Alert archive / Georgia / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 739
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 15, 2007, 9:42 PM EST for 30 counties in Florida; 44 counties in Georgia; 8 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 15, 2007, 9:42 PM EST (02:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 16, 2007, 6:00 AM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 82 counties
Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Citrus County, FL, Clay County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Duval County, FL, Flagler County, FL, Gilchrist County, FL, Hamilton County, FL, Hernando County, FL, Hillsborough County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Lake County, FL, Levy County, FL, Madison County, FL, Manatee County, FL, Marion County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Pasco County, FL, Pinellas County, FL, Putnam County, FL, Saint Johns County, FL, Sumter County, FL, Suwannee County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Union County, FL, Volusia County, FL, Appling County, GA, Atkinson County, GA, Bacon County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brantley County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Bryan County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Camden County, GA, Candler County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Chatham County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Coffee County, GA, Cook County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Echols County, GA, Effingham County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Evans County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Jeff Davis County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Liberty County, GA, Long County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, McIntosh County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Pierce County, GA, Screven County, GA, Tattnall County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Tift County, GA, Toombs County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Ware County, GA, Wayne County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Allendale County, SC, Beaufort County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Charleston County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Jasper County, SC
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
24 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 9:45 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Dodge, Wilcox | 45 min |
| Dec 15, 10:02 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Dodge | 28 min |
| Dec 15, 10:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Laurens, Wheeler | 51 min |
| Dec 15, 10:18 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Laurens, Wheeler | 27 min |
| Dec 15, 10:44 PM EST | Tornado Warning | FFC | Treutlen | 31 min |
| Dec 15, 10:51 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FFC | Emanuel | 39 min |
| Dec 15, 11:09 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TAE | Taylor | 51 min |
| Dec 16, 12:14 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Hamilton, Suwannee | 46 min |
| Dec 16, 2:00 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Gilchrist | 30 min |
| Dec 16, 2:12 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Bradford, Columbia, Union | 33 min |
| Dec 16, 2:42 AM EST | Tornado Warning | JAX | Alachua, Bradford, Clay, Putnam, Union | 33 min |
| Dec 16, 2:45 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Levy | 30 min |
| Dec 16, 2:56 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Alachua, Marion | 49 min |
| Dec 16, 3:15 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Clay, Duval | 45 min |
| Dec 16, 3:18 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Clay, Saint Johns | 42 min |
| Dec 16, 3:20 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Putnam, Saint Johns | 40 min |
| Dec 16, 3:25 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Citrus, Hernando, Pasco, Sumter | 65 min |
| Dec 16, 4:10 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas | 20 min |
| Dec 16, 4:11 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX | Marion | 49 min |
| Dec 16, 4:32 AM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TBW | Hillsborough, Pasco, Pinellas | 58 min |
| Dec 16, 4:46 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Pasco | 29 min |
| Dec 16, 5:08 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Pasco | 52 min |
| Dec 16, 5:45 AM EST | Tornado Warning | TBW | Pasco, Sumter | 15 min |
| Dec 16, 5:50 AM EST | Tornado Warning | MLB | Lake | 25 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 71 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 884 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -12 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1019 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 199 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 242 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.8
- Supercell composite
- 5.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
464
WWUS20 KWNS 160246
SEL9
SPC WW 160246
FLZ000-GAZ000-SCZ000-CWZ000-161100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 739
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN GEORGIA
SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM
UNTIL 600 AM EST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO 80 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF SAINT PETERSBURG
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...RAPID DEEPENING SURFACE AND ALOFT OF SYSTEM MOVING
ACROSS TN/OH VALLEYS OVERNIGHT WITH VERY STRONG WIND FIELDS ROTATING
ACROSS SERN STATES. WITH UNSEASONABLY MOIST AIR MASS STREAMING NEWD
FROM ERN GULF AHEAD OF REMNANTS OF T.S. OLGA CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INCLUDING TORNADIC
SUPERCELLS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF ONGOING SQUALL LINE. CURRENTLY PRIMARY
SEVERE POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH MESO LOW MOVING ENEWD ALONG WARM
FRONT SRN GA INTO SRN SC. SEVERE THREAT WILL INCREASE SWD INTO
NRN/CENTRAL FL AS SHEAR AND MOISTURE BECOME VERY FAVORABLE FOR
ROTATING STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF SQUALL LINE THAT CURRENTLY
EXTENDS SSWWD INTO NERN GULF.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 9:19 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 14 more | 116 min |
| Dec 16, 12:29 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 16, 3:16 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alachua, Baker, Bradford, Citrus, Clay, Columbia and 25 more | 119 min |
| Dec 16, 5:10 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Flagler, Hernando, Hillsborough, Lake, Marion, Orange and 4 more | 65 min |
| Dec 16, 6:15 AM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Lake, Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 107 min |
| Dec 16, 7:32 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Orange, Seminole, Volusia | 58 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Georgia, 2007Tornado Watches in Florida, 2007Tornado Watches in South Carolina, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.