Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 490

July 7, 200710 counties in Alabama

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 7, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT for 10 counties in Alabama. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2007, 3:48 PM CDT (20:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 7, 2007, 7:51 PM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
50 kt

Counties Autauga County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Pike County, AL, Russell County, AL

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 3:49 PM CDTTornado WarningBMXAutauga, Lowndes26 min
Jul 7, 4:14 PM CDTTornado WarningBMXLowndes13 min
Jul 7, 4:40 PM CDTTornado WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 145 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2007-07-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 4 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
145 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
622 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 072050
SEL0  
SPC WW 072050
ALZ000-080100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
350 PM CDT SAT JUL 7 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 350 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 60 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 35 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
AUBURN ALABAMA TO 30 MILES WEST OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...A MID LEVEL AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW ARE MOVING EWD
FROM MS TO WRN AL.  IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...RAINFALL HAS
MAINTAINED AN E-W RAIN-COOLED BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT NEAR MGM. 
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH OF 100-200 M2/S2/ IS MAXIMIZED ALONG
AND N OF THIS BOUNDARY PER THE BMX AND MXX VWP/S...AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR IS AT LEAST MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS
ALONG THIS SAME CORRIDOR.  GIVEN THE MOIST LOW LEVELS AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY...STORMS INTERACTING WITH THE BOUNDARY MAY PRODUCE A
COUPLE OF TORNADOES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS
EVENING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25020.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 11:23 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Butler, Choctaw, Clarke, Conecuh, Crenshaw and 7 more3 hr
Jul 7, 5:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Chilton and 13 more88 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.