Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 560

August 3, 20075 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2007, 12:56 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2007, 12:56 PM EDT (16:56 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2007, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 87 counties

Androscoggin County, ME, Aroostook County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, Washington County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Clinton County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Essex County, NY, Franklin County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Jefferson County, NY, Lewis County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, St. Lawrence County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Cameron County, PA, Clinton County, PA, Elk County, PA, Lycoming County, PA, McKean County, PA, Potter County, PA, Sullivan County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Tioga County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Addison County, VT, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Chittenden County, VT, Essex County, VT, Franklin County, VT, Grand Isle County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Burlington radar (KCXX), 96 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

90 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 12:56 PM EDTTornado WarningCARAroostook34 min
Aug 3, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford34 min
Aug 3, 1:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida64 min
Aug 3, 1:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYFulton, Herkimer, Montgomery57 min
Aug 3, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin53 min
Aug 3, 1:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset35 min
Aug 3, 1:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford33 min
Aug 3, 1:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Steuben47 min
Aug 3, 2:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton60 min
Aug 3, 2:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis43 min
Aug 3, 2:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSullivan41 min
Aug 3, 2:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVClinton, Essex40 min
Aug 3, 2:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset34 min
Aug 3, 2:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida63 min
Aug 3, 2:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin32 min
Aug 3, 2:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPPotter46 min
Aug 3, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrleans60 min
Aug 3, 2:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer57 min
Aug 3, 2:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Steuben39 min
Aug 3, 2:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford32 min
Aug 3, 2:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis44 min
Aug 3, 2:47 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford3 hr
Aug 3, 2:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis40 min
Aug 3, 2:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset19 min
Aug 3, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVFranklin55 min
Aug 3, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango53 min
Aug 3, 3:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPTioga53 min
Aug 3, 3:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis38 min
Aug 3, 3:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOtsego58 min
Aug 3, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome56 min
Aug 3, 3:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Rensselaer62 min
Aug 3, 3:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford61 min
Aug 3, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset45 min
Aug 3, 3:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin37 min
Aug 3, 3:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset51 min
Aug 3, 3:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna64 min
Aug 3, 4:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford37 min
Aug 3, 4:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXMerrimack36 min
Aug 3, 4:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan65 min
Aug 3, 4:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYWashington60 min
Aug 3, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrleans55 min
Aug 3, 4:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook, Penobscot38 min
Aug 3, 4:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida66 min
Aug 3, 4:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYAlbany, Saratoga27 min
Aug 3, 4:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBennington56 min
Aug 3, 4:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware54 min
Aug 3, 4:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHamilton38 min
Aug 3, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford51 min
Aug 3, 4:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango40 min
Aug 3, 4:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer35 min
Aug 3, 4:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOtsego59 min
Aug 3, 5:02 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSusquehanna58 min
Aug 3, 5:05 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningBGMSullivan4 hr
Aug 3, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford39 min
Aug 3, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook34 min
Aug 3, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPiscataquis, Somerset21 min
Aug 3, 5:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan60 min
Aug 3, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison13 min
Aug 3, 5:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford47 min
Aug 3, 5:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBennington, Windham60 min
Aug 3, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida58 min
Aug 3, 5:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford36 min
Aug 3, 5:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHillsborough25 min
Aug 3, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot32 min
Aug 3, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec47 min
Aug 3, 5:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer61 min
Aug 3, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMWayne60 min
Aug 3, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire60 min
Aug 3, 6:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Somerset, Waldo34 min
Aug 3, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot33 min
Aug 3, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMSullivan60 min
Aug 3, 6:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford36 min
Aug 3, 6:26 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida64 min
Aug 3, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMDelaware43 min
Aug 3, 6:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot26 min
Aug 3, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXWaldo32 min
Aug 3, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARAroostook24 min
Aug 3, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYHerkimer53 min
Aug 3, 7:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer23 min
Aug 3, 7:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOtsego65 min
Aug 3, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire34 min
Aug 3, 7:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOnondaga59 min
Aug 3, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida63 min
Aug 3, 7:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUFLewis49 min
Aug 3, 7:31 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer59 min
Aug 3, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford35 min
Aug 3, 8:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMMadison, Oneida60 min
Aug 3, 8:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Otsego52 min
Aug 3, 9:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARWashington37 min
Aug 3, 9:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXLincoln, Sagadahoc47 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1646 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1646 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-99 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1104 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 6:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook55 min
Aug 3, 10:28 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Piscataquis, Somerset92 min
Aug 3, 12:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Cumberland, Franklin, Kennebec, Oxford, Penobscot and 4 more97 min
Aug 3, 3:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPenobscot95 min
Aug 3, 6:01 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndroscoggin, Aroostook, Cumberland, Franklin, Hancock, Kennebec and 10 more59 min
Aug 3, 3:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHampden87 min
Aug 3, 8:43 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbany, Fulton, Montgomery, Rensselaer, Saratoga, Schenectady and 3 more92 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Vermont, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.