Gale Warning 498, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 241803 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1005 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

UPDATED ZONE 141

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW 40 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 999 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU NIGHT. THE LOW 
THEN DRIFTS TO 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1001 MB FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF KALGIN ISLAND.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
1005 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 242206 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
205 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

UPDATED ZONE 121

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-250200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1004 MB LOW 40 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 999 MB AS IT
MOVES TO 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THU NIGHT. THE LOW 
THEN DRIFTS TO 200 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 1001 MB FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ120-250200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 
10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-250200-
RESURRECTION BAY
205 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-250200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT OR LESS. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-250200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-250200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-250200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-250200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 4
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-250200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MID MORNING. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS S OF KALGIN ISLAND.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-250200-
KACHEMAK BAY
1005 AM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 242351 CCA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

CORRECTED ZONE 120 HEADLINE

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 120 NM SOUTHWEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL 
MOVE TO 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA AT 1003 MB MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-251400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-251400-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 15 KT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
VARIABLE WIND 10 KT NIGHT AND MORNING. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.MON AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-251400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR THE GULF 
THIS EVENING. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR THE GULF. RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-251400-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 1 FOOT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 

$$

PKZ130-251400-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-251400-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-251400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN 
THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-251400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT TOWARD MORNING. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT OR LESS BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-251400-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT THU JUL 24 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 
VARIABLE 10 KT NIGHT AND MORNING. SEAS 2 TO 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 251153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 280 NM EAST OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN TO 1001 MB AND MOVE TO
300 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA SATURDAY MORNING.  IT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 1006 MB BY SUNDAY MORNING.
$$

PKZ120-260200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-260200-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-260200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS.  

$$

PKZ129-260200-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING TO LESS THAN 1 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-260200-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-260200-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-260200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-260200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT
BECOMING 1 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-260200-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI JUL 25 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKDT WED JUL 23 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
12Z GFS IS IN CLOSER AGREEMENT WITH THE ECMWF THAN IN THE PREVIOUS
RUN.  THE ECMWF HAS BEEN MORE CONSISTENT RUN TO RUN THAN THE GFS AND
HAS BEEN THE MODEL OF CHOICE.  THE NAM CONTINUES TO DIFFER FROM THE
OTHER MODELS WITH THE GULF LOW.  THE NAM SOLUTION HAS A STRONGER LOW
ABOUT 200 NM EAST OF THE OTHER MODELS BY FRI MORNING.  THE PLAN TODAY
IS TO STICK WITH THE ECMWF AND GFS SOLUTION.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE PREDOMINATE UPPER AIR FEATURE IS A COLD UPPER LOW CENTERED
OVER BETHEL AND DIGGING DOWN TOWARD THE GULF OF ALASKA. A STRONG
SHORTWAVE IN THE SUSITNA VALLEY CONTINUES TO PRODUCE WIDESPREAD RAIN
IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WAVE IS MOVING EAST TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY. A WEAK CIRCULATION OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS IS MOVING
SLOWLY EAST.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP
MOISTURE INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES TO KODIAK
ISLAND BY THURSDAY MORNING SHOWERS WILL END OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND. DRIER AIR WILL MOVE OVER THE WEST COAST ON THU AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING. FURTHER WEST WEAK LOW WILL
PERSIST OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH THURSDAY THEN MOVE TO THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS FRIDAY.  EXPECT OCCASIONAL RAIN FOG AND
LOW CLOUDS WITH THIS LOW. FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST
OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING UNDER A RIDGE THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE WEAK LOW MOVING TO THE GULF FROM WESTERN ALASKA WILL COMBINE IN
THE CENTRAL GULF WITH ANOTHER WEAK LOW MOVING IN FROM SOUTH OF THE
GULF ON THURSDAY.  THIS LOW WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THEN MOVE
SLOWLY TOWARD THE PANHANDLE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  DRIER AND
WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FRIDAY AS THIS LOW MOVES
EAST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THERE IS STILL A LOT OF INCONSISTENCY IN THE MODELS FOR THE WEEKEND.
THERE WILL BE AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN GULF TO
ANOTHER UPPER LOW OVER NORTON SOUND DURING THE WEEKEND. THIS
INCREASES INSTABILITY AND THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND CLOUDS.  THE
POSSIBLE GOOD NEWS IS THAT SOUTH CENTRAL MAY BE IN A BREAK IN BETWEEN
THE TWO LOWS.  SINCE THE LOWS ARE WEAK AND THE GUIDANCE IS
INCONSISTENT IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL WHICH WILL WIN OUT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...ASH FALL ADVISORY ZONE 185.
MARINE...GALE 120 132 150.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

RHH JUL 08