Gale Warning 31, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 261941 CCA
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

CORRECTED SYNOPSIS

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-270300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
THROUGH SAT NIGHT. A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS KODIAK SUN
THEN TO THE NORTH GULF COAST SUN NIGHT.
$$

PKZ351-270300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-270300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 270101
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-271500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TO MOVE OUT
TONIGHT. A FRONT WILL MOVE TO KODIAK THIS SUN MORNING THEN TO THE
NORTHERN GULF COAST SUN NIGHT. A 991 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 58N 150W
MON AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ351-271500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-271500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST SAT JAN 26 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 271246
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-280300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A FRONT WILL MOVE TO KODIAK THIS MORNING THEN TO THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST SUN NIGHT. A 992 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 57N 150W EARLY MON
MORNING THEN MOVES TO 55N 140W AT 990 MB BY EARLY TUE MORNING.
$$

PKZ351-280300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-280300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 280110
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-281500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST GULF TONIGHT AND THEN STALL
OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MON MORNING. A 988 MB LOW WILL FORM ALONG THE
FRONT NEAR 58N 152W SUN NIGHT. THE LOW WILL TRACK TO 56N 143W MON
NIGHT AND INTO THE PACIFIC ON TUE.
$$

PKZ351-281500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ352-281500-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 PM AST SUN JAN 27 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

000 
FZAK61 PAFC 281251
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AST MON JAN 28 2008

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-290300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 989 MB LOW NEAR 58N 151W WILL TRACK TO 55N 141W EARLY TUE MORNING
AND INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC ON TUE. A 970 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 53N
157W LATE TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ351-290300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W
400 AM AST MON JAN 28 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ352-290300-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W
400 AM AST MON JAN 28 2008

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM AST FRI JAN 25 2008

.ANALYSIS...LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF BROUGHT PLENTY OF SNOWFALL TO
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA LAST NIGHT. A SHORT WAVE IS WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND
THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO BRING LIGHT SNOW TO THE AREA TODAY. COLD AIR
FILTERING IN OVER THE MAINLAND TODAY. THE LOW WILL REMAIN IN THE
NORTHEAST GULF TONIGHT AND PULL OFF TOMORROW. CLEARING SHOULD START
IN EARNEST OVER MUCH OF THE MAINLAND AND SOUTH CENTRAL THIS EVENING.
THE LOW SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA PUSHING A STRONG FRONT
ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT TO
MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. THIS WILL PUSH
THE COLD AIR NORTH ONCE AGAIN OVER THE BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS HANDLE THE LOW OVER THE GULF VERY SIMILAR
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AND SLIDE IT SOUTHEAST TO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST SUNDAY MORNING. THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN BERING
AND EASTERN SIBERIA TO SHIFT OVER THE GULF AND MAINLAND SATURDAY AND
BE PUSHED OUT OF THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS MOVEMENT IS ALL DRIVEN
BY A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
CURRENTLY. THIS LOW TO PROGRESS INTO THE WESTERN BERING SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND SETTLE INTO THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH MONDAY.
DIFFERENCES START TO BEGIN MONDAY NIGHT BETWEEN MODELS. THE
DIFFERENCE IS FROM RUN TO RUN AND BETWEEN THE MODELING CENTERS. A
STRONG SHORT WAVE TO MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING MONDAY NIGHT AND
TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TUESDAY WITH THE GFS SOLUTION WHILE ANOTHER
PIECE STAYS WELL SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND MOVES INTO THE GULF
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF AND UKMET KEEP A MODERATED SOLUTION WITH ONE
LOW MOVING TO THE CHAIN AND SLIDING INTO THE GULF WEDNESDAY. MORE
DIFFERENCES RESULT IN THE BERING AS WELL FROM THIS SCENARIO.
THEREFORE...THE UNCERTAINTY RAISES BEYOND TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND WE
HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN THE FORECAST AS A RESULT.

AT THE UPPER LEVELS...A TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE KAMCHATKA AREA
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH SOME LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN BERING
AND GULF. THE FLOW BECOMES MUCH MORE ZONAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. THE TROUGH RE-ESTABLISHES THURSDAY NEAR KAMCHATKA AND
REMAINS THROUGH THE WEEK.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE...THE LOW IN THE NORTHEAST GULF TO
DEEPEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN GULF
THROUGH TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD OVER THE
MAINLAND AS WELL WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION IN NORTHWEST FLOW. THE FRONT
SIDE OF THE UPPER RIDGE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A STRONG
JET. THIS WILL INCREASE NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA. GALES TO STORMS
WILL BE PRESENT OVER THE MARINE AREAS. WITH ALL THESE FACTORS...WE
HAVE ISSUED MANY WIND HEADLINES. THE BEST SPOT FOR WARNING IS THE
THOMPSON PASS AND COPPER RIVER DELTA AREAS. THESE CONDITIONS TO
LESSEN SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW PUSHES TO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTE
ISLANDS. OTHER AREAS WILL BE DRY AND COLD WITH SOME BREEZY
CONDITIONS. COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS TO REMAIN THROUGH SUNDAY EXCEPT
KODIAK. THE LOW IN THE BERING PUSHES A FRONT TO KODIAK SUNDAY AND
WARMS THEM A BIT. THE FRONT TO GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH SUNDAY/SUNDAY
NIGHT. THE FRONT WEAKENS MONDAY WITH PRECIPITATION SLIDING INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL.

WESTERN MAINLAND AND ALASKA PENINSULA...COLD WESTERLY FLOW CURRENTLY
OVER THE AREA. CLEARING TO TAKE PLACE THIS EVENING. SOME BREEZINESS
TO REMAIN NEAR BRISTOL BAY THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO LIGHTEN. THEREFORE...WITH THE SNOW FROM LAST NIGHT AND THIS
MORNING...MAY SEE SOME AREAS OF FOG. A FRONT FROM THE LARGE BERING
LOW TO REACH THE AKPEN AND COAST SATURDAY EVENING. EXPECT ENOUGH WIND
AND NOT ENOUGH WARMING...SO WILL ISSUE BLIZZARD WATCH FOR THE
KUSKOKWIM COAST SATURDAY NIGHT. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ELSEWHERE. THE
FRONT PUSHES INLAND SUNDAY BUT WEAKENS CONSIDERABLY. TEMPERATURES
WILL DEFINITELY WARM WITH THIS FRONT BUT NOT ABOVE FREEZING INLAND.
MOIST WESTERLY FLOW TO REMAIN OVER THIS REGION THROUGH MONDAY WITH
SNOW SHOWERS.

BERING/ALEUTIANS/PRIBILOFS...RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE STRONG FRONT
OVER THE WESTERN BERING. GOOD WARM ADVECTION WITH THIS FRONT...SO DO
NOT EXPECT ANY BLIZZARD CONDITIONS EVEN AT THE PRIBILOFS. THE ANCHOR
LOW REMAINS IN THE WESTERN BERING THROUGH MONDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES
TO THE COAST SATURDAY EVENING WEAKENING ALONG THE WAY. BEHIND THE
LOW...SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE PREVALENT WITH MODERATE WINDS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 131.
         BLIZZARD WATCH ZONE 155
MARINE...STORM 176
         GALE 120 121 125 129 130 132 138 150 172 175 179 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 121 129 130 141 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN JAN 08