Storm Warning 72, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 161552 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
650 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

UPDATED ZONES 129 130 141.

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-170300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 330 NM SOUTH OF AKHIOK WILL MOVE TO 75 NM EAST OF KODIAK
SAT AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR SEWARD SAT NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-170300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-170300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-170300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-170300-
PASSAGE CANAL
650 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-170300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
650 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-170300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-170300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
425 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE MORNING.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-170300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-170300-
KACHEMAK BAY
650 AM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN 
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 170017
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171500-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF HOMER DISSIPATES TONIGHT AS IT MOVES
INLAND. SEVERAL WEATHER FRONTS IN SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW FOLLOW FOR SUN
AND MON.

$$

PKZ120-171500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...WEST OF CAPE CLEARE...EAST WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING S 25 KT
IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING
TO 13 FT. RAIN AND AND SNOW. 
EAST OF CAPE CLEARE...E WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. WINDS
DIMINISHING TO SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-171500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT LATE IN THE
EVENING. GUSTS TO 50 KT SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT DIMINISHING TO 3 FT...HIGHER SEAS SOUTH OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY ENDING IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-171500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 60 KT THROUGH BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING
TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-171500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-171500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...BARREN ISLAND NORTHWEST...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 
NW WIND 25 KT BY LATE EVENING. WINDS BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY NORTHWEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
SOUTHEAST OF BARREN ISLAND...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KTS IN
THE EVENING BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-171500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NORTHEAST OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO
20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 21 FT. 
SOUTHWEST OF DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED AND THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-171500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-171500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ141-171500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AST SAT FEB 16 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

000 
FZAK51 PAFC 171252
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

MARINE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND
AND COOK INLET

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 50 NM NORTH OF
KODIAK CITY AT 973 MB SUNDAY AFTERNOON THEN INLAND SUNDAY EVENING.
$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWER.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AST SUN FEB 17 2008

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
100 PM AST FRI FEB 15 2008

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE. A STRONG NEARLY VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF ADAK IS THE DOMINANT FEATURE THIS
AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVES AND WEAKER SURFACE LOWS CONTINUE TO ROTATE
AROUND MAINLY THE EAST SIDE OF THE LOW. ONE SUCH LOW SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE OVER COOK INLET THIS MORNING HAS DISSIPATED WITH SNOWFALL
TAPERING OFF...BUT NOT BEFORE BRINGING SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL. VERY STRONG COLD ADVECTION OCCURRED ON THE
BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WITH GUSTY WINDS ESPECIALLY THROUGH KAMISHAK GAP
AND INTO COOK INLET AND KACHEMAK BAY. THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND IS
ENJOYING A SHORTLIVED HIGH PRESSURE THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINNING TO BUILD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. THE LOW SOUTH OF ADAK
IS BRINGING WIDESPREAD GALES TO THE ALEUTIANS...AND SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION. WARMER AIR IS BEGINNING TO WORK INTO THE
CENTRAL TO EASTERN ALEUTIANS AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT EXTENDING EAST FROM
THE LOW WORKS NORTHWARD...ALLOWING RAIN TO MIX IN OVER SOME AREAS.

THE LOW SOUTH OF ADAK SLOWLY MOVES TO AROUND UNALASKA ISLAND ON
SUNDAY. ANOTHER LOW MOVES TO JUST EAST OF KODIAK TOMORROW AFTERNOON
AND TO NEAR SEWARD SATURDAY NIGHT.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN OKAY AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THERE HAS BEEN
SOME DISAGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN INCONSISTENCY WITH THE LOW TO MOVE
NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF TOMORROW AND TOMORROW EVENING...BUT
MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON A PATH TO JUST EAST OF KODIAK
THEN NORTH TO AROUND SEWARD. MODEL AGREEMENT IS VERY POOR FROM SUNDAY
ONWARD ESPECIALLY ON THE EAST SIDE...AND CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WILL
BE MINOR FROM SUNDAY ONWARD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AS THE
LOW PRESSURE DISSIPATES AND A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. MUCH
COLDER TEMPERATURES HAVE MOVED INTO THE REGION. THE COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE VERY SHORTLIVED...WITH ANOTHER WARM MOIST GULF LOW
MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF. THIS LOW WILL BRING SNOW LATE
TONIGHT TO KODIAK...CHANGING TO RAIN SATURDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW MORNING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST...BUT LIKE
KODIAK...SNOW WILL CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MANY IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. NO STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL BE
PRESENT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM...SO DO NOT EXPECT ANY
SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FROM THE WESTERN KENAI NORTHEAST TO THE MAT
VALLEY. THIS COULD CHANGE...HOWEVER...IF THE LOW TAKES A MORE
EASTERLY TRACK INTO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY
COULD SEE SIGNIFICANT SNOW AGAIN. AFTER THE LOW DISSIPATES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING...MODELS ARE IN POOR AGREEMENT ON THE
DETAILS...BUT MILD MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE.

SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...
HIGH PRESSURE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SHORTLIVED AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT
MOVES NORTH INTO THE AREA...BRINGING SNOW LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS AND WARMER
TEMPERATURES. THE FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AND DOWNSLOPE SOUTHEASTERLY
FLOW WILL BE PRESENT...KEEPING SNOW AMOUNTS FROM BEING TOO
SIGNIFICANT. UNSETTLED SOUTHEAST FLOW AND MILD TEMPERATURES ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF ADAK WITH AN OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING
EAST FROM THE LOW AND MOVING NORTH. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE A CONCERN
ON THE NORTH SIDE OF THE OCCLUDED FRONT. HAVE ALREADY ISSUED A
BLIZZARD WARNING TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING FOR THE PRIBILOFS AS
THE OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN BERING. THE LOW
SLOWLY MOVES TO AROUND UNALASKA ISLAND ON SUNDAY AND INTO THE
SOUTHERN BERING SUNDAY NIGHT. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
AROUND THE LOW...WITH RAIN AND SNOW FROM THE LOW EASTWARD...AND SNOW
SHOWERS WEST OF THE LOW.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
MODELS NOT IN GREAT AGREEMENT IN THE LONG TERM...BUT THERE IS SOME
HINT OF A BLOCKING HIGH SETTING BACK UP IN THE EASTERN BERING...WITH
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA AND THE WESTERN BERING.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING 185 AND 195.
MARINE...STORM WARNING ZONE 120.
         GALE WARNING ZONES 125 130 132 138 140 141 150 155 160 165
          170 172 175 176 179 351 352 411 412 413 414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING ZONES 130 140 141 165 179 185
          412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...

FOISY FEB 08