Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Tulsa, OK

October 17, 2007Muskogee County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 17, 2007, 7:25 PM CDT for Muskogee County, Wagoner County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 65 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 17, 2007, 7:25 PM CDT (00:25 UTC)
Expired: Oct 17, 2007, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Muskogee County, OK, Wagoner County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 28 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 17, 7:36 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Coweta, OK	POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN
Oct 17, 8:03 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 60	2 S Coweta, OK
Oct 17, 8:25 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	3 S Haskell, OK	NUMEROUS TREES DAMAGED AND MUCH DEBRIS
Oct 17, 8:25 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 76	5 Sse Haskell, OK
Oct 17, 8:35 PM CDT	TSTM WND GST 62	2 S Porter, OK

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 4 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 11 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 17, 4:31 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 3303 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KTSA 180024
SVRTSA
OKC101-145-180130-
/O.NEW.KTSA.SV.W.0209.071018T0025Z-071018T0130Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
725 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  WAGONER COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 830 PM CDT

* AT 721 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
  TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  STONEBLUFF...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...STONEBLUFF...
  HASKELL...TAFT...COWETA...ONETA...PORTER...TULLAHASSEE...OKAY AND
  WAGONER.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.
TAKE COVER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR IN AN INTERIOR ROOM AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3616 9561 3608 9557 3606 9524 3585 9532
      3567 9571 3573 9572 3579 9578 3585 9577
      3585 9581 3589 9582 3591 9577 3616 9576
TIME...MOT...LOC 0025Z 235DEG 48KT 3583 9581

$$

1 follow-up statement

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 180036
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
736 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

OKC101-145-180130-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-071018T0130Z/
MUSKOGEE OK-WAGONER OK-
736 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR WAGONER AND NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE COUNTIES...

AT 733 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
STONEBLUFF...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...COWETA...
ONETA...REDBIRD...TULSA...PORTER...TULLAHASSEE...OKAY AND WAGONER.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP SUDDENLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...YOU SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

THIS STORM IS LIKELY PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. SEEK
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3616 9561 3608 9557 3606 9524 3585 9532
      3567 9571 3573 9572 3579 9578 3585 9577
      3585 9581 3589 9582 3591 9577 3616 9576
TIME...MOT...LOC 0036Z 235DEG 48KT 3593 9571

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 17, 6:39 PM CDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 17, 6:39 PM CDT, 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
639 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
OSAGE AND PAWNEE COUNTIES.  THE CELLS HAVE
MAINTAINED THE CLUSTER / LINE APPEARANCE
LIKELY DUE TO THE ORIENTATION OF THE
DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH THE DRY LINE THAT IS
RESULTING IN CELL-TO-CELL INTERACTIONS.

THE BULGING SEGMENT OF THE DRY LINE FROM
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA SOUTHWARD IS MORE
FAVORABLY ORIENTED WITH THE DEEP LAYER
SHEAR TO SUPPORT MORE DISCRETE STRUCTURES.

THE CELLS FROM LINCOLN COUNTY SOUTHWARD
WILL BE MOVING TOWARD A CAPE AXIS THAT
EXTENDS FROM TULSA TO SOUTHERN LE FLORE
COUNTY...WITH CAPE VALUES OF 1500 J/KG.
SO THE CELLS WILL SLOWLY INTENSIFY.  AT
THE SAME TIME SHEAR PROFILES WILL IMPROVE
THIS EVENING.  THE S-R HELICITY AHEAD OF THESE
STORMS HAD DRAMATICALLY INCREASED IN THE
PAST TWO HOURS WITH VALUES NOW 300 TO 350 M2/S2
OVER A WIDE AREA...WITH THE VALUES LIKELY TO RISE
FURTHER.  THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASING
TORNADO THREAT WITH THE SCATTERED SUPERCELLS
DURING THIS EVENING.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....99

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 17, 7:08 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
708 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
708 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...TORNADIC THREAT CONTINUES OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS TONIGHT...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING...AND THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE EASTWARD AS THE DRYLINE SURGES WITH THE PASSING
UPPER STORM SYSTEM.  CONDITIONS REMAIN VERY FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITHIN THESE SUPERCELLS...AND THIS
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS. IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADIC POTENTIAL...GOLFBALL
SIZE HAIL AND WINDS TO 80 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS. THE THREAT WILL DECREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST LATER TONIGHT AS THE DRYLINE CONTINUES EASTWARD.

ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VERY HEAVY RAINS...
ESPECIALLY WHERE HEAVIER RAINS HAVE ALREADY FALLEN TODAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ONGOING STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER. ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SKYWARN NETWORK IS
UNDERWAY. LOCAL SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE ACTIVE NEAR ANY OF THE
STORMS. EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD READY FOR NOT ONLY SPOTTER
OPERATIONS BUT ALSO POTENTIAL IMPACT RECOVERY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM WILL CLEAR THE AREA BY THURSDAY...WITH
PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE WEEKEND. THE NEXT UPPER
SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS SUNDAY
NIGHT...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
608 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             2 W HOMINY              36.41N 96.43W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       OSAGE              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            AND 50 MPH WIND GUST

&&

JDS

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
615 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 N HOMINY              36.44N 96.39W
10/17/2007  E60 MPH          OSAGE              OK   AMATEUR RADIO

            AT HOMINY AIRPORT

&&

JDS

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:25 PM CDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
625 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0618 PM     TSTM WND GST     CLEVELAND               36.31N 96.46W
10/17/2007  E60.00 MPH       PAWNEE             OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

SAA

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:37 PM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
637 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND GST     TALLANT                 36.60N 96.19W
10/17/2007  E60 MPH          OSAGE              OK   PUBLIC

            ALSO REPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

SAA

Local storm report, Oct 17, 6:53 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
653 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 N COPAN               36.96N 95.93W
10/17/2007  E65.00 MPH       WASHINGTON         OK   PUBLIC

            ALSO REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL

0647 PM     HAIL             BARNSDALL               36.56N 96.16W
10/17/2007  E0.75 INCH       OSAGE              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ALSO ESTIMATED 50 MPH GUSTS

&&

SAA

Special weather statement, Oct 17, 6:55 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
655 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

OKZ076-180045-
LE FLORE OK-
655 PM CDT WED OCT 17 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN LE FLORE

AT 655 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
SOUTH OF MUSE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...HODGEN AND
HEAVENER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3517 9444 3468 9446 3454 9475 3462 9484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2355Z 216DEG 35KT 3463 9475

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 17, 7:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Tulsa	73 min
Oct 17, 7:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Rogers	67 min
Oct 17, 7:29 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Nowata, Washington	61 min
Oct 17, 7:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes	58 min
Oct 17, 8:06 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Craig, Rogers	39 min
Oct 17, 8:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware	80 min
Oct 17, 8:19 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Ottawa	56 min
Oct 17, 8:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	41 min
Oct 17, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes, Muskogee, Wagoner	59 min
Oct 17, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	59 min
Oct 17, 9:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	55 min
Oct 17, 9:16 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee	29 min
Oct 17, 10:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Sequoyah	44 min
Oct 17, 10:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore, Sequoyah	47 min
Oct 17, 10:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	LeFlore	44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2007 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.