Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 537

July 18, 2007Bonner County, Boundary County, Shoshone County, Idaho; 6 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 18, 2007, 6:18 PM PDT for Bonner County, Boundary County, Shoshone County, Idaho; 6 counties in Montana. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 18, 2007, 6:18 PM PDT (01:18 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2007, 12:00 AM PDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt

Counties Bonner County, ID, Boundary County, ID, Shoshone County, ID, Flathead County, MT, Lake County, MT, Lincoln County, MT, Mineral County, MT, Missoula County, MT, Sanders County, MT

The radar

The Missoula radar (KMSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

13 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 6:28 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOSanders9 min
Jul 18, 6:32 PM PDTTornado WarningMSOLake, Sanders28 min
Jul 18, 6:59 PM PDTTornado WarningMSOLake46 min
Jul 18, 7:24 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead51 min
Jul 18, 7:29 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOLincoln46 min
Jul 18, 7:38 PM PDTTornado WarningMSOFlathead, Lake52 min
Jul 18, 8:08 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead67 min
Jul 18, 8:10 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOLincoln50 min
Jul 18, 8:23 PM PDTFlash Flood WarningMSOFlathead, Lincoln3 hr
Jul 18, 8:37 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOSanders38 min
Jul 18, 9:07 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOFlathead38 min
Jul 18, 10:18 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOLincoln42 min
Jul 18, 11:16 PM PDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMSOLincoln29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Spokane, WA (KOTX), launched 00:00Z, 1.3 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Spokane, WA at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 114 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Spokane, WA at 00:00Z on 2007-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-269 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1909 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 18, 9:11 PM PDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFlathead, Lake, Lincoln, Mineral, Missoula, Sanders94 min
Jul 19, 12:46 PM PDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Blaine, Carbon, Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus and 19 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Idaho, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.