Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2007
Tornado Watch 2
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 4, 2007, 8:47 PM CST for Choctaw County, Mobile County, Washington County, Alabama; 12 parishes in Louisiana; 34 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 4, 2007, 8:47 PM CST (02:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 5, 2007, 4:00 AM CST
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 0.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 49 counties
Choctaw County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Washington County, AL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Pike County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 20%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 5%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 40%
Warnings issued inside it
21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 10:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds | 29 min |
| Jan 4, 10:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 36 min |
| Jan 4, 10:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Madison, Yazoo | 43 min |
| Jan 4, 11:05 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Lawrence, Simpson | 55 min |
| Jan 4, 11:11 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Yazoo | 27 min |
| Jan 4, 11:26 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis | 34 min |
| Jan 4, 11:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Smith | 40 min |
| Jan 4, 11:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Forrest, Lamar | 31 min |
| Jan 5, 12:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 42 min |
| Jan 5, 12:26 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jasper, Jones | 44 min |
| Jan 5, 12:30 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MOB | Stone | 15 min |
| Jan 5, 12:34 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott | 41 min |
| Jan 5, 12:39 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison, Jackson | 36 min |
| Jan 5, 1:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 44 min |
| Jan 5, 1:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Clarke | 41 min |
| Jan 5, 1:05 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Neshoba | 40 min |
| Jan 5, 1:28 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lauderdale | 47 min |
| Jan 5, 1:40 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper | 39 min |
| Jan 5, 2:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MOB | Choctaw | 26 min |
| Jan 5, 3:17 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Harrison | 43 min |
| Jan 5, 3:41 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LIX | Jackson | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 90 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 478 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -17 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 547 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 221 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 236 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 4.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 050247
SEL2
SPC WW 050247
ALZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-CWZ000-051000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
845 PM CST THU JAN 4 2007
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI
COASTAL WATERS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING FROM 845 PM
UNTIL 400 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
MC COMB MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES NORTHEAST OF MOBILE ALABAMA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...
DISCUSSION...INTENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NOW APPROACHING THE
LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ONE OR MORE LINES OF
THUNDERSTORMS SPREADING EWD ACROSS WW OVERNIGHT. LOW LEVEL SHEAR
WILL REMAIN QUITE STRONG WITHIN FEED OF SEASONABLY MOIST MARINE AIR
OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A
THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES AND/OR DAMAGING WINDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25025.
...EVANSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 12:47 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 57 more | 28 min |
| Jan 5, 1:15 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 48 more | 6 hr |
| Jan 5, 2:26 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, Mobile, Washington | 64 min |
| Jan 5, 3:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Baldwin, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock and 47 more | 62 min |
| Jan 5, 5:46 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Barbour, Blount, Bullock, Butler, Calhoun and 28 more | 59 min |
| Jan 5, 7:21 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clay, Coffee and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Jan 5, 9:02 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Bullock, Butler, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne and 17 more | 118 min |
| Jan 4, 6:34 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 7 more | 86 min |
| Jan 4, 8:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles, Saint Tammany and 1 more | 87 min |
| Jan 4, 10:56 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany, Washington | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2007Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2007Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2007Every tornado watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.