Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2007

Tornado Watch 2

January 4, 2007Choctaw County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 12 parishes in Louisiana; 34 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 4, 2007, 8:47 PM CST for Choctaw County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 12 parishes in Louisiana; 34 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 4, 2007, 8:47 PM CST (02:47 UTC)
Expired
Jan 5, 2007, 4:00 AM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 49 counties

Choctaw County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Yazoo County, MS

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 4, 10:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHinds29 min
Jan 4, 10:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington36 min
Jan 4, 10:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANMadison, Yazoo43 min
Jan 4, 11:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCopiah, Lawrence, Simpson55 min
Jan 4, 11:11 PM CSTTornado WarningJANYazoo27 min
Jan 4, 11:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis34 min
Jan 4, 11:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCovington, Smith40 min
Jan 4, 11:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANForrest, Lamar31 min
Jan 5, 12:18 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones42 min
Jan 5, 12:26 AM CSTTornado WarningJANJasper, Jones44 min
Jan 5, 12:30 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBStone15 min
Jan 5, 12:34 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNewton, Scott41 min
Jan 5, 12:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison, Jackson36 min
Jan 5, 1:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNeshoba44 min
Jan 5, 1:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClarke41 min
Jan 5, 1:05 AM CSTTornado WarningJANNeshoba40 min
Jan 5, 1:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLauderdale47 min
Jan 5, 1:40 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper39 min
Jan 5, 2:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw26 min
Jan 5, 3:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXHarrison43 min
Jan 5, 3:41 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJackson49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2007-01-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 478 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 00:00Z on 2007-01-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 221 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
478 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
547 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
221 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
236 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 050247
SEL2  
SPC WW 050247
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-051000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CST THU JAN 4 2007

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
       SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
       SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
MC COMB MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA.  FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...

DISCUSSION...INTENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ONE OR MORE LINES OF
THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING EWD ACROSS WW OVERNIGHT.  LOW LEVEL SHEAR
WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG WITHIN FEED OF SEASONABLY MOIST MARINE AIR
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO.  CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A
THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.


...EVANS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 5, 12:47 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 57 more28 min
Jan 5, 1:15 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 48 more6 hr
Jan 5, 2:26 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, Mobile, Washington64 min
Jan 5, 3:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 47 more62 min
Jan 5, 5:46 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 28 more59 min
Jan 5, 7:21 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clay, Coffee and 16 more8 hr
Jan 5, 9:02 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne and 17 more118 min
Jan 4, 6:34 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 7 more86 min
Jan 4, 8:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles, Saint Tammany and 1 more87 min
Jan 4, 10:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany, Washington94 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.