Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 463

June 29, 200760 counties in North Carolina; 10 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 29, 2007, 1:39 PM EDT for 60 counties in North Carolina; 10 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2007, 1:39 PM EDT (17:39 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2007, 9:55 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 70 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Camden County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Southampton County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

18 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 1:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham42 min
Jun 29, 2:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPIredell62 min
Jun 29, 2:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWake40 min
Jun 29, 2:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXMartin, Pitt61 min
Jun 29, 2:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPIredell33 min
Jun 29, 2:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHJohnston67 min
Jun 29, 3:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHWake21 min
Jun 29, 3:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson18 min
Jun 29, 3:36 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXGreene39 min
Jun 29, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXTyrrell23 min
Jun 29, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHoke, Moore23 min
Jun 29, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHHoke, Moore23 min
Jun 29, 3:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXDare39 min
Jun 29, 4:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXTyrrell23 min
Jun 29, 4:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMHXHyde28 min
Jun 29, 5:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHMoore55 min
Jun 29, 5:48 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHMoore3 hr
Jun 29, 6:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCity of Suffolk28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 719 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
719 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
854 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 12:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Clay and 17 more53 min
Jun 29, 4:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Craven, Cumberland, Duplin, Greene and 17 more90 min
Jun 29, 7:38 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Cabarrus and 61 more67 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Carolina, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.