Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2007

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

October 2, 2007Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this river flood warning at Oct 2, 2007, 10:47 PM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It took effect at Oct 3, 2007, 1:04 AM EDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2007, 10:47 PM EDT (02:47 UTC)
In effect from: Oct 3, 2007, 1:04 AM EDT
Expired: Oct 4, 2007, 10:06 PM EDT
In force: 45 hr
Issued by: NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Flood severity: Minor

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Manatee River near Myakka Head at SR 64 (MKHF1).

Action stage: 9.5 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 15 ft
Major stage: 17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02299950, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS42 KTBW 030247
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1047 PM EDT TUE OCT 02 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT
MYAKKA HEAD AND THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...

HEAVY RAINS HAVE FALLEN OVER THESE RIVER BASINS THIS EVENING...WITH RADAR
ESTIMATING 6 TO 8 INCHES IN SOME SPOTS OVER SOUTHEAST HILLSBOROUGH AND
EASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES. THESE RIVERS SHOULD CREST QUICKLY AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND THEN FALL AGAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-031547-
/X.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0001.071003T0748Z-071003T1930Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.071003T0748Z.071003T1200Z.071003T1330Z.NO/
1047 PM EDT TUE OCT 02 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 10PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...5.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.7 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.7 FEET ON SEP 22 
  1977.

$$

FLC081-031547-
/X.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0002.071003T0504Z-071003T1852Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.071003T0504Z.071003T1200Z.071003T1252Z.NO/
1047 PM EDT TUE OCT 02 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 10PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS...9.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.5 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.5 FEET ON AUG 7 
  1975.

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   WED    THU    FRI    SAT    SUN

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11   5.6  TUE 10 PM  11.7    4.6    3.4    3.3    3.2

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11   9.8  TUE 10 PM  11.5    2.4    1.1    1.1    1.1

11 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS42 KTBW 030847
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
447 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED FOR MODERATE FLOODING ON 
THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

AT LEAST 8 INCHES OF RAIN IN A DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS FELL ACROSS THE
MANATEE RIVER BASIN TUESDAY EVENING...AND RAPID RUNOFF CONTINUES TO 
CAUSE RAPID RISES ON THE RIVER.  MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED BY 5 AM
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. WE ARE ESTIMATING A CREST OF
16 FEET BETWEEN 6 AND 8 AM. THIS CREST MAY EXCEED THAT FROM TROPICAL
STORM FRANCES IN 2004.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC081-032147-
/X.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071004T0140Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T0815Z.071003T1940Z.NO/
447 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...14.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING SOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CREST LATER THIS MORNING AT 16 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATEROAD 64 START TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.94 FEET ON SEP 6 
  2004...ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FRANCES.

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.7  WED 04 AM   3.5    3.1    3.3    3.3    MSG

$$

000 
WGUS42 KTBW 030850 CCA
FLWTBW

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
447 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED FOR MODERATE FLOODING ON 
THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

CORRECTED FOR STAGE VALUES THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AT LEAST 8 INCHES OF RAIN IN A DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS FELL ACROSS THE
MANATEE RIVER BASIN TUESDAY EVENING...AND RAPID RUNOFF CONTINUES TO 
CAUSE RAPID RISES ON THE RIVER.  MODERATE FLOODING IS EXPECTED BY 5 
AM AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID MORNING. WE ARE ESTIMATING A CREST 
OF 16 FEET BETWEEN 6 AND 8 AM. THIS CREST MAY EXCEED THAT FROM 
TROPICAL STORM FRANCES IN 2004.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC081-032147-
/X.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071004T0140Z/
/MKHF1.1.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T0815Z.071003T1940Z.NO/
447 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 4 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...14.7 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING SOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID 
MORNING * FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CREST LATER THIS MORNING AT 16 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATEROAD 64 START TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.94   
  FEET ON SEP 6 2004...ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FRANCES.

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.7  WED 04 AM   4.6    3.5    3.3    3.3    3.1

$$

BSG/RJS

000 
WGUS42 KTBW 031107
FLWTBW
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
707 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN UPGRADED FOR MODERATE FLOODING ON 
THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

AT LEAST 8 INCHES OF RAIN IN A DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS FELL ACROSS THE
MANATEE RIVER BASIN TUESDAY EVENING...AND RAPID RUNOFF CONTINUES TO 
CAUSE RAPID RISES ON THE RIVER.  MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
MID MORNING.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC081-040007-
/X.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071004T0250Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071003T2050Z.NO/
707 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 

* THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 06 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...15.6 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 15.8 FEET BY THIS MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATEROAD 64 START TO FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.94   
  FEET ON SEP 6 2004...ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM FRANCES.

$$

FLC081-040000-
/X.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0003.071003T1200Z-071004T0000Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1200Z.071003T1200Z.071003T1800Z.NO/
707 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 06 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...10.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.0 FEET BY LATER THIS MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET WITH
  TROPICAL STORM FRANCES.

$$

FLC057-040007-
/X.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071004T0149Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.071003T1610Z.071003T1800Z.071003T1949Z.NO/
707 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL THIS EVENING
* AT 06 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...8.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.7 FEET. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.7 FEET ON SEP 22 
  1977.

$$

FLC081-040007-
/X.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0004.071003T1107Z-071004T1911Z/
/MTDF1.1.ER.071003T0952Z.071003T1800Z.071004T1311Z.NR/
707 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA FL HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE MANATEE RIVER MISSING MANATEE DAM
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 06 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS...41.0 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...THIS IS THE NORMAL POOL ELEVATION.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.4 FEET ON JUN 22 
  2003.

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  15.6  WED 06 AM   3.4    3.0    2.9    2.8    MSG
 RYE BRIDGE   11  10.2  WED 06 AM   8.4    2.6    1.2    0.9    MSG

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11   8.1  WED 06 AM   5.8    3.7    3.4    3.4    MSG

MANATEE DAM
 MANATEE DAM  41  41.0  WED 06 AM  41.0   40.5   40.3   40.2    MSG

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 031509
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
1109 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

 A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...
 RYE BRIDGE...AND MANATEE DAM.  A RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR
 THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA.

 HEAVY RAIN TUESDAY EVENING HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ON RIVERS IN MANATEE
 COUNTY AND SOUTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY.

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC081-040409-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071004T0533Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071003T2333Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.7 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATEROAD 64 START TO FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.5 FEET ON SEP 27 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-040400-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071004T0400Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071003T1415Z.071003T2200Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF RYE BRIDGE
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON SEP 7 
  2004.

$$

FLC057-040409-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071004T1000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.071003T1723Z.071003T1800Z.071004T0400Z.NO/
1109 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
   FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING
* AT 10 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO 
  NEAR 11.5 FEET BY MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE  
  TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-031859-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-071003T1859Z/
/MTDF1.1.ER.071003T0952Z.071003T1200Z.071003T1259Z.NR/
1109 AM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MANATEE DAM
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON 
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 41 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41 FEET 
* THE POOL LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 40 FEET...THIS IS THE NORMAL POOL ELEVATION.


$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  15.7  WED 10 AM   4.4    3.5    3.2    2.9    2.7
 RYE BRIDGE   11  12.1  WED 10 AM  10.9   10.9    9.0    0.2    0.0

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11   8.2  WED 10 AM  10.0    7.0    5.5    4.4    3.5

MANATEE DAM
 MANATEE DAM  41  41.0  WED 08 AM  39.9   39.7   39.8   39.8   39.8

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 032003
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
403 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MANATEE RIVER NEAR MYAKKA HEAD...

THE THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS ACROSS THE BASIN.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC081-040903-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071004T1818Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071004T1218Z.NO/
403 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD

* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 3PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 15 FEET...LOW SECTIONS OF STATEROAD 64 START TO FLOOD
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.5 FEET ON SEP 27 
  2004.

$$


&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  15.1  WED 03 PM  11.1    5.3    3.6    3.1    2.9

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 040158
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
958 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MANATEE RIVER AT 
MYAKKA HEAD... RYE BRIDGE...AND MANATEE DAM. A RIVER FLOOD WARNING 
IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA...

THE THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-041458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-071004T1600Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.071004T0436Z.071004T0600Z.071004T1000Z.NO/
958 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL NOON THURSDAY...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* FROM AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 10 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.4 FEET BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY NOON THURSDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-041458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T0021Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071004T1821Z.NO/
958 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.5 FEET ON SEP 27 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-041458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071006T0600Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071003T2315Z.071006T0000Z.NO/
958 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT 
* AT 9 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF RYE BRIDGE
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON SEP 7 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-041458-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-071005T0600Z/
/MTDF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071004T0600Z.071005T0000Z.NR/
958 PM EDT WED OCT 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER MISSING MANATEE DAM
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 41.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 40 FEET...THIS IS THE NORMAL POOL ELEVATION.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 42.4 FEET ON JUN 22 
  2003.

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   THU    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  10.0  WED 09 PM   10.8   8.7    7.4    6.4    MSG

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  14.4  WED 09 PM   12.3   4.2    3.8    3.5    MSG
 RYE BRIDGE   11  12.2  WED 09 PM   12.2   11.4   10.0   4.6    MSG

MANATEE DAM
 MANATEE DAM  41  41.1  WED 08 PM  41.5   40.7   40.3   39.8    MSG

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 041624
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MANATEE DAM...
AND THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD AND RYE BRIDGE.

NO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE MANATTE OR LITTLE MANATEE RIVER BASINS SINCE MONDAY NIGHT. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE RIVERS TO CREST AND THE WATER LEVELS WILL NOW FALL UNLESS VERY HEAVY RAIN RETURNS.  

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-050524-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0006.071004T1624Z-071006T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071004T1800Z.071005T1800Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
  FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING    
* AT 12PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050524-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T1536Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071005T0936Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON SEP 10 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050524-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071006T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071004T0330Z.071005T2100Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF RYE BRIDGE
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON SEP 7 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050523-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-071005T0600Z/
/MTDF1.1.ER.071004T1800Z.071004T0000Z.071005T0000Z.NR/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR 
  THE MANATEE DAM
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...THIS IS THE NORMAL POOL ELEVATION.


$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 12 PM  11.6   10.0    8.7    8.0    7.4

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.4  THU 11 AM  10.8    8.7    6.6    5.5    4.2
 RYE BRIDGE   11  11.8  THU 11 AM  11.3   10.2    6.7    2.0    0.8

MANATEE DAM
 MANATEE DAM  41  40.3  THU 08 AM  40.7   40.3   39.9   39.8   39.8

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 041627
FLSTBW

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
1227 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MANATEE DAM...
AND THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT
WIMAUMA, AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD AND RYE BRIDGE.

NO HEAVY RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE MANATTE OR LITTLE MANATEE RIVER BASINS SINCE
MONDAY NIGHT. THIS HAS ALLOWED THE RIVERS TO CREST AND THE WATER 
LEVELS WILL NOW FALL UNLESS VERY HEAVY RAIN RETURNS.  

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-050524-
/O.NEW.KTBW.FL.W.0006.071004T1624Z-071006T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071004T1800Z.071005T1800Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
  FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING    
* AT 12PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 12.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050524-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T1536Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071005T0936Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON SEP 10 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050524-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071006T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071004T0330Z.071005T2100Z.NO/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 11AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 12.8 FEET...WATER REACHES THE ROADBED OF RYE BRIDGE
* IMPACT...AT 11.7 FEET...WATER REACHES THE FOUNDATION OF THE FIRST HOUSE
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.1 FEET ON SEP 7 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050523-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-071005T0600Z/
/MTDF1.1.ER.071004T1800Z.071004T0000Z.071005T0000Z.NR/
1224 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR 
  THE MANATEE DAM
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 40.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 41.0 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 40.0 FEET...THIS IS THE NORMAL POOL ELEVATION.


$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 12 PM  11.6   10.0    8.7    8.0    7.4

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.4  THU 11 AM  10.8    8.7    6.6    5.5    4.2
 RYE BRIDGE   11  11.8  THU 11 AM  11.3   10.2    6.7    2.0    0.8

MANATEE DAM
 MANATEE DAM  41  40.3  THU 08 AM  40.7   40.3   39.9   39.8   39.8

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 041932
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MANATEE DAM AND AT RYE BRIDGE. THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

THE THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-050831-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071006T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071005T0000Z.071005T1800Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER THE WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050831-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T1200Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071005T0600Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER THE WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON SEP 10 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-042001-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071006T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071004T0330Z.071004T1603Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 03 PM  11.6   10.0    8.7    8.0    7.4

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.0  THU 02 PM  10.5    8.2    6.8    5.7    4.5
 RYE BRIDGE   11   9.0  THU 02 PM   3.1    1.8    1.3    1.1    0.8

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 042137 CCA
FLSTBW

FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE MANATEE DAM AND AT 
RYE BRIDGE. THE RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LITTLE 
MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

THE THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-050831-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071006T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071005T0000Z.071005T1800Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 3 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER THE WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...THE RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050831-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T1200Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071005T0600Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER THE WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.2 FEET ON SEP 10 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-042001-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-071006T0300Z/
/RYEF1.1.ER.071003T1125Z.071004T0330Z.071004T1603Z.NO/
331 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT RYE BRIDGE
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 2 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 9 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* IMPACT...AT 9.6 FEET...WATER REACHES THE LOWEST ELEVATION OF WOODSTOCK ROAD

$$

&&


             FLD   OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG   STG  DAY  TIME   FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1  THU 03 PM  11.6   10.0    8.7    8.0    7.4

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  12.0  THU 02 PM  10.5    8.2    6.8    5.7    4.5
 RYE BRIDGE   11   9.0  THU 02 PM   3.1    1.8    1.3    1.1    0.8

000 
WGUS82 KTBW 050206
FLSTBW
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 
1006 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

... A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LITTLE 
    MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA, AND THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD...

THE THREAT OF SCATTERED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE CARS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...

STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

FLC057-051506-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071006T0000Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.071004T2000Z.071005T1800Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LITTLE MANATEE RIVER AT WIMAUMA
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING 
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE CANOE RENTAL AREA FLOODS
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 11.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2004.

$$

FLC081-050236-
/O.CAN.KTBW.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-071005T1200Z/
/MKHF1.2.ER.071003T0249Z.071003T1200Z.071005T0110Z.NO/
1006 PM EDT THU OCT 04 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MANATEE RIVER AT MYAKKA HEAD
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 9 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET 
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11 FEET...PRIVATE ROAD AND BRIDGE 1 MILE DOWNSTREAM FLOOD.  
  AGRICULTURAL, RURAL KIBLER AREA BEGINS TO FLOOD
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.6 FEET ON AUG 23 
  2003.

$$

&&


             FLD  OBSERVED         FORECAST 8AM
LOCATION     STG  STG  DAY TIME    FRI    SAT    SUN    MON    TUE

LITTLE MANATEE
 WIMAUMA      11  12.1 THU 09 PM  11.4    9.8    8.7    8.0    7.4

MANATEE
 MYAKKA HEAD  11  11.0 THU 09 PM   9.9    8.4    7.6    6.8    6.4

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 2, 9:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 2, 9:28 PM EDT, 1 hour 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
928 PM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

.DISCUSSION...A CONVERGENT AREA ACROSS SOUTHERN HILLSBOROUGH AND
EASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THERE. RAINFALL TOTAL ESTIMATES ACROSS THAT AREA ARE
3-4 INCHES WITH SOME SPOTTER REPORTS OF 5 INCHES. NO FLOODING
PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED HOWEVER. LIGHT RAIN EXTENDS ACROSS
NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH NORTH THROUGH LEVY COUNTY FROM THE REMNANT
TRAINING SHOWERS AND BLOW OFF. CONVERGENT AREA LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
HOLD STRONG FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS AS CELLS CONTINUE TO MERGE
SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA...BUT SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
THE LOW IN THE GULF TO THE SW OF THE STATE CONTINUES TO SHIFT WEST
AWAY FROM THE AREA. WILL UPDATE ZONES TO ADJUST POPS AND WEATHER
WORDING BUT REST OF FORECAST ON TRACK WITH LOWS EXPECTED IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY
WIND DOWN OVERNIGHT THEN REFORM DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON
HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY MVFR/LOCAL IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES...ALONG
WITH SOME WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 KNOTS. THERE MAY ALSO BE SOME AREAS
OF IFR CEILINGS IN LOW CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...BUOY 42036 STILL REPORTING WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS OF 9 FEET THIS EVENING SO HAVE
EXTENDED THE SCA IN PLACE FOR THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL OFFSHORE
WATERS THROUGH 4AM WED MORNING. HAVE ALLOWED THE SCEC FOR THE REST
OF THE WATERS TO EXPIRE THOUGH AS WINDS AND SEAS HAVE SUBSIDED.
WILL ADJUST THE WIND WORDING FOR THE UPDATE BUT REST OF FORECAST
LOOKS ON TRACK.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT WEDNESDAY FOR ENGLEWOOD TO
     TARPON SPRINGS OUT 20 TO 60 NM-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE
     RIVER OUT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM/MARINE...24
LONG TERM/AVIATION...69

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 2, 4:52 AM EDT, 17 hours 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
452 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-021500-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
452 AM EDT TUE OCT 2 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS A
WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE STATE FROM THE EAST. HEAVY RAINS...BRIEF
GUSTY WINDS...AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE EXPECTED
AS THESE CELLS MOVE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST. IN ADDITION AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS MORNING THE
FRONT WILL BE FOCUSED OVER THE CENTRAL PENINSULA. LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...EXPECT THE FOCUS TO SHIFT TO THE NATURE COAST COUNTIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
DRY AIR WRAPPING AROUND AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY IN THE
SOUTHEAST GULF WILL LIMIT STORM COVERAGE WEDNESDAY...BUT AREA WILL
STILL SEE SCATTERED SHOWERS GIVEN AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. THE
BEST COVERAGE IS EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST FROM TAMPA BAY SOUTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAINS...AND
OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL AS AN
ISOLATED WATERSPOUT OR FUNNEL CLOUD CAUSED BY INTERACTIONS BETWEEN
THE WEST COAST SEABREEZE AND ANY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM STORMS.

DEEP MOISTURE WILL RETURN THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY PROVIDING A
SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. THE MAIN THREATS
EACH DAY WILL BE HEAVY RAINS...BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT
AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

SHARP

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 2, 10:28 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	TBW	Hillsborough, Manatee	62 min
Oct 2, 10:47 PM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Hillsborough	37 hr
Oct 3, 7:07 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Manatee	35 hr
Oct 3, 7:07 AM EDT	River Flood Warning	TBW	Manatee	8 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2007 Every river flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.