Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2007

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 9, 2007Latimer County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jul 9, 2007, 6:45 PM CDT for Latimer County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 9, 2007, 6:45 PM CDT (23:45 UTC)
Expired: Jul 9, 2007, 7:45 PM CDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Latimer County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2056 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -55 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 795 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 126 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 9, 3:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 9, 3:04 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN EVENT TONIGHT AND TOMORROW IS THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM.

STORMS ARE CURRENTLY FORMING OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND CENTRAL
KANSAS.  THE WRF AND GFS SHOW SIGNS OF CONVECTIVE BLOW UPS IN
THEIR VORTICITY AND QPF FIELDS.  THUS...IT SEEMS LIKE A GOOD
BET IT WILL RAIN. CURRENT THOUGHTS ON QPF WOULD PUT TOTALS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW IN THE INCH AND A HALF RANGE. SHOULD
IT BECOME OBVIOUS MORE RAIN WILL FALL A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
WOULD BE MERITED.  HAVE DECIDED TO PUT IT OFF BUT USERS WILL
NEED TO MONITOR OUR PRODUCTS TONIGHT.

AFTER TONIGHT THERE WILL BE PERIODIC CHANCES OF RAIN.  THE
MODELS SHOW FRONTS IN THE NEIGHBORHOOD TUEDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AND THEN AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. GIVEN
THE TIME OF YEAR THE CURRENT MODEL TRENDS OF SWEEPING THE
FRONTS THROUGH APPEARS PROBLEMATIC.  IF I TRUSTED THE WRF
I WOULD KEEP WEDNESDAY DRY...BUT THE GFS SUGGESTION OF
CONVECTION SEEMS MORE REASONABLE.  THE SAME SCENARIO OCCURS
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.  AT THIS TIME CHOSE TO KEEP SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY DRY BUT THIS MAY NEED REVISITED.

TEMP WISE...CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL BE A FACTOR.  AM A BIT COOLER
THAN MY NEIGHBORS TOMORROW...BUT I THINK THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
RAIN AND CLOUDS TO HOLD THINGS DOWN A LITTLE.  ALL IN ALL DID
NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM THE MAV AND MEX.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  86  70  87 /  70  80  50  20
FSM   71  86  72  89 /  30  80  50  20
MLC   73  86  72  88 /  60  80  50  20
BVO   71  86  65  86 /  70  80  50  20
FYV   69  82  67  86 /  40  80  50  20
BYV   68  80  68  83 /  30  70  50  20
MKO   71  84  71  87 /  60  80  50  20
MIO   71  84  68  85 /  70  80  50  20
F10   72  85  71  86 /  60  80  50  20
HHW   75  91  74  89 /  40  60  50  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....17

ABBAS

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 9, 4:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 10 PM FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE
STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND WILL
LIKELY REMAIN STRONG TO SEVERE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE A THREAT
WITH THE STORMS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO KANSAS AND BE A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY WHICH SHOULD MOVE SOUTHEAST. ALTHOUGH SOME
UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN...MAINLY OVER THE RECENTLY FLOODED AREAS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

NORTHWESTERLY UPPER FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF NEXT WEEK...WITH
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAINING IN THE FORECAST THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
MONITOR ANY THUNDERSTORMS THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR THE POTENTIAL OF
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 9, 5:58 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
558 PM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0406 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S OKEMAH              35.40N 96.30W
07/09/2007                   OKFUSKEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO LARGE TREES DOWN

&&

SFP

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 6:01 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
601 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

OKZ072-076-100000-
LE FLORE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
601 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 700 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN SEQUOYAH

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 601 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 2 MILES
NORTHEAST OF COWLINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...COTTONWOOD...GANS...
MULDROW...ROLAND...MOFFETT...SPIRO...POCOLA...SCULLYVILLE...BRADEN...
COWLINGTON AND ARKOMA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. GUSTY WINDS MAY OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF ANY RAINFALL. RESIDENTS
IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3540 9481 3519 9481 3518 9444 3544 9444

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:08 PM CDT, 37 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
608 PM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EUFAULA                 35.29N 95.58W
07/09/2007                   MCINTOSH           OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROOF BLOWN OFF OF AN OFFICE BUILDING AT MAIN AND OAK.

&&

PBS

Local storm report, Jul 9, 6:09 PM CDT, 36 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
609 PM CDT MON JUL 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 SW MASON              35.56N 96.36W
07/09/2007                   OKFUSKEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WALNUT CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS AND STARTING TO FLOOD A
            NEARBY ROAD

&&

SFP

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 6:12 PM CDT, 33 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
612 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

OKZ057-062-063-100015-
CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-
612 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 715 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG AND NORTHEASTERN
     MAYES

AT 612 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CHLOETA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHLOETA...CLEORA...BERNICE...
KETCHUM...SPAVINAW...LANGLEY AND DISNEY.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3634 9505 3636 9485 3663 9488 3660 9514

Special weather statement, Jul 9, 6:45 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
645 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

OKZ075-100045-
LATIMER OK-
645 PM CDT MON JUL 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN LATIMER

AT 645 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
PANOLA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WILBURTON...BENGAL...DAMON...PANOLA
AND RED OAK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3495 9532 3506 9518 3506 9492 3506 9492
      3496 9494 3494 9500 3487 9500 3486 9507
      3470 9505 3469 9531

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 9, 3:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Tulsa	55 min
Jul 9, 3:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	63 min
Jul 9, 3:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okmulgee, Tulsa	51 min
Jul 9, 4:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Wagoner	57 min
Jul 9, 4:24 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	4 hr
Jul 9, 4:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee, Okmulgee	28 min
Jul 9, 4:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh	62 min
Jul 9, 4:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	McIntosh	23 min
Jul 9, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	63 min
Jul 9, 5:22 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Muskogee	38 min
Jul 9, 5:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	57 min
Jul 9, 5:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	27 min
Jul 9, 5:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	56 min
Jul 9, 5:51 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	54 min
Jul 9, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	46 min
Jul 9, 6:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	59 min
Jul 9, 6:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Delaware	63 min
Jul 9, 6:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Mayes	55 min
Jul 9, 6:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	59 min
Jul 9, 12:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Crawford	41 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2007 Every special weather statement in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.