984 MB LOW NEAR 46N 175E WILL MOVE TO 53N 173E 
SUN MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA SUN EVENING. 

$$

PKZ411-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AST SAT JAN 5 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AST SAT JAN 5 2008

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUNDAY NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AST SAT JAN 5 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AST SAT JAN 5 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 061257
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-070300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 985 MB LOW AT 52N 174E WILL DRIFT NORTHWEST OVER THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA SUNDAY NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ411-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT BUILDING TO 12 TO 23
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 TO 20 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

.TODAY...E TO NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 10 FT. HIGHEST WINDS 
AND SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 11 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E TO SE WIND 15 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 11 FT. HIGHEST WINDS 
AND SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE TO SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS
AND SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E TO SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 12 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS WEST. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N TO NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND
SEAS EAST. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND 
SEAS EAST. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS
EAST. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK62 PAFC 070001
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-071500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
GUSTY NORTHERLIES WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN BERING THROUGH
TUE. A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN WHILE
REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH MON. 

$$

PKZ411-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-071500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AST SUN JAN 6 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST FRI JAN 4 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. SOME DISCORD REGARDING THE POSITION OF A
NUMBER OF MINOR LOWS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. ALSO ALL MODELS HAVING
DIFFICULTY RESOLVING THE LOW WEST OF SHEMYA BUT SITUATION STILL MUCH
IMPROVED SINCE YESTERDAY. GFS PREFERRED FOR OPERATIONAL PURPOSES.

.UPPER LEVELS...
THE COLD CORE LOW REMAINS ANCHORED OVER NORTHERN ALASKA. A BROAD
TROUGH EXTENDS SOUTHWARD FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC. UPPER LEVEL RIDGES EXIST BOTH OVER WESTERN CANADA
AND THE BERING SEA.

.ANALYSIS AND SHORT TERM FORECAST...

WEAK SURFACE PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IS CONDUCIVE TO
AREAS OF STRATUS AND PATCHY FOG. WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IS PREVENTING DAY TIME TEMPERATURES FROM RISING
MUCH ABOVE THEIR OVERNIGHT LOWS. MORE OF THE SAME EXPECTED TOMORROW.

SHORT WAVE ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA IS KICKING OFF SOME LIGHT SNOW
FROM THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.

THE 976 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND IS THE PRIMARY LOW IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA. IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND
WEAKEN TO 985 MB BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL MAINLY AS SNOW SHOWERS AND WILL BE LIMITED TO THE OUTER PORTIONS
OF THE GULF COAST.

BROAD NORTHWESTERLY FLOW EXTENDS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
BERING SEA AS WELL AS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ALASKA PENINSULA ALEUTIAN
RANGE AND WESTERN KODIAK ISLAND. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS THROUGH
CHANNELED AREAS LIKELY TO REACH GALE FORCE AT TIMES. COLD AIR
ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS EMBEDDED IN THE FLOW MAY DRAMATICALLY DROP
VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH BETWEEN NOW AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A 980 MB LOW IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC SAT AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO 270
NM WEST OF SHEMYA BY SUN MORNING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN CENTRAL
PRESSURE. THE LOW WILL THEN DRIFT NORTHWESTWARD TO BE OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA BY SUN EVENING. ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN
CONSIDERABLE DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS ON THE MOVEMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM OVER THE LAST FEW RUNS ALL MODELS ARE CONSISTENT TODAY ON
MAINTAINING THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE ALOFT AND KEEPING THE SURFACE
LOW FURTHER TO THE WEST. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BE LIMITED TO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS. EXPECT MIXED RAIN AND SNOW WITH THIS LOW FROM ADAK
WESTWARD. THE REMAINDER OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL EXPERIENCE ONLY
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
NO MAJOR SHIFTS EXPECTED IN THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS. SEMI PERMANENT SURFACE LOW PRESSURE LIKELY TO PERSIST IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. ALSO NO SIGNIFICANT LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEMS EXPECTED TO ADVANCE PAST THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 121 130 132 138 150 155 175 AND 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ASB JAN 08