Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 45

March 1, 200733 counties in Illinois; 40 counties in Indiana; 32 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 1, 2007, 8:40 AM CST for 33 counties in Illinois; 40 counties in Indiana; 32 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2007, 8:40 AM CST (14:40 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2007, 5:42 PM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 105 counties

Champaign County, IL, Christian County, IL, Clark County, IL, Clay County, IL, Coles County, IL, Crawford County, IL, Cumberland County, IL, DeWitt County, IL, Douglas County, IL, Edgar County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Effingham County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jasper County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Lawrence County, IL, Macon County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Massac County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Moultrie County, IL, Piatt County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Richland County, IL, Saline County, IL, Shelby County, IL, Vermilion County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Butler County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Logan County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
70%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

15 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 9:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin40 min
Mar 1, 9:20 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian, Sangamon25 min
Mar 1, 9:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXDeWitt, Logan, Macon, Sangamon31 min
Mar 1, 11:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHJohnson, Williamson43 min
Mar 1, 11:31 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMacoupin, Montgomery44 min
Mar 1, 11:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPope, Saline41 min
Mar 1, 12:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChristian38 min
Mar 1, 12:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXBond, Fayette, Montgomery52 min
Mar 1, 12:28 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMacon47 min
Mar 1, 12:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMoultrie, Shelby38 min
Mar 1, 12:51 PM CSTTornado WarningILXMacon24 min
Mar 1, 1:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXPiatt43 min
Mar 1, 1:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXMoultrie, Shelby26 min
Mar 1, 1:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd31 min
Mar 1, 1:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILXChampaign51 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 149 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2007-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2007-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 162 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
784 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
151 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 011440
SEL5  
SPC WW 011440
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-020000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 45
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
840 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF EASTERN AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS
       PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND WESTERN INDIANA
       PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 840 AM UNTIL 600
PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 15 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
DANVILLE ILLINOIS TO 20 MILES WEST OF FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE SURFACE LOW MOVING INTO IA WITH VERY STRONG
MID/UPPER JET DRIVING NEWD ACROSS MID MS AND LOWER OH VALLEY.  AIR
MASS EXPECTED TO DESTABILIZE NWD AHEAD OF COLD FRONT WITH VERY
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELLS/TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 10:30 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Cass, Fulton, Hancock, Henderson and 5 more90 min
Feb 28, 11:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Greene, Jersey and 5 more57 min
Mar 1, 12:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Jackson, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 2 more2 hr
Mar 1, 12:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Greene and 11 more6 hr
Mar 1, 1:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Pulaski and 1 more7 hr
Mar 1, 2:28 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Cass, Christian, Greene and 11 more92 min
Mar 1, 3:35 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Jackson, Monroe, Perry, Randolph, Saint Clair and 1 more55 min
Mar 1, 3:58 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin, Jackson and 10 more8 hr
Mar 1, 4:18 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGallatin, Hardin, Johnson, Massac, Pope, Saline117 min
Mar 1, 10:24 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrown, Bureau, Cass, Cook, DeKalb, DeWitt and 28 more96 min
Mar 1, 11:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Bureau, Cook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford and 23 more6 hr
Mar 1, 12:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland and 28 more117 min
Mar 1, 1:47 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCook, DeKalb, DuPage, Ford, Grundy, Iroquois and 7 more88 min
Mar 1, 3:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Anderson, Barren, Bell, Boyle, Casey and 36 more92 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2007Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.