Severe Thunderstorm Warning 127, NWS Tulsa, OK

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 092237
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
537 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKC061-079-092300-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-070609T2300Z/
HASKELL OK-LE FLORE OK-
537 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN LE FLORE AND SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTIES...

AT 536 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL
AND WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MCCURTAIN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MILTON.

STAY INDOORS AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

LAT...LON 3516 9506 3510 9505 3508 9483 3520 9483

$$

000 
WWUS54 KTSA 092300
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKC061-079-092310-
/O.EXP.KTSA.SV.W.0127.000000T0000Z-070609T2300Z/
HASKELL OK-LE FLORE OK-
600 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN LE FLORE AND
SOUTHERN HASKELL COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 600 PM CDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

THE THUNDERSTORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA AND WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...THEREFORE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3516 9506 3510 9505 3508 9483 3520 9483

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
257 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL AIR MASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
CAPES AROUND 3000 J/KG AND LITTLE CIN.  THERE IS SOME CAPE BUT
MORE CIN ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA.  ALL IN ALL ISOLATED STORMS
MAY BE ONGOING ALMOST ANYWHERE AT THE BEGINNING OF THE EVENING.
CONVECTION SHOULD DIE AROUND SUNSET.

DIFFERENCES IN THE WRF AND GFS STILL EXIST FOR SUNDAY AND LAST
INTO MONDAY.  THE WRF SUGGESTS HIGHER POPS AND LOWER TEMPERATURES
WHILE THE GFS DOES NOT HAVE MUCH POP AND HAS SIZZLING TEMPERATURES.
FIGURE IT WILL BE SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN.  CONVECTION TODAY SUGGESTS
SOUPY AIR MASS EXPECTED THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED STORMS.  THE EXTRA CLOUDS WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS
SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THE MAV HIGHS.

AS THE WEEK PROGESSES THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL
UNITED STATES WITH A TROUGH TRYING TO MOVE INTO THE WESTERN
PLAINS.  THE 12Z GFS...00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GEM SUGGEST THIS. THE
12Z GFS ALSO HINTS AT THE BASE OF THE WESTERN PLAINS TROUGH GETTING
TRAPPED UNDER THE RIDGE AND RESIDING SOMEWHERE OVER THE CENTRAL
OR SOUTHERN PLAINS LATER IN THE UPCOMING WEEK.

THUS...WARM AND MUGGY CONDTIONS WITH RELATIVELY DEEP MOISTURE WILL
LIKELY RESULT IN SIMILAR WEATHER TO THE WHAT I EXPECT THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.  SEASONABLY WARM TEMPS WITH MAINLY DIURNAL CHANCE
POPS ARE MERITED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  90  75  91 /  20  30  10  30
FSM   70  88  71  91 /  20  30  10  30
MLC   71  89  72  91 /  20  30  10  30
BVO   68  88  70  92 /  20  30  10  30
FYV   66  84  67  86 /  20  30  10  30
BYV   67  83  68  84 /  20  30  10  30
MKO   71  87  71  89 /  20  30  10  30
MIO   69  87  71  90 /  20  30  10  30
F10   71  86  71  90 /  20  30  10  30
HHW   71  91  72  93 /  20  30  10  30

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....17

ABBAS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
155 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-101000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
155 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTER 3 PM.

DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES NEAR 90 DEGREES COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE
70S HAVE RESULTED IN SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES AROUND 3500 J/KG
ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE ATMOSPHERE
REMAINING WEAKLY CAPPED...ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA SOUTH OF THE WEAK WARM FRONT.

DUE TO THE HIGH INSTABILITY AND WEAK SHEAR...THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL BE STRONG WINDS...MAINLY FROM DECAYING THUNDERSTORMS. IN
ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY AS STORMS WILL BE
SLOW MOVING.

ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
HEATING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THE CONVECTION...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS
NOT EXPECTED NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT AWAY FROM THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS LATE THIS WEEKEND ALLOWING MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS THAT
WILL EXIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER LATER IN THE WEEK DUE TO A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL APPROACH THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LATE NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR AND GRAPHICAL
INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
224 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKZ076-092000-
LE FLORE OK-
224 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 300 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL LE FLORE

AT 224 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES
SOUTH OF HODGEN...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HODGEN.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3479 9476 3464 9464 3468 9446 3495 9447

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
304 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKZ053-092045-
CHOCTAW OK-
304 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHWESTERN CHOCTAW

AT 304 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES SOUTH OF UNGER...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BOSWELL...UNGER AND SOPER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3375 9603 3374 9565 3405 9562 3405 9591

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKZ049-073-075-092115-
LATIMER OK-PITTSBURG OK-PUSHMATAHA OK-
330 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN PITTSBURG...NORTHERN PUSHMATAHA AND SOUTHWESTERN
     LATIMER

AT 330 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES
WEST OF SARDIS...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...HIGGINS...GOWEN...HARTSHORNE...
HAILEYVILLE AND SARDIS.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3457 9562 3459 9538 3493 9536 3493 9557

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
346 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKZ076-092130-
LE FLORE OK-
346 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY:

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL LE FLORE

AT 346 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES
SOUTH OF SUMMERFIELD...STATIONARY. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...WHITESBORO AND SUMMERFIELD.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO
50 MPH.

LAT...LON 3474 9500 3465 9481 3490 9461 3501 9485

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
458 PM CDT SAT JUN 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             WILBURTON               34.92N 95.31W
06/09/2007  E1.75 INCH       LATIMER            OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

AWIPSUSR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
510 PM CDT SAT JUN 09 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     FLASH FLOOD      TUSKAHOMA               34.62N 95.28W
06/09/2007                   PUSHMATAHA         OK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            WATER REPORTED OVER COUNTY ROAD IN TUSKAHOMA

&&

MAT