Alert archive / Florida / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 740

December 16, 20074 counties in Florida

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 16, 2007, 6:15 AM EST for 4 counties in Florida. It was in force for 107 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 16, 2007, 6:15 AM EST (11:15 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2007, 8:02 AM EST
In force
107 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Lake County, FL, Orange County, FL, Seminole County, FL, Volusia County, FL

The radar

The Melbourne radar (KMLB), 110 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
30%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 16, 6:35 AM ESTTornado WarningMLBLake, Volusia25 min
Dec 16, 6:56 AM ESTTornado WarningMLBSeminole, Volusia35 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 00:00Z, 11.3 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 660 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 129 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
660 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
839 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 9:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 14 more116 min
Dec 15, 9:42 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 24 more8 hr
Dec 16, 12:29 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 24 more2 hr
Dec 16, 3:16 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 25 more119 min
Dec 16, 5:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Marion, Orange and 4 more65 min
Dec 16, 7:32 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrange, Seminole, Volusia58 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Florida, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.