Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2007

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

June 28, 2007Muskogee County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Jun 28, 2007, 2:49 PM CDT for Muskogee County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 56 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 28, 2007, 2:49 PM CDT (19:49 UTC)
Expired: Jun 28, 2007, 3:45 PM CDT
In force: 56 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

Counties Muskogee County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 220 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 495 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 6 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 28, 2:46 PM CDT, 3 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 28, 2:46 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
246 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY POSITIONED OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND
SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA. HINTS OF A CLOSED CIRCULATION EXTEND AS FAR
NORTH OVER THE NRN OK/SRN KS BORDER. AS BEEN SEEN OVER THE LAST
SEVERAL DAYS..MOST CONSISTENT BANDS OF PRECIP HAVE BEEN OVER THE WRN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...WHICH BY NO SURPRISE ARE AREAS CLOSEST TO THE
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM. MODELS VARY  THE STRENGTH OF THE FEATURE OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE DAY OR SO. HOWEVER...ITS STILL APPEARS WRN AND NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FA STILL SEE THE GREATER CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL. CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH RUNS UNTIL TOMORROW MORNING...AND
FOR NOW WILL LEAVE THE AREAL COVERAGE AND EXPIRATION TIME AS IS.
MODELS ALSO BRING A WEAK FRONT INTO THE AREA...SO ANY ADDITIONAL
BOUNDARY(IES) WILL ONLY ADD AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS. GIVEN THE LACK OF FLOW...DONT SEE THIS BOUNDARY MAKING IT
TOO FAR INTO THE AREA...HOWEVER ANY CONVECTIVELY INDUCED BOUNDARY
COULD EASILY PUSH FURTHER SOUTH THAN WHAT THE SYNOPTIC SCALE
INDICATES. INTO NEXT WEEK...UPPER LOW REGENERATES FURTHER SOUTH INTO
TEXAS...SO IF THIS SCENARIO PANS OUT CONVECTIVE CHANCES WILL
DECREASE. CURRENT LOW POPS MENTIONED LOOK GOOD FOR NOW...AS A
LIMITED INFLUENCE FROM THE UPPER LOW WILL RESULT IN AN UNCAPPED
ENVIRONMENT WHICH WOULD YIELD WIDELY SCATTERED AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE WISE... IN THE SHORT TERM HAVE OPTED FOR
PERSISTENCE WHICH COINCIDES TO BEING PRETTY CLOSE TO GUIDANCE.
EXTENDED NUMBERS DO NOT STRAY FAR FROM GUIDANCE EITHER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  80  70  84 /  80  80  40  50
FSM   71  85  69  87 /  50  50  30  50
MLC   72  85  71  86 /  70  70  30  50
BVO   69  79  68  83 /  80  80  50  50
FYV   68  82  67  84 /  50  60  40  50
BYV   69  83  68  84 /  50  60  40  50
MKO   71  82  70  85 /  60  70  40  50
MIO   68  80  67  84 /  70  80  50  50
F10   71  81  70  84 /  80  80  30  50
HHW   71  86  70  88 /  60  50  30  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011.

&&

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....23

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 28, 12:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1251 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1251 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
LINGERS ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE
BEST CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. HEAVY
RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT THROUGH
TONIGHT AS THE AIRMASS ACROSS THE REGION REMAINS MOISTURE LADEN.
THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD TIME...CAUSING FLOODING
OF LOW LYING AREAS. THEREFORE...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND EXTREME
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ITS ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL
REMAIN ACROSS OKLAHOMA AT LEAST THROUGH FRIDAY.  AS TIME PROGRESSES
...THIS SYSTEM WILL BECOME MORE DIFFUSE.  MOISTURE WILL REMAIN PLENTIFUL.
THUS...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.  THE
CONCENTRATION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH WITH TIME.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AS FLOODING CONCERNS CONTINUE.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 2:29 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
229 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

OKZ066-070-071-282015-
MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
229 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 315 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN OKMULGEE

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MCINTOSH

AT 229 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM OKMULGEE TO ONAPA...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH. SOME
LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OKMULGEE...
MORRIS...ERAM...PRESTON...BALD HILL...CHECOTAH...ONAPA...HITCHITA...
RENTIESVILLE...COUNCIL HILL...OKTAHA...WAINWRIGHT...BOYNTON...
SUMMIT...JAMESVILLE AND TAFT.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3563 9604 3529 9544 3577 9540 3585 9602

Special weather statement, Jun 28, 2:49 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
249 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

OKZ066-067-070-282045-
MUSKOGEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-WAGONER OK-
249 PM CDT THU JUN 28 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN OKMULGEE AND WAGONER

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN MUSKOGEE

AT 249 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES EAST OF BALD HILL TO 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF
WAINWRIGHT TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OKTAHA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
BALD HILL...WAGONER...CHOSKA...TULLAHASSEE...PORTER...OKAY...
STONEBLUFF...REDBIRD...COWETA...MUSKOGEE...OKTAHA...KEEFETON...
WAINWRIGHT...BOYNTON...SUMMIT...JAMESVILLE...TAFT...FORT GIBSON AND
HASKELL.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3572 9593 3558 9563 3555 9533 3576 9517
      3597 9532 3611 9557

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 27, 7:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	68 min
Jun 27, 8:19 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	3 hr
Jun 27, 9:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha	58 min
Jun 27, 9:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore	67 min
Jun 28, 2:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	46 min
Jun 28, 3:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Mayes, Rogers	66 min
Jun 28, 5:22 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Osage, Pawnee	4 hr
Jun 28, 6:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	46 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2007 Every special weather statement in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.