Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WWUS53 KILX 011902
SVSILX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
102 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

ILC139-173-011915-
/O.CON.KILX.SV.W.0012.000000T0000Z-070301T1915Z/
MOULTRIE-SHELBY-
102 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CST
FOR MOULTRIE AND SHELBY COUNTIES...

AT 1256 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAKE
CITY TO HERRICK...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF
DECATUR TO 15 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHELBYVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

PEOPLE NEAR THESE LOCATIONS ARE STILL THREATENED...
  SULLIVAN.
  LOVINGTON.
  KIRKSVILLE.
  CLARKSBURG.
  STRASBURG.
  CADWELL.
  WINDSOR.
  STEWARDSON.
  ALLENVILLE.
  TROWBRIDGE.

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS AND LARGE
DAMAGING HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS

LAT...LON 3965 8882 3965 8897 3953 8897 3922 8904
      3921 8881 3922 8847 3944 8848 3979 8848
      3979 8876

$$

HARDIMAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1125 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007

.DISCUSSION...
WINCHESTER PROFILER AND RADAR WIND PRODUCTS INDICATE STRONG
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF CENTRAL ILLINOIS AS THE
DRY SLOT/OCCLUDED FRONT CONTINUES PUSHING NORTHEASTWARD. HAVE SEEN
LOTS OF GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH OUTSIDE OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY
UPSTREAM OVER SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHEAST MISSOURI...AND WESTERN
ILLINOIS. HAVE ISSUED HIGH WIND WARNING TO COVER THE SYNOPTIC WINDS.
WIND SPEEDS WILL BE HIGHER IN THE VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS
WILL LIKELY STAY STRONG TONIGHT AND FRIDAY AS WELL...SO A WIND
ADVISORY WILL PROBABLY BE ISSUED WITH THE 330PM FORECAST PACKAGE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
STORM SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE CWA TODAY PRODUCING RATHER WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  ACTIVE WEATHER PRECLUDING TOO MUCH OF AN
UPDATE DISCUSSION. HOWEVER...FIRST ROUND OF PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED
INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE STATE...AND THE COLD FRONT ITSELF FIRING OFF
SOME CONVECTION NOW BACK TOWARDS THE MISS RIVER. NEXT ROUND OF
PRECIP ON THE WAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE
MIDWEST.  GOING FORECAST LOOKING GOOD. WILL BE LOOKING INTO THE
THREAT OF HIGH WINDS THIS AFTERNOON ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM
AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES DRAMATICALLY.  ADVISORY
CRITERIA...IF NOT HIGH WIND WARNING CRITERIA MAY BE MET. BUT AS FOR
THE SHORT TERM...UPDATE SENT OUT EARLIER FOR THE TORNADO WATCH IN
THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST...AND NOT ANTICIPATING ANOTHER UPDATE UNTIL
THE SITUATION CHANGES.

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH TODAY UNTIL 6 PM FOR ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM FOR ALL OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
ILLINOIS.

&&

04/HJS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1220 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

ILZ027-036-040-047-049-050-021200-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MORGAN-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-
1220 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY NORTH OF A LINE
FROM JACKSONVILLE TO CLINTON TO HOOPESTON..

A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER WESTERN MISSOURI WILL MOVE
TO NORTHEAST IOWA BY THIS EVENING...AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN BY
FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD OVER ALL OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TODAY...WITH POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.
HEAVY RAINS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
STILL MOSTLY FROZEN SOIL. RUN OFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS WILL
ENHANCE CURRENT RIVER FLOODING...CAUSING FURTHER RISES TO AREA
RIVERS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 35 TO 45 MPH DUE TO THE DEEPENING
LOW CENTER WILL SPREAD OVER ALL THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...THOUGH ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

ILZ028>031-037-038-041-042-048-051-021200-
LOGAN-MARSHALL-MASON-MCLEAN-MENARD-PEORIA-SANGAMON-STARK-TAZEWELL-
WOODFORD-
1220 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY NORTH OF A LINE
FROM JACKSONVILLE TO CLINTON TO HOOPESTON..

A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER WESTERN MISSOURI WILL MOVE
TO NORTHEAST IOWA BY THIS EVENING...AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN BY
FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD OVER ALL OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS TODAY...WITH POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY.
HEAVY RAINS WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
STILL MOSTLY FROZEN SOIL. RUN OFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS WILL
ENHANCE CURRENT RIVER FLOODING...CAUSING FURTHER RISES TO AREA
RIVERS THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. BY THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 35 TO 45 MPH DUE TO THE DEEPENING
LOW CENTER WILL SPREAD OVER ALL THE REGION. LIGHT SNOW WILL BE
POSSIBLE TONIGHT OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...THOUGH ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

ILZ043>046-052>057-061>063-066>068-071>073-021200-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-CLARK-CLAY-COLES-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-DE WITT-
DOUGLAS-EDGAR-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-MACON-MOULTRIE-PIATT-
RICHLAND-SHELBY-VERMILION-
1220 PM CST THU MAR 1 2007

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY ALONG AND SOUTH
OF A LINE FROM JACKSONVILLE TO CLINTON TO HOOPESTON...WITH A SLIGHT
RISK TO THE NORTH.

A DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER WESTERN MISSOURI WILL MOVE
TO NORTHEAST IOWA BY THIS EVENING...AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN BY
FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD OVER ALL OF
CENTRAL...EAST...AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS TODAY...WITH POSSIBLE
SEVERE WEATHER PRODUCED. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND
HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A FLOOD WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY. HEAVY RAINS WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY CAUSING PONDING OF WATER ON STILL MOSTLY FROZEN
SOIL. RUN OFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINS WILL ENHANCE CURRENT RIVER
FLOODING...CAUSING FURTHER RISES TO AREA RIVERS THROUGHOUT THE
WEEKEND. BY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 35
TO 45 MPH DUE TO THE DEEPENING LOW CENTER WILL SPREAD OVER ALL THE
REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TODAY.

HJS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
708 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0657 AM     HAIL             JACKSONVILLE            39.73N 90.23W
03/01/2007  M0.88 INCH       MORGAN             IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1016 AM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1005 AM     HAIL             CLINTON                 40.15N 88.96W
03/01/2007  M0.75 INCH       DE WITT            IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RELAYED BY MACON COUNTY EMA

&&

GEELHART

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1237 PM CST THU MAR 01 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1219 PM     TSTM WND DMG     TAYLORVILLE             39.52N 89.26W
03/01/2007                   CHRISTIAN          IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEMI TRAILER BLOWN OVER

1219 PM     HAIL             TAYLORVILLE             39.52N 89.26W
03/01/2007  E0.75 INCH       CHRISTIAN          IL   PUBLIC

&&

PARR