Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 700
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Oct 2, 2007, 2:56 PM CDT for 8 counties in Kansas; 51 counties in Missouri; 19 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 2, 2007, 2:56 PM CDT (19:56 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 2, 2007, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 78 counties
Bourbon County, KS, Chautauqua County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Labette County, KS, Linn County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Audrain County, MO, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Christian County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Maries County, MO, Marion County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Newton County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Pike County, MO, Polk County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Stone County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Warren County, MO, Webster County, MO, Blaine County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Washington County, OK
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 5%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 3:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage | 37 min |
| Oct 2, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Washington | 61 min |
| Oct 2, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Osage, Washington | 45 min |
| Oct 2, 4:38 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe, Shelby | 34 min |
| Oct 2, 4:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Marion, Monroe, Ralls | 49 min |
| Oct 2, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery | 46 min |
| Oct 2, 6:16 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Pike, Ralls | 59 min |
| Oct 2, 6:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Montgomery, Pike | 26 min |
| Oct 2, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barry, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton | 60 min |
| Oct 2, 7:07 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Warren | 38 min |
| Oct 2, 7:47 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 43 min |
| Oct 2, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 44 min |
| Oct 2, 8:38 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Cedar, Polk | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 635 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -71 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 864 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 54 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2:32 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Cherokee, Crawford | 118 min |
| Oct 2, 6:53 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bourbon, Cherokee, Crawford, Labette | 97 min |
| Oct 2, 3:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 7 more | 59 min |
| Oct 2, 5:47 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 13 more | 4 hr |
| Oct 2, 2:31 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Garfield, Grant and 10 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.