Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 608

August 16, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 16, 2007, 6:04 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 16, 2007, 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC)
Expired
Aug 16, 2007, 10:01 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 6:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMTompkins42 min
Aug 16, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer30 min
Aug 16, 6:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCortland59 min
Aug 16, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSullivan53 min
Aug 16, 6:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware37 min
Aug 16, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton35 min
Aug 16, 7:14 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack46 min
Aug 16, 7:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSullivan34 min
Aug 16, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware41 min
Aug 16, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap36 min
Aug 16, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack45 min
Aug 16, 8:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware, Sullivan48 min
Aug 16, 8:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack57 min
Aug 16, 9:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXRockingham34 min

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 85 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 37 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1347 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 16, 1:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Cayuga, Chenango, Clinton, Cortland, Essex and 27 more113 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.