Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 573

August 9, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 9, 2007, 9:47 AM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 9, 2007, 9:47 AM EDT (13:47 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2007, 4:00 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 40 counties

Allegany County, MD, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Carroll County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Washington County, MD, Adams County, PA, Bedford County, PA, Blair County, PA, Cambria County, PA, Centre County, PA, Clearfield County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Perry County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Somerset County, PA, York County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, Clarke County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Berkeley County, WV, Jefferson County, WV, Morgan County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 10:08 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFulton, Huntingdon67 min
Aug 9, 10:33 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPBedford27 min
Aug 9, 10:38 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPFranklin67 min
Aug 9, 10:47 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXWashington73 min
Aug 9, 10:51 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCumberland, Perry54 min
Aug 9, 11:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick72 min
Aug 9, 11:28 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPAdams47 min
Aug 9, 3:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPCambria, Somerset58 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 1.8 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2007-08-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 547 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2007-08-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 40 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
547 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-121 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1213 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 9, 8:47 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Carroll, Cecil, Frederick, Harford and 6 more58 min
Aug 9, 12:35 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Cecil, Dorchester and 11 more85 min
Aug 9, 12:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCaroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Kent, Queen Anne's, Somerset and 3 more3 hr
Aug 9, 1:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGarrett7 hr
Aug 9, 2:25 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalvert, Charles, Dorchester, Saint Mary's, Somerset, Wicomico2 hr
Aug 9, 2:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Dorchester, Frederick and 9 more94 min
Aug 9, 7:23 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Caroline, Carroll and 16 more67 min
Aug 9, 11:54 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Beaver, Butler, Fayette, Greene, Lawrence and 3 more2 hr
Aug 9, 5:03 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Butler, Fayette, Greene and 4 more87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maryland, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.