Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 304

May 29, 200715 counties in Colorado; 8 counties in Kansas; 13 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 29, 2007, 12:29 PM MDT for 15 counties in Colorado; 8 counties in Kansas; 13 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2007, 12:29 PM MDT (18:29 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2007, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 36 counties

Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Graham County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Chase County, NE, Custer County, NE, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Denver radar (KFTG), 135 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

46 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 12:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Denver, Jefferson43 min
May 29, 12:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUBoulder, Weld30 min
May 29, 12:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFPerkins40 min
May 29, 1:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Denver, Jefferson55 min
May 29, 1:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFCuster, Lincoln, Logan114 min
May 29, 1:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUAdams, Denver29 min
May 29, 1:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUDouglas, Elbert22 min
May 29, 2:16 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUDouglas, Elbert44 min
May 29, 2:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUMorgan50 min
May 29, 2:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUElbert32 min
May 29, 3:13 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso46 min
May 29, 3:26 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFLincoln3 hr
May 29, 3:27 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert48 min
May 29, 3:31 PM MDTTornado WarningLBFLincoln29 min
May 29, 3:35 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFCuster6 hr
May 29, 3:41 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFChase, Frontier, Hayes6 hr
May 29, 3:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso93 min
May 29, 3:59 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDYuma61 min
May 29, 4:01 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDYuma4 hr
May 29, 4:11 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln49 min
May 29, 4:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUWashington26 min
May 29, 4:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDHitchcock53 min
May 29, 4:23 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDYuma67 min
May 29, 4:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHayes27 min
May 29, 4:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln23 min
May 29, 4:49 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln41 min
May 29, 4:56 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln49 min
May 29, 4:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOUPhillips34 min
May 29, 5:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHayes29 min
May 29, 5:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGIDAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Dawson, Fillmore, Furnas and 12 more91 days
May 29, 5:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso62 min
May 29, 5:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDundy65 min
May 29, 5:31 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDDundy, Hitchcock6 hr
May 29, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFHayes29 min
May 29, 5:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman56 min
May 29, 5:36 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln18 min
May 29, 5:39 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFFrontier36 min
May 29, 5:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLBFLincoln27 min
May 29, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins, Thomas54 min
May 29, 6:28 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningLBFLincoln4 hr
May 29, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins, Thomas32 min
May 29, 6:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDDecatur, Sheridan59 min
May 29, 7:12 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDRed Willow6 hr
May 29, 7:16 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDRed Willow59 min
May 29, 7:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDFurnas53 min
May 29, 7:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGraham, Norton58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 41 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 18 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2007-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -86 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1497 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-86 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 291831
SEL4  
SPC WW 291831
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-300200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 304
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHEAST COLORADO
       NORTHWEST KANSAS
       SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1230 PM UNTIL
800 PM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF DENVER
COLORADO TO 25 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP/INTENSITY OVER PARTS OF SWRN NEB AND ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
IN CO.  ACTIVITY IS ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WILL
MOVE SWD/SEWD THIS AFTERNOON INTO MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. 
MLCAPE IS 2000-2500 J/KG OVER SWRN NEB ATTM...AND BETWEEN 500-1500
J/KG OVER ERN CO.  DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS 40-45 KT WHICH IS FAVORABLE
FOR STRONG ROTATING UPDRAFTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...MCCARTHY

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 29, 12:12 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Crowley and 16 more93 min
May 29, 2:52 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Arapahoe, Bent, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Crowley and 16 more53 min
May 29, 4:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, El Paso, Kit Carson, Lincoln, Yuma3 hr
May 29, 5:08 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Huerfano, Kiowa and 4 more4 hr
May 29, 5:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Huerfano, Kiowa and 7 more95 min
May 28, 8:03 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHayes87 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2007Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2007Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.