Brisk Wind Advisory 33, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 281338 CCB
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

CORRECTED ZONE 180.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-290200-
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 979 MB LOW 650 NM SOUTH OF ATTU WEAKENS TO 991 MB AS IT MOVES TO
100 NM EAST OF SAINT PAUL SAT NIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WEAKENS TO
984 MB SAT NIGHT 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATTU.
$$

PKZ150-290200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-290200-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-290200-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT.  
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT.  
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-290200-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-290200-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT.  
.MON...E WIND 25 KT.  
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-290200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-290200-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-290200-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-290200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-290200-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N WIND 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-290200-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT.  
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT.   

$$

PKZ179-290200-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM ADT FRI MAR 28 2008

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT.   

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 PM ADT THU MAR 27 2008

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODEL CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT OVER MAINLAND ALASKA AND
THE GULF THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES OVER
THE BERING SEA. ALL THE MODELS ARE DEVELOPING A TRIPLE POINT LOW OVER
THE BERING SEA FRIDAY, BUT NOW THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY ABOUT IT
INTENSITY AND LOCATIONS. THE SOLUTIONS RANGE FROM 996 MB OPEN WAVE
OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEAS TO A 992 MB CLOSED LOW SOUTH OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. GFS APPEARS TO HAVE A MIDDLE OF THE ROAD SOLUTION
WITH A 994 MB OPEN WAVE OVER THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA AND IS THE BEST
COMPROMISE UNTIL THE MODELS HAVE BETTER AGREEMENT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LOW OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING
THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS PRODUCING AREAS OF SNOW OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND EASTERN BRISTOL BAY. ANOTHER UPPER LOW SOUTH OF
THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO TO MOVE SOUTHEAST. AN UPPER RIDGE IS
MOVING THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS.

AT THE SURFACE, THE PRESSURE PATTERN IS FAIRLY WEAK ACROSS MAINLAND
ALASKA AND THE GULF. THE ONLY SIGNIFICANT FEATURES ARE A TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF AND A SURFACE RIDGE
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN BRISTOL BAY. MOST OF THE
WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH WITH SNOW FALLING OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE UPPER TROUGH OVER WESTERN ALASKA WILL MOVE THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND
TONIGHT AND WILL WEAKEN AT IT PASSES THROUGH THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
KENAI PENINSULA FRIDAY AND THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA FRIDAY
NIGHT. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ASSOCIATED TROUGH ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AND FRIDAY NIGHT. THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE OVER THE ALEUTIANS WILL
MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST ALASKA FRIDAY AND IN THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
THE EASTERN MAINLAND SATURDAY AND WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH SUNDAY.

AT THE SURFACE, THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN GULF WILL
DISSIPATE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE ALEUTIAN RIDGE MOVES INTO THE GULF.
WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST BERING WILL MOVE NORTH AND EAST
INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BERING AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY
NIGHT AND WILL WEAKEN ALONG THE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND BRISTOL
BAY SATURDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS AND SNOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT, THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
PRIBILOFS FRIDAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE PRIBILOFS FRIDAY.

A MODERATE LOW OVER THE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY
MORNING WITH A 985 MB CENTER THE TURN NORTH AND WEAKEN TO 995 MB NEAR
NUNIVAK ISLAND SUNDAY. AREAS OF SNOW WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA
LATE SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. AREAS OF SNOW MAY ALSO SPREAD INTO
KODIAK ISLAND AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE SURFACE LOW NEAR THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTH INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA MONDAY NIGHT. THE RIDGE OVER THE GULF
WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN CANADA MONDAY WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING ALONG THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC SUNDAY
WILL MOVE ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN TO NEAR COLD BAY BY TUESDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 170, 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM MAR 08