Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 36

February 28, 200718 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 28, 2007, 5:07 PM CST for 18 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2007, 5:07 PM CST (23:07 UTC)
Expired
Mar 1, 2007, 1:36 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Elk County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Greenwood County, KS, Labette County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Morris County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK

The radar

The Wichita radar (KICT), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 5:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTGreenwood, Wilson, Woodson60 min
Feb 28, 5:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey51 min
Feb 28, 6:11 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTWoodson34 min
Feb 28, 6:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage38 min
Feb 28, 6:26 PM CSTTornado WarningICTWoodson19 min
Feb 28, 6:34 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPAnderson, Coffey26 min
Feb 28, 6:48 PM CSTTornado WarningICTAllen, Woodson25 min
Feb 28, 6:55 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPAnderson42 min
Feb 28, 7:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage39 min
Feb 28, 8:00 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPFranklin45 min
Feb 28, 8:23 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPFranklin37 min
Feb 28, 8:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage4 hr
Feb 28, 8:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTOPCoffey, Franklin, Osage4 hr
Feb 28, 9:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTChase43 min
Feb 28, 9:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTButler, Chase, Marion20 min
Feb 28, 9:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon43 min
Feb 28, 9:42 PM CSTTornado WarningTOPCoffey, Lyon, Osage48 min
Feb 28, 9:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOsage52 min
Feb 28, 10:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPFranklin50 min
Feb 28, 11:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin30 min
Mar 1, 12:35 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOsage, Pawnee55 min
Mar 1, 1:00 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSATulsa60 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lamont, OK (KLMN), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2007-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lamont, OK at 12:00Z on 2007-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 30 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2512 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 282311
SEL6  
SPC WW 282311
KSZ000-OKZ000-010800-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
510 PM CST WED FEB 28 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHEAST AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS
       NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 510
PM UNTIL 200 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
EMPORIA KANSAS TO 20 MILES SOUTH OF TULSA OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...DEEPENING CUMULUS ALONG RETREATING MOISTURE BOUNDARY IN
SE KS SUGGESTS THAT CONVECTIVE INITIATION IS LIKELY IN THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS...WITH MORE ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT ALSO POSSIBLE SWD ALONG
THE DRYLINE INTO NE OK.  THE ENVIRONMENT INITIALLY WILL SUPPORT A
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WITH SUPERCELLS. 
BY LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES WILL
INCREASE IN CONJUNCTION WITH ADDITIONAL LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND
STRENGTHENING VERTICAL SHEAR IN ADVANCE OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
AND STRONG MID-UPPER JET STREAK.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 3:05 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Anderson, Bourbon, Chautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley and 10 more55 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.