Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 95
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 30, 2007, 5:25 PM CDT for 71 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2007, 5:25 PM CDT (22:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2007, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 71 counties
Anderson County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hays County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Real County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Ft Hood radar (KGRK), 140 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 95%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
59 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 41 min |
| Mar 30, 5:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 5:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | FWD | Limestone | 63 min |
| Mar 30, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Concho, McCulloch | 32 min |
| Mar 30, 5:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Wise | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Brown | 37 min |
| Mar 30, 5:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards | 63 min |
| Mar 30, 6:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman, McCulloch | 43 min |
| Mar 30, 6:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett, Schleicher, Sutton | 50 min |
| Mar 30, 6:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Freestone, Limestone | 25 min |
| Mar 30, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 56 min |
| Mar 30, 6:26 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Navarro | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 6:27 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Brown | 33 min |
| Mar 30, 6:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Menard, Schleicher, Tom Green | 51 min |
| Mar 30, 6:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Mills | 55 min |
| Mar 30, 6:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Brown | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard, Schleicher, Sutton | 51 min |
| Mar 30, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Parker, Tarrant | 65 min |
| Mar 30, 7:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Erath, Hood | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 60 min |
| Mar 30, 7:18 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Comanche | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Tarrant | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, McCulloch, Mason, Menard | 50 min |
| Mar 30, 7:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard, Schleicher, Sutton | 39 min |
| Mar 30, 7:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Hamilton, Mills | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Johnson, Somervell | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 7:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina | 66 min |
| Mar 30, 8:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Bosque | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Collin, Denton | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Dallas | 48 min |
| Mar 30, 8:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Collin, Kaufman, Rockwall | 49 min |
| Mar 30, 8:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Palo Pinto, Parker | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 9:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Coryell, Lampasas | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 9:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar, Medina | 30 min |
| Mar 30, 9:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hunt | 43 min |
| Mar 30, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Fannin | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 9:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Hunt, Kaufman, Rains, Van Zandt | 55 min |
| Mar 30, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 23 min |
| Mar 30, 9:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bexar | 26 min |
| Mar 30, 9:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Kaufman | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 9:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Delta, Hopkins, Lamar | 61 min |
| Mar 30, 9:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney | 40 min |
| Mar 30, 9:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Hunt | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 9:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar | 2 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:15 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Navarro | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards | 33 min |
| Mar 30, 10:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 2 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real, Uvalde | 55 min |
| Mar 30, 10:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kinney | 23 min |
| Mar 30, 11:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | McLennan | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 32 min |
| Mar 30, 11:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Johnson, Somervell | 3 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Maverick | 61 min |
| Mar 30, 11:54 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 12:41 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Kaufman | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 249 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 905 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -24 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 565 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 302232
SEL5
SPC WW 302232
TXZ000-310600-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 95
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT FRI MAR 30 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHEAST...CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND SATURDAY MORNING FROM 525 PM
UNTIL 100 AM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF DEL
RIO TEXAS TO 35 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF PARIS TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 92...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 93. WATCH NUMBER 92 93
WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 525 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 94...
DISCUSSION...FAIRLY WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF SEVERE TSTMS EXPECTED
OVER WW THIS EVENING AS 60 KT MID LEVEL SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH
EJECTING NM UPR TROUGH OVERSPREADS REGION. GREATEST THREAT FOR
DISCRETE STORMS WITH TORNADOES/LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY HIGH WIND
EXPECTED TO EXIST IN THE RIO GRANDE VLY FROM NEAR DRT E/NE INTO ERN
PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY...WHERE RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRESENT
AND WHERE GREATEST HEATING OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY. A MORE ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT AND/OR LOW LEVEL SPIN-UP TORNADOES/DAMAGING WINDS
APPEAR MORE LIKELY ALONG DEVELOPING LINEAR MCS FROM THE RED RVR SWD
INTO NRN PARTS OF THE HILL COUNTRY. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT MAY
ALSO PERSIST IN WARM ADVECTION ZONE ALONG ERN FRINGE OF SLY LLJ IN E
CNTRL TX.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 7:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Camp, Cherokee, Franklin, Freestone, Gregg and 9 more | 88 min |
| Mar 29, 10:01 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Collin, Cooke, Dallas, Delta, Denton and 23 more | 119 min |
| Mar 30, 4:44 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bandera, Crane, Crockett, Dimmit, Ector and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 30, 6:11 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrews, Borden, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman and 40 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 9:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 55 more | 59 min |
| Mar 30, 9:51 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 48 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:47 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Coke, Crockett, Edwards, Fisher, Irion, Jones and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 12:00 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Comanche, Concho, Eastland and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 30, 2:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coryell, McLennan | 92 min |
| Mar 30, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Clay, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 34 more | 89 min |
| Mar 30, 4:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bandera, Bastrop, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown and 67 more | 54 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.