Tornado Watch 314

Issued

May 31, 2007, 3:45 PM MDT (21:45 UTC)

Expired

May 31, 2007, 10:00 PM MDT

In force

6 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

2.5 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

40%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

30%

Ten or more severe hail reports

60%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

40%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

90%

• Mesoscale Discussion 936May 31, 1:33 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 937May 31, 2:28 PM MDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 940May 31, 6:52 PM MDT

000
WWUS20 KWNS 312145
SEL4  
SPC WW 312145
NMZ000-TXZ000-010400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
445 PM CDT THU MAY 31 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN NEW MEXICO
       WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 445 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
CANNON AFB NEW MEXICO TO 25 MILES SOUTH OF HOBBS NEW MEXICO.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE INCREASING ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEAST NM...AND ALONG WEAK BOUNDARY ACROSS WEST TX. 
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS WEST TX.  VERTICAL
SHEAR IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS.  VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE VALUES OVER 3000
J/KG/ AND BACKED LOW LEVEL WINDS MAY ALSO RESULT IN ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HART

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2007Tornado Watches in New Mexico, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.