Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 726

October 18, 200724 counties in Alabama; 23 counties in Mississippi; 38 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 18, 2007, 10:27 PM CDT for 24 counties in Alabama; 23 counties in Mississippi; 38 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 18, 2007, 10:27 PM CDT (03:27 UTC)
Expired
Oct 19, 2007, 2:25 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 85 counties

Blount County, AL, Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Fayette County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Jackson County, AL, Jefferson County, AL, Lamar County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Walker County, AL, Winston County, AL, Attala County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Clay County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Cumberland County, TN, Davidson County, TN, DeKalb County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Fentress County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Grundy County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Jackson County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Moore County, TN, Overton County, TN, Perry County, TN, Pickett County, TN, Putnam County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Van Buren County, TN, Warren County, TN, Wayne County, TN, White County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 10:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChickasaw, Monroe42 min
Oct 18, 10:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGHardin29 min
Oct 18, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Hickman, Macon, Maury, Robertson and 5 more50 min
Oct 18, 11:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNColbert, Franklin, Lauderdale43 min
Oct 18, 11:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXGiles, Hickman, Lawrence, Lewis, Maury, Perry and 1 more56 min
Oct 18, 11:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLawrence, Limestone46 min
Oct 18, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Clay, Davidson, DeKalb, Jackson, Macon and 6 more54 min
Oct 18, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin, Lawrence37 min
Oct 19, 12:03 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Giles, Marshall, Maury27 min
Oct 19, 12:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLincoln40 min
Oct 19, 12:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLawrence, Limestone, Morgan49 min
Oct 19, 12:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXBedford, Cannon, Coffee, Grundy, Rutherford, Warren40 min
Oct 19, 12:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCannon, Clay, DeKalb, Fentress, Jackson, Overton and 7 more51 min
Oct 19, 12:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNMadison30 min
Oct 19, 12:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson22 min
Oct 19, 1:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCoffee, Grundy, Van Buren, Warren38 min
Oct 19, 1:34 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCumberland, Fentress, Overton, Pickett, Putnam, Van Buren and 1 more41 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2007-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1487 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2007-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 259 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1487 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-10 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
778 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
259 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
337 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.8
Supercell composite
10.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 190325
SEL6  
SPC WW 190325
ALZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-191000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 726
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 PM CDT THU OCT 18 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN AND WESTERN ALABAMA
       EASTERN MISSISSIPPI
       MIDDLE TENNESSEE

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 1025 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 95 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 722...WW 724...WW 725...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS EXTENDS FROM WESTERN TN
INTO CENTRAL MS.  THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY
THROUGH MUCH OF THE NIGHT AS THEY MOVE THROUGH MOIST AND MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT. 
HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR IS SUFFICIENTLY STRONG TO POSE A
RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 18, 7:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, Fayette, Franklin, Lamar, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 4 more84 min
Oct 18, 9:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBibb, Blount, Colbert, Cullman, Etowah, Fayette and 18 more84 min
Oct 19, 1:38 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee, Chilton, Clay and 11 more67 min
Oct 19, 12:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Claiborne, Cocke and 17 more53 min
Oct 19, 1:26 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bledsoe, Blount, Bradley, Campbell, Claiborne and 20 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2007Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2007Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.