Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2007
Red Flag Warning 127, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Nov 15, 2007, 3:28 AM CST for 16 counties in Florida; 26 counties in Georgia; 5 counties in Alabama. It took effect at Nov 15, 2007, 4:40 PM CST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 15, 2007, 3:28 AM CST (09:28 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 15, 2007, 4:40 PM CST
- Expired
- Nov 16, 2007, 5:00 PM CST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 47 counties
Coffee County, AL, Dale County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA
The radar
The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 66 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1349 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 6 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 7 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTAE 150928 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FROM 12 PM CST UNTIL 6 PM CST FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FROM 2 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EST FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FROM 2 PM CST UNTIL 4 PM CST FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 20 MPH... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FROM 3 PM EST UNTIL 5 PM EST FOR SOUTHWEST GEORGIA...WEST OF THE FLINT RIVER... DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 20 MPH... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .A DRY AIRMASS WILL SURGE INTO THE REGION ON THE HEELS OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL PASS TO THE SOUTH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH THE DRY AIRMASS TO PRODUCE RED FLAG CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON FRIDAY REDUCING WIND SPEEDS...BUT KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTH FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY ACROSS SOUTH GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. FLZ015>017-026-027-160000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0126.071115T1900Z-071116T0000Z/ FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA- 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICIES. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ018-019-028-029-160000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0126.071115T1900Z-071116T0000Z/ JEFFERSON-MADISON-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS EVENING DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICIES. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007-009>014-160000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0126.071115T1800Z-071116T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF- 328 AM CST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 5 PM CST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THIS AFTERNOON FROM NOON UNTIL 6 PM DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 10 AM UNTIL 5 PM DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ034-160000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071116T2300Z/ DIXIE- 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-160000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0104.071115T2000Z-071115T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0126.071115T2000Z-071115T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 328 AM CST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 20 MPH. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ120>126-142>144-155-160000- /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0126.071115T2000Z-071115T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-EARLY-MILLER- BAKER-SEMINOLE- 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 20 MPH. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ127>131-145>148-156>161-160000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 428 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 38-GODSEY
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTAE 152240 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 540 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT COMBINING WITH 20 FOOT WIND SPEEDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND HIGH DISPERSION INDICES... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND REDUCING WIND SPEEDS...BUT KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA. ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-162200- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0105.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 540 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /440 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ FRIDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-170000- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0126.000000T0000Z-071116T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 540 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /440 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-170000- /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0126.000000T0000Z-071116T0000Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 540 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /440 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM FOR LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ034-170000- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ DIXIE- 540 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$
000 WWUS82 KTAE 160004 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 704 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE ACROSS THE TRI-STATE AREA ON FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND REDUCING WIND SPEEDS...BUT KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WELL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS FRIDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AS WELL AS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-170000- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0126.000000T0000Z-071116T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- 704 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /604 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WIND WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-170000- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0126.000000T0000Z-071116T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 704 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /604 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ034-170000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ DIXIE- 704 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-162200- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN- TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY- MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR- GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 704 PM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /604 PM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ FRIDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EST /11 AM CST/ TO 5 PM EST /4 PM CST/ FRIDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ CAMP/RUBIO
000 WWUS82 KTAE 160944 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 444 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON EST TO 5 PM EST TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CST TO 4 PM CST TODAY FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST ALABAMA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .A VERY DRY AIRMASS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY HELPING TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY CREATING RETURN FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-170000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 444 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 /344 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-170000- /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1800Z-071117T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 444 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 5 PM DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ012-014-015-170000- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1600Z-071117T0000Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 444 AM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 /344 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ THIS EVENING DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ ALZ065>069-162200- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.071116T1700Z-071116T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 344 AM CST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ 38-GODSEY
000 WWUS82 KTAE 161932 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 232 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST /6 PM CST/ TODAY FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST TODAY FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FOR INLAND COUNTIES OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .A VERY DRY AIRMASS ASSOCIATED WITH AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY HELPING TO CREATE RED FLAG CONDITIONS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE AREA WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY CREATING RETURN FLOW OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. GAZ142>148-155>161-170345- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0127.000000T0000Z-071116T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1800Z-071117T2200Z/ EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 232 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY. HOWEVER...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ ALZ065>069-162045- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0127.000000T0000Z-071116T2200Z/ COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON- 132 PM CST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR TODAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY. $$ FLZ012-014-015-170345- /O.EXA.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0127.000000T0000Z-071116T2300Z/ BAY-GULF-FRANKLIN- 232 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 /132 PM CST FRI NOV 16 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ007-009>011-013-016>019-026>029-034-170345- /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0127.000000T0000Z-071116T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1600Z-071117T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 232 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 /132 PM CST FRI NOV 16 2007/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ GAZ120>131-170345- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0127.000000T0000Z-071116T2200Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0106.071117T1800Z-071117T2200Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN- 232 PM EST FRI NOV 16 2007 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 18-WOOL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Nov 15, 2:19 AM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 2:19 AM CST, 1 hour 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
319 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007
.SYNOPSIS...
THE 06 UTC REGIONAL SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A COLD FRONT FROM JUST
NORTH OF ATLANTA GA TO NEAR BATON ROUGE LA. THIS FRONT AND ITS
ACCOMPANYING NARROW RAIN BAND HAS BEEN RACING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST
AT 30 KT...AND WILL MOVE THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA LATER THIS
MORNING. AS PREDICTED BY ALL THE NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...THE
QUASI-LINEAR MCS HAS BEEN WEAKENING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS AS THE
CLOUD TOPS HAVE WARMED AND CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING HAS DIMINISHED.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY) THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE AROUND
ALBANY GA AND DOTHAN AL BEFORE DAWN. RAIN CHANCES WILL QUICKLY FALL
TO AROUND 30 OR 40 PERCENT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...WITH
QPF GENERALLY A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS AND LITTLE IF ANY THUNDER
DUE TO WEAK CAPE AND DIMINISHING Q-G FORCING. WHAT IS LEFT OF THE
RAIN WILL LIKELY BE GONE BY NOON...AS MUCH DRIER AIR RAPIDLY ADVECTS
INTO THE REGION. WINDS WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR A LAKE WIND
ADVISORY ACROSS MUCH OF OUR AREA TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE
TO REACH THE UPPER 60S BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...EXCEPT AROUND PERRY
AND CROSS CITY FL...WHERE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE LATER.
WINDS WILL QUICKLY DROP BELOW LAKE WIND ADVISORY LEVELS LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT THEY WILL PROBABLY NOT GO CALM UNTIL CLOSE TO DAWN.
THERE WILL BE A BRIEF WINDOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO DROP NEAR FREEZING
AROUND DAWN IF THE WINDS GO COMPLETELY CALM...BUT ANY FREEZE WOULD
BE SO BRIEF AND SPOTTY THAT A FREEZE WATCH WILL NOT BE ISSUED FOR
NOW. ANOTHER COOL DAY IS IN STORE FOR FRIDAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
ONLY REACHING THE LOWER TO MID 60S. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE
CENTERED OVER OUR AREA FRIDAY NIGHT...AND WITH AN EXTREMELY DRY
TROPOSPHERE...TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET AFTER SUNSET. A LIGHT FREEZE
IS LIKELY FOR SATURDAY MORNING. A MODERATING TREND WILL GET UNDERWAY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS 500 MB HEIGHTS RISE AND THE SURFACE HIGH
SLIDES EAST OFF THE EAST FL COAST.
.LONG TERM...
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY) CONFIDENCE A LITTLE LOWER THAN NORMAL
FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THERE ARE SOME SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN THE GFS AND EURO WITH RESPECT TO THE CUT OFF LOW CURRENTLY
WEST OF BAJA. THE GFS HAS BEEN THE SLOWER AND SLIGHTLY STRONGER
SOLUTION AND THE 15/00Z RUN CONTINUES THAT TREND. THE 14/12Z EURO
WAS MUCH WEAKER AND FASTER. THE 15/00Z EURO THAT IS FILTERING IN
NOW IS A LITTLE SLOWER THAN ITS PREDECESSOR AND THIS MAKES ME
TRUST THE GFS JUST A LITTLE MORE. HOWEVER...IT WOULD BE NICE TO
SEE SOME BETTER AGREEMENT SOON.
A GRADUAL MOISTENING TREND WILL START ON SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE RIDGE
SHIFTS FURTHER EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING UPPER DISTURBANCE.
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THE UPPER LOW OPENS UP AND APPROACHES THE TEXAS
COAST. MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF THIS
SYSTEM YIELDING PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER THAT WILL KEEP TEMPS WARMER
AT NIGHT AND COOLER DURING THE DAY. THE NET RESULT ON SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY WILL BE TEMPERATURES NEAR CLIMO.
WITH THE UPPER LOW WEAKENING BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON MUCH OF THE
ASSOCIATED MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN THE EAST COAST.
A STRONGER UPPER SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF WESTERN CANADA AND INTO THE
ROCKIES ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. AS THIS SYSTEM SPREADS EASTWARD
ADDITIONAL GULF MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN AHEAD OF THE LINGERING UPPER
DISTURBANCE. THIS WILL BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK TO THE FORECAST FOR
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THANKSGIVING. DUE TO TIMING AND
UNCERTAINTY ISSUES...POPS ARE KEPT 30 PERCENT OR LOWER AT THIS TIME
FRAME. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE NEAR OR A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO...ESPECIALLY DURING THE NIGHT TIME.
&&
.AVIATION...
AT 06 UTC...THE LINE OF CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES NW OF DHN. THIS LINE CONTINUES
TO MOVE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 40 TO 50 MPH. MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE THIS LINE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES TOWARD OUR
TERMINALS...BUT SHOULD HOLD ON LONG ENOUGH TO DELIVER PRECIP TO
DHN AND ABY. HAVE PLACED MVFR TEMPOS FOR -SHRA AT DHN AND ABY.
CONSIDERED MENTIONING TS...BUT WITH THE LINE WEAKENING...THE
CHANCE OF THUNDER IS DECREASING. POP CHANCES TOO LOW ELSEWHERE TO
INCLUDE TEMPOS AT THIS TIME. DID INCLUDE A TEMPO FOR MVFR VSBY
RESTRICTIONS EARLY IN THE TAF CYCLE AT TLH AND VLD...BUT ADVANCING
MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS SHOULD ELIMINATE ANY MVFR VSBY RESTRICTIONS
DUE TO BR BY 09Z. VFR CONDITIONS WITH RAPID CLEARING WILL OCCUR
NOT FAR BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. CLEARING WILL START AS EARLY AS 15Z
AT DHN. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY OUT OF THE NORTHWEST (UP TO 25
KNOTS) BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON. AFTER
SUNSET...WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AND GUSTS WILL END.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS FROM WEST TO
EAST THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...AND REMAIN AT ADVISORY
LEVELS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THEY WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE MARINE
AREA.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
LOTS OF FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS TODAY. A DRY AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN
QUICKLY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS AFTERNOON. THIS DRIER AIRMASS
WILL COMBINE WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO PRODUCE RED FLAG
CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. HAVE ISSUED RED FLAG WARNINGS
FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA/SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA (WEST OF THE FLINT RIVER)
FOR THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS IT WILL TAKE A LITTLE LONGER FOR THE
25 PERCENT RH CRITERION TO BE MET THERE. IN FLORIDA...HAVE STARTED
THE RED FLAG WARNING 1 HOUR EARLIER WEST OF THE APALACHICOLA RIVER
AS RH VALUES WILL BE DROPPING QUICKER IN THE WEST BY AFTERNOON. WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE REGION ON FRIDAY...WINDS WILL
DECREASE...BUT THE ATMOSPHERE WILL FURTHER DRY OUT. THIS WILL ALLOW
FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT IN
NORTH FLORIDA. DUE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN FLORIDA...WE HAVE UPGRADED
THE WATCH TO A WARNING. THE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GEORGIA AND
ALABAMA AS WE HAVE BETWEEN 3 AND 4 HOURS INDICATED AT THIS TIME OF
SUB 25 PERCENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO MONITOR
CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS RED FLAG CONDITIONS COULD BE
MET ACROSS OUR EASTERN FLORIDA ZONES.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 70 33 64 30 71 / 40 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 73 40 63 43 72 / 30 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 66 33 62 34 72 / 20 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 68 33 62 32 71 / 20 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 68 33 62 32 70 / 30 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 74 35 64 29 72 / 30 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...
HENRY...HOUSTON.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...
HOUSTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM TO 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: COFFEE...DALE...GENEVA...HENRY...HOUSTON.
GA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...BEN HILL...
CALHOUN...CLAY...COLQUITT...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...
GRADY...IRWIN...LEE...MILLER...MITCHELL...QUITMAN...
RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...TURNER...
WORTH.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BAKER...BEN HILL...BERRIEN...BROOKS...CALHOUN...CLAY...
COLQUITT...COOK...DECATUR...DOUGHERTY...EARLY...GRADY...
IRWIN...LANIER...LEE...LOWNDES...MILLER...MITCHELL...
QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...TERRELL...THOMAS...TIFT...
TURNER...WORTH.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 3 PM TO 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: BAKER...CALHOUN...CLAY...DOUGHERTY...
EARLY...LEE...MILLER...QUITMAN...RANDOLPH...SEMINOLE...
TERRELL.
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM EST /6 AM CST/ THIS MORNING TO 5 PM
EST /4 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
BAY...CALHOUN...COASTAL WALTON...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...
GULF...HOLMES...INLAND WALTON...JACKSON...LEON...LIBERTY...
WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...
JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...MADISON...TAYLOR...
WAKULLA.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM EST /10 AM CST/ TO 6 PM EST /5 PM
CST/ FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...
DIXIE...FRANKLIN...GADSDEN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND
WALTON...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...LAFAYETTE...LEON...LIBERTY...
MADISON...TAYLOR...WAKULLA...WASHINGTON.
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BAY...CALHOUN...GULF...HOLMES...INLAND
WALTON...JACKSON...WASHINGTON.
GMZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL MARINE ZONES.
&&
LONG TERM/AVIATION/FIRE WEATHER...GODSEY
REST OF DISCUSSION...FOURNIERHazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 2:49 AM CST, 39 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 349 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161- GMZ730-750-755-765-770-775-160900- COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON- HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN- CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL- IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE- DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- APALACHEE BAY OR COASTAL WATERS FROM KEATON BEACH TO OCHLOCKONEE RIVER FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL OUT TO 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO KEATON BEACH OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM APALACHICOLA TO DESTIN FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM SUWANNEE RIVER TO APALACHICOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 349 AM EST THU NOV 15 2007 /249 AM CST THU NOV 15 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA... SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT TODAY AND TONIGHT. LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...AND MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING...BRINGING WITH IT A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. HOWEVER...SEVERE WEATHER IS UNLIKELY. WINDS WILL INCREASE SHARPLY BEHIND THIS FRONT AS COOLER AND VERY DRY AIR MOVE INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS ON AREA LAKES AND IN THE GULF COASTAL WATERS. THE COMBINATION OF DRY AIR AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. THE WINDS WILL DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OVER LAND...BUT REMAIN HIGH OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... TEMPERATURES MAY BRIEFLY REACH THE FREEZING MARK IN A FEW OF THE NORMALLY COLDER INLAND LOCATIONS FRIDAY MORNING. DRY CONDITIONS WILL ENHANCE THE SPREAD OF WILDFIRES FRIDAY AFTERNOON. FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY BE A BIT MORE WIDESPREAD SATURDAY MORNING...AND TEMPERATURES MAY DROP A LITTLE BELOW FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS. OTHERWISE...HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV...THEN CLICK ON YOUR AREA OF INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL MAP. FOURNIER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2:30 AM CST | Lake Wind Advisory | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf, Holmes and 5 more | 14 hr |
| Nov 15, 4:40 PM CST | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more | 34 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2007Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2007Red Flag Warnings in Alabama, 2007Every red flag warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.