Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 237

May 5, 200727 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 5, 2007, 7:22 PM CDT for 27 counties in Iowa; 7 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 5, 2007, 7:22 PM CDT (00:22 UTC)
Expired
May 6, 2007, 4:34 AM CDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Adair County, IA, Adams County, IA, Audubon County, IA, Boone County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Calhoun County, IA, Carroll County, IA, Cass County, IA, Clarke County, IA, Clay County, IA, Crawford County, IA, Dallas County, IA, Decatur County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Greene County, IA, Guthrie County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Madison County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Ringgold County, IA, Sac County, IA, Taylor County, IA, Union County, IA, Webster County, IA, Andrew County, MO, Atchison County, MO, Gentry County, MO, Harrison County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO, Worth County, MO

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass42 min
May 5, 9:14 PM CDTTornado WarningDMXCass46 min
May 6, 12:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFSDBuena Vista, Clay, O'Brien6 hr
May 6, 1:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXNodaway36 min
May 6, 1:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAtchison, Holt33 min
May 6, 2:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass36 min
May 6, 2:45 AM CDTTornado WarningDMXCass30 min
May 6, 2:49 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Holt, Nodaway8 hr
May 6, 3:07 AM CDTTornado WarningDMXAudubon23 min
May 6, 3:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCass15 min
May 6, 3:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXCass3 hr
May 6, 3:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAudubon28 min
May 6, 3:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdams, Ringgold, Taylor, Union35 min
May 6, 3:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXAndrew, Holt, Nodaway33 min
May 6, 4:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningDMXAudubon3 hr
May 6, 4:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXAdair, Clarke, Dallas, Guthrie, Madison, Ringgold and 1 more38 min
May 6, 4:22 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew, Nodaway8 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2431 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2431 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1133 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
7.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 060022
SEL7  
SPC WW 060022
IAZ000-MOZ000-060700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 237
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
720 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WESTERN IOWA
       NORTHWEST MISSOURI

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING FROM 720 PM
UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
SPENCER IOWA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF LAMONI IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 232...WW 234...WW
235...WW 236...

DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TSTMS NOW FORMING IN NW MO AND SW IA EXPECTED
TO MOVE/DEVELOP MAINLY NNE THIS EVENING.  STRONGLY BACKED NEAR-SFC
FLOW...DECOUPLING OF LLJ...FAIRLY RICH MOISTURE ENVIRONMENT AND 40
KT DEEP SWLY SHEAR SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR SUPERCELLS WITH
HAIL/TORNADOES DESPITE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21040.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 7:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLyon, Plymouth, Sioux, Woodbury94 min
May 5, 9:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 21 more59 min
May 5, 9:31 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Fremont, Harrison, Ida, Lyon, Mills and 10 more6 hr
May 6, 1:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Adams, Audubon, Boone, Buena Vista, Calhoun and 37 more85 min
May 6, 4:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Davis, Decatur, Lucas, Madison and 7 more2 hr
May 6, 4:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAppanoose, Clarke, Dallas, Davis, Decatur, Jasper and 10 more4 hr
May 6, 7:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAppanoose, Davis, Grundy, Mahaska, Marshall, Monroe and 3 more95 min
May 5, 8:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Platte57 min
May 6, 11:41 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton94 min
May 6, 5:38 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Cass, Jackson, Vernon67 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2007Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.