Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 673

September 20, 200724 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 20, 2007, 3:45 PM CDT for 24 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 20, 2007, 3:45 PM CDT (20:45 UTC)
Expired
Sep 20, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Anoka County, MN, Carver County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Chisago County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Isanti County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, McLeod County, MN, Meeker County, MN, Pope County, MN, Ramsey County, MN, Renville County, MN, Scott County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Sibley County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Washington County, MN, Wright County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 4:13 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXKandiyohi, Meeker47 min
Sep 20, 4:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright63 min
Sep 20, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXCarver, Hennepin53 min
Sep 20, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Dakota, Ramsey, Scott60 min
Sep 20, 5:47 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXHennepin, Scott31 min
Sep 20, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXHennepin29 min
Sep 20, 6:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWashington53 min
Sep 20, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSherburne, Wright34 min
Sep 20, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningMPXDakota, Washington31 min
Sep 20, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Hennepin60 min
Sep 20, 6:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWright39 min
Sep 20, 7:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXAnoka, Washington34 min
Sep 20, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXIsanti38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 84 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-09-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2007-09-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 215 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1024 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
291 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 202047
SEL3  
SPC WW 202047
MNZ000-210300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 673
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT THU SEP 20 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF
REDWOOD FALLS MINNESOTA TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MINNEAPOLIS
MINNESOTA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...ELEVATED CONVECTION CONTINUES WELL N OF THE SURFACE
WARM FRONT...WHICH HAS NOW DEVELOPED NWD INTO THE MSP AREA.  THE
BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO WARM/MOISTEN S OF THE BOUNDARY...AND
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN FOR SURFACE-BASED
PARCELS ACROSS SW AND S CENTRAL MN.  THE NEWER STORM DEVELOPMENT TO
THE W OF MSP MAY STILL BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED...BUT IT IS VERY CLOSE
TO SURFACE BOUNDARY.  GIVEN THE STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PRESENT...ANY
STORMS ROOTED IN THE NEAR-SURFACE LAYER WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
TORNADOES.  OTHERWISE...LARGE HAIL AND A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH LATE EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 20, 3:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlue Earth, Brown, Carver, Chippewa, Dakota, Hennepin and 11 more119 min
Sep 20, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChisago, Wabasha7 hr
Sep 20, 5:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Traverse, Wilkin66 min
Sep 20, 6:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Carver, Chippewa, Chisago, Dakota, Goodhue and 18 more87 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.