Gale Warning 481, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 260109 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
510 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

UPDATED ZONE 150 160

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261400-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 988 MB LOW NEAR COLD BAY WILL REMAIN STATIONARY AND WEAKEN TO 998
MB BY LATE THU AND THEN MOVE TO 360 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD AT 1006 MB BY
LATE FRI. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA THU AND FRI.

$$

PKZ150-261400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
510 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-261400-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-261400-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
510 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-261400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-261400-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-261400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-261400-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-261400-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-261400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-261400-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-261400-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-261400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI THROUGH FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 261151
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-270200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 996 MB LOW NEAR COLD BAY WILL MOVE OVER CHIGNIK AT 1003 MB THU
MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
BERING AND ALEUTIANS WILL MOVE EAST TO OVER THE EASTERN BERING AND
ALEUTIANS BY LATE FRI NIGHT. A 983 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 50N 175E LATE
FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-270200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-270200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-270200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-270200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-270200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-270200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-270200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-270200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-270200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-270200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DENSE FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-270200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-270200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT THU JUN 26 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
200 PM AKDT WED JUN 25 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT. NAM AND GFS ARE USED FOR THE FIRST TWO
DAYS.  MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE AFTER TWO DAYS.  WE STAYED CLOSE TO
CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS SHIFT SOLUTION WHICH WAS THE ECMWF.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A VERTICAL LOW NEAR COLD BAY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU
THEN WEAKENS AND MOVES EAST AND OVER THE SOUTHERN YUKON TERRITORY BY
SAT NIGHT.  THE INTERIOR THERMAL TROUGH STRENGTHENS THU THROUGH SAT.
A WEAK RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE GULF SAT AND SUN.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH CENTRAL...THE FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH THE GULF AND
EVENTUALLY STALL OUT AND DISSIPATE ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT
FOR MUCH OF THE GULF...ALONG WITH LOCALLY GUSTY SOUTH TO EAST WINDS
IN THE USUAL CHANNELED TERRAIN AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL. RAINFALL WITH
THE FRONT  WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ALONG THE COAST WITH DOWNSLOPE
SOUTHEAST FLOW KEEPING MOST INLAND AREAS DRY BUT CLOUDY. ISOLATED
THUNDER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EASTERN ALASKA RANGE.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...THE BRUNT OF THE RAIN WILL STAY NEAR THE COAST
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. EVEN THERE...PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LIGHT BECAUSE OF DOWNSLOPE SOUTHEAST FLOW. GUSTY WINDS ARE A
CONCERN ESPECIALLY FOR THE BRISTOL BAY AREA TONIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING THU.

ALEUTIANS AND BERING...GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN WILL SURROUND THIS
LOW AND GRADUALLY DECREASE BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW BEGINS
TO WEAKEN. BY THU EVENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TO THE
BERING BRINGING MORE FOG AND LOW CLOUDS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
A TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHWEST AK AND NORTH OF THE AK RANGE WILL BRING
MORE INSTABILITY TO THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY BY FRIDAY. OTHERWISE SHOWERS
WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE MAINLAND THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTH CENTRAL. COOL CLOUDY ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST
OVER SOUTH CENTRAL OVER THE WEEKEND WITH THE ONSHORE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RESULTING FROM THE GULF RIDGE AND INTERIOR TROUGH.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...    GALE  120 125 130 132 138 140 160 172 351 352 413 414
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

RHH JUN 08