Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 672

September 19, 20076 counties in Colorado; 21 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Sep 19, 2007, 1:38 PM MDT for 6 counties in Colorado; 21 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 19, 2007, 1:38 PM MDT (19:38 UTC)
Expired
Sep 19, 2007, 7:16 PM MDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Ness County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
10%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 1:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray62 min
Sep 19, 2:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCLane16 min
Sep 19, 2:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Logan59 min
Sep 19, 2:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray40 min
Sep 19, 3:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney38 min
Sep 19, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGove, Sheridan23 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-09-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-09-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 67 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2063 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 191940
SEL2  
SPC WW 191940
COZ000-KSZ000-200200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 672
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
240 PM CDT WED SEP 19 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EXTREME EASTERN COLORADO
       WESTERN KANSAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 240 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BURLINGTON COLORADO TO 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF HILL CITY
KANSAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE WARM
SECTOR /S OF A WARM FRONT S OF I-70/ AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WARM
INTO THE 80S AND REMOVE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION.  EXPECT THE THREAT
FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT TO SPREAD NWD ACROSS ERN CO/WRN KS
AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS NWD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  MODERATE
INSTABILITY ALONG AND S OF THE BOUNDARY...AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR
OF 35-50 KT...WILL SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL.  A COUPLE OF TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONE...WHERE LOW-LEVEL SHEAR AND MOISTURE WILL BE
MAXIMIZED.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 19, 1:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCProwers3 hr
Sep 19, 5:02 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers, Yuma88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.