Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 739

December 15, 200730 counties in Florida; 44 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 15, 2007, 9:42 PM EST for 30 counties in Florida; 44 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2007, 9:42 PM EST (02:42 UTC)
Expired
Dec 16, 2007, 6:00 AM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 82 counties

Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Cook County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Allendale County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 9:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCDodge, Wilcox45 min
Dec 15, 10:02 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCDodge28 min
Dec 15, 10:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCLaurens, Wheeler51 min
Dec 15, 10:18 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCLaurens, Wheeler27 min
Dec 15, 10:44 PM ESTTornado WarningFFCTreutlen31 min
Dec 15, 10:51 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel39 min
Dec 15, 11:09 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAETaylor51 min
Dec 16, 12:14 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXHamilton, Suwannee46 min
Dec 16, 2:00 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXGilchrist30 min
Dec 16, 2:12 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Columbia, Union33 min
Dec 16, 2:42 AM ESTTornado WarningJAXAlachua, Bradford, Clay, Putnam, Union33 min
Dec 16, 2:45 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWLevy30 min
Dec 16, 2:56 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXAlachua, Marion49 min
Dec 16, 3:15 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Duval45 min
Dec 16, 3:18 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXClay, Saint Johns42 min
Dec 16, 3:20 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXPutnam, Saint Johns40 min
Dec 16, 3:25 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter65 min
Dec 16, 4:10 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas20 min
Dec 16, 4:11 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAXMarion49 min
Dec 16, 4:32 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas58 min
Dec 16, 4:46 AM ESTTornado WarningTBWPasco29 min
Dec 16, 5:08 AM ESTTornado WarningTBWPasco52 min
Dec 16, 5:45 AM ESTTornado WarningTBWPasco, Sumter15 min
Dec 16, 5:50 AM ESTTornado WarningMLBLake25 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 884 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2007-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
884 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1019 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
242 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.8
Supercell composite
5.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

464 
WWUS20 KWNS 160246
SEL9  
SPC WW 160246
FLZ000-GAZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-161100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 739
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
       PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GEORGIA
       SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM
UNTIL 600 AM EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO 80 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PETERSBURG
FLORIDA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...RAPID DEEPENING SURFACE AND ALOFT OF SYSTEM MOVING
ACROSS TN/OH VALLEYS OVERNIGHT WITH VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS ROTATING
ACROSS SERN STATES.  WITH UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS STREAMING NEWD
FROM ERN GULF AHEAD OF REMNANTS OF T.S. OLGA CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF ONGOING SQUALL LINE. CURRENTLY PRIMARY
SEVERE POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH MESO LOW MOVING ENEWD ALONG WARM
FRONT SRN GA INTO SRN SC.  SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE  SWD INTO
NRN/CENTRAL FL AS SHEAR AND MOISTURE BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE THAT CURRENTLY
EXTENDS SSWWD INTO NERN GULF.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 9:19 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 14 more116 min
Dec 16, 12:29 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 24 more2 hr
Dec 16, 3:16 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 25 more119 min
Dec 16, 5:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Marion, Orange and 4 more65 min
Dec 16, 6:15 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCLake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia107 min
Dec 16, 7:32 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCOrange, Seminole, Volusia58 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2007Tornado Watches in Florida, 2007Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.