Gale Warning 198, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 170745 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1045 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

UPDATED ZONE 171

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 965 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON
MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT MOVES TO NEAR UMNAK ISLAND SUN
AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS TO 970 MB MON AFTERNOON AS IT MOVES TO
AROUND 150 NM NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR.
$$

PKZ150-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-171500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-171500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.  
.WED...W WIND 20 KT.  
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT.   

$$

PKZ165-171500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-171500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. 

$$

PKZ170-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-171500-
UNALASKA BAY
1045 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-171500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-171500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ185-171500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-171500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 171306
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 967 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR MOVES TO 100 NM WEST OF
DUTCH HARBOR SUN NIGHT WHILE MAINTAINING INTENSITY THEN MOVES TO NEAR
ST. PAUL ISLAND AT 977 MB MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ150-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-180300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-180300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-180300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-180300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 6 FT BERING SEA
SIDE. RAIN. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT PACIFIC SIDE. S WIND 15 KT BERING SEA SIDE.
SEAS 13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 6 FT BERING SEA SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 8 FT BERING SEA
SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-180300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-180300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT WEST OF ATKA...N 15 KT ELSEWHERE. SEAS 18 FT
BERING SEA SIDE. SEAS 12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WEST OF ATKA. W WIND 15 KT ELSEWHERE. 
SEAS 18 FT BERING SEA SIDE. SEAS 12 FT PACIFIC SIDE. SNOW AND 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-180300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-180300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT IN ICE FREE WATERS.  

$$

PKZ179-180300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
250 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A WIDE REACHING...VERTICALLY STACKED 965 MB LOW IS CAMPED OUT IN THE
NORTH PACIFIC A LITTLE SOUTHEAST OF ATKA. SHORTWAVES WITH EMBEDDED
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREAS CONTINUE TO ROTATE AROUND MAINLY THE EAST
SIDE OF THE LOW. ONE SUCH LOW IS AROUND THE SOUTHERN END OF THE
KENAI PENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING GUSTY WINDS...BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF THE KENAI PENINSULA...FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD SNOW...AND RAIN TO SOME IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS. AN
OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING NORTHEAST FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW IS
BRINGING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE PRIBILOFS AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA
COAST ON THE NORTH/COLD SIDE OF THE FRONT.

THE NORTHWEST GULF LOW DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES INLAND OVER ANCHORAGE
TONIGHT. THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT INCHES TOWARD
THE SOUTHERN BERING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE INITIALIZING ABOUT THREE HOURS TOO SLOW AND TOO
WEAK WITH THE NORTHWEST GULF LOW...AND WILL CONTINUE TO ADJUST
FORECAST ACCORDINGLY. MODELS ARE OKAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT BUT THEN
HAVE POOR AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA MONDAY ONWARD. NOT MUCH CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE MODEL
SOLUTION...BUT TENDING TO FAVOR THE GFS. TIMING OF SHORTWAVES AND
EMBEDDED SURFACE LOWS AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF THE NORTH
PACIFIC/BERING LOW IS THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
THE LOW NEAR THE SOUTHERN END OF THE KENAI AS OF THIS WRITING
DISSIPATES TONIGHT AS IT MOVES OVER ANCHORAGE. AT THIS POINT...DO
NOT EXPECT SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IN ANCHORAGE AND SURROUNDING AREAS
DUE TO THE LACK OF ANY UP-INLET FLOW COINCIDING WITH COLD ADVECTION.
THERE STILL COULD BE A FEW INCHES...THOUGH. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS IN
EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY SHOULD SUBSIDE AT SOME
POINT TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES RISE AND THE WIND SLOWLY DECREASES.
SNOW AND WINDS AROUND KACHEMAK BAY SHOULD ALSO MOSTLY SHUT OFF AS
THE LOW PASSES BY THIS EVENING. VALDEZ SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE OR
INTENSIFY TONIGHT AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW SHIFTS FROM SOUTHEAST TO
SOUTHWEST AS THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY CLOSELY FOR SNOW AMOUNTS POSSIBLY
REACHING ADVISORY LEVELS.

NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A BREAK IN THE ACTION AFTER THE FIRST LOW
PRESSURE...AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WITH POSSIBLY AN EMBEDDED SURFACE
LOW MOVES NORTHWEST THROUGH THE GULF AND INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. EXPECT
MILD SOUTHEAST FLOW TO PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...
MOIST SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND FOR
SEVERAL DAYS. DO NOT EXPECT PRECIP TO BE TOO HEAVY DUE TO DOWNSLOPE
FLOW. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST SHOULD
SUBSIDE TONIGHT AS THE OCCLUDED FRONT PASSES.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SOUTHEAST OF ATKA DOMINATES THE WEATHER
PICTURE OUT WEST...WITH A WEAKENING OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING
NORTHEAST FROM THE LOW THROUGH THE SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN BERING.
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE LOW...EXPECT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE FOR THE PRIBILOFS INTO THE EVENING AND PERHAPS ALL THROUGH
THE NIGHT. SOUTH OF THE FRONT AND EAST OF THE LOW...OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA...MILD SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FOR THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING...COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WITH SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK IN
THE GULF OF ALASKA...WITH PROBABLY A GRADUAL TRANSITION FROM LOW TO
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING SEA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 125 155 195.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 120 130.
         GALE WARNING 125 129 130 132 138 140 155 160 165 172 175 179
         185 351 352 411 412 413 414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 140 141 185 411 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

FOISY FEB 08