Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 17, 2007Craig County, Rogers County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 17, 2007, 8:06 PM CDT for Craig County, Rogers County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 39 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 17, 2007, 8:06 PM CDT (01:06 UTC)
Expired: Oct 17, 2007, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 39 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Craig County, OK, Rogers County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 17, 8:10 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Chelsea, OK	NUMEROUS LARGE TREES...SOME POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN.
Oct 17, 8:30 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 74	7 E Centrailia, OK

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 4 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1262 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 618 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 266 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 287 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 2.4
Supercell composite: 8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 180106
SVRTSA
OKC035-131-180145-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0211.071018T0106Z-071018T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
806 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CRAIG COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
  NORTHEASTERN ROGERS COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 802 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
  AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 20 MILES WEST OF WELCH TO 16 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  WHITE OAK TO 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BIG CABIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  50 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...WHITE OAK...
  BIG CABIN...VINITA...BLUEJACKET AND WELCH.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.
TAKE COVER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3697 9503 3695 9500 3653 9503 3652 9544
      3695 9543 3695 9540 3699 9539 3699 9504
TIME...MOT...LOC 0106Z 246DEG 45KT 3700 9537 3678 9544
          3649 9538

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 17, 7:52 PM CDT, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 7:52 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
752 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
THE SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OF THIS EVENT IS
MOVING ACROSS TULSA WITH REPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE
NOW BEING RECEIVED...KTUL JUST GUSTED TO 55 KTS.

A SUPERCELL EMBEDDED WITHIN THE CLUSTER OF
STORMS BETWEEN TULSA AND BARTLESVILLE HAS
HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND WE HAVE
JUST ISSUED A TORNADO WARNING FOR THE STORM.
WE JUST RECEIVED A TORNADO REPORT FROM
NEAR OGLESBY WITH THIS STORM.

ALL THE STORMS ARE MOVING INTO THE CAPE AXIS THAT
EXTENDS NORTH-SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
ADDITIONAL SOUTHWARD DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR
AS LOW-LEVEL WINDS DIURNALLY INCREASE DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

AN INCREASE IN SEVERE WEATHER RISK...INCLUDING
TORNADOES...IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....99

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 7:08 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
708 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
708 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...TORNADIC THREAT CONTINUES OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING...AND THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE EASTWARD AS THE DRYLINE SURGES WITH THE PASSING
UPPER STORM SYSTEM.  CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITHIN THESE SUPERCELLS...AND THIS
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL...GOLFBALL
SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 80 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. THE THREAT WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST LATER TONIGHT AS THE DRYLINE CONTINUES EASTWARD.

ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAINS...
ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVIER RAINS HAVE ALREADY FALLEN TODAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ONGOING STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER. ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SKYWARN NETWORK IS
UNDERWAY. LOCAL SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE ACTIVE NEAR ANY OF THE
STORMS. EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD READY FOR NOT ONLY SPOTTER
OPERATIONS BUT ALSO POTENTIAL IMPACT RECOVERY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY THURSDAY...WITH
PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT UPPER
SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
653 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N COPAN               36.96N 95.93W
10/17/2007  E65.00 MPH       WASHINGTON         OK   PUBLIC

            ALSO REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL

0647 PM     HAIL             BARNSDALL               36.56N 96.16W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       OSAGE              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ALSO ESTIMATED 50 MPH GUSTS

&&

SAA

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 6:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
655 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

OKZ076-180045-
LE FLORE OK-
655 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 655 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
SOUTH OF MUSE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...HODGEN AND
HEAVENER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3517 9444 3468 9446 3454 9475 3462 9484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 216DEG 35KT 3463 9475

Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:27 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
727 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0719 PM     HAIL             3 E SAPULPA             36.00N 96.06W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       CREEK              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

0722 PM     TSTM WND GST     TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
10/17/2007  E60.00 MPH       TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DOWNTOWN TULSA

0723 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TULSA                   36.13N 95.92W
10/17/2007                   TULSA              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            WIND COLLAPSED TENT AT OKTOBERFEST...INJURED 3 PERSONS

&&

SAA

Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:32 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
732 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0728 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N TULSA               36.16N 95.92W
10/17/2007  M63 MPH          TULSA              OK   ASOS

            MEASURED AT TULSA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT ASOS.

&&

JDS

Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:40 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
740 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0733 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 SSW TULSA             36.08N 95.95W
10/17/2007  E60.00 MPH       TULSA              OK   PUBLIC

0734 PM     HAIL             OWASSO                  36.27N 95.85W
10/17/2007  E1.00 INCH       TULSA              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS POWER LINE FLASHES

0735 PM     HAIL             3 S OWASSO              36.23N 95.85W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       TULSA              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

SAA

Local storm report, Oct 17, 7:54 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0731 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E OWASSO              36.27N 95.80W
10/17/2007                   ROGERS             OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWNED BY WIND

0736 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COWETA                  35.95N 95.65W
10/17/2007                   WAGONER            OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN

0740 PM     HAIL             4 NE OWASSO             36.31N 95.80W
10/17/2007  E1.50 INCH       ROGERS             OK   AMATEUR RADIO

0744 PM     HAIL             PRESTON                 35.71N 95.99W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       OKMULGEE           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

0752 PM     HAIL             1 W CLAREMORE           36.31N 95.63W
10/17/2007  E0.88 INCH       ROGERS             OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME TO NICKEL HAIL

&&

SAA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 17, 7:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	73 min
Oct 17, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers	67 min
Oct 17, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Wagoner	65 min
Oct 17, 7:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Nowata, Washington	61 min
Oct 17, 7:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes	58 min
Oct 17, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	80 min
Oct 17, 8:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	56 min
Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	41 min
Oct 17, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Wagoner	59 min
Oct 17, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	59 min
Oct 17, 9:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	55 min
Oct 17, 9:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee	29 min
Oct 17, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	44 min
Oct 17, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	47 min
Oct 17, 10:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.