Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 1321

June 29, 200767 counties in North Carolina; 17 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 29, 2007, 7:38 PM EDT for 67 counties in North Carolina; 17 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 67 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2007, 7:38 PM EDT (23:38 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2007, 8:45 PM EDT
In force
67 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 84 counties

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Beaufort County, NC, Bertie County, NC, Bladen County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Chowan County, NC, Craven County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Gates County, NC, Granville County, NC, Greene County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hertford County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Northampton County, NC, Onslow County, NC, Orange County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Pender County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Person County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Robeson County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Union County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Washington County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Brunswick County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Emporia, VA, City of Franklin, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Greensville County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, Mecklenburg County, VA, Southampton County, VA, Surry County, VA, Sussex County, VA

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 719 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 12:00Z on 2007-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
719 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-50 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
854 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 292338
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292338 
NCZ000-VAZ000-SCZ000-300045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CDT FRI JUN 29 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN NC AND FAR SERN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463...

VALID 292338Z - 300045Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463
CONTINUES.

ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS SWRN PART
OF WW 463...AND ALONG CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM
ROBESON TO PENDER COUNTIES /ADJACENT TO THE WATCH/ WHERE THE AIR
MASS REMAINED MODERATELY UNSTABLE.  

ALTHOUGH TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DEVELOP INTO THE EARLY EVENING
ALONG THE PRIMARY SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY FROM VA INTO THE SRN
APPALACHIANS AND TRACK SEWD TOWARD THE NRN PART OF WW 463...MUCH OF
THE AIR MASS OVER NC HAS BEEN CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED.  THUS...
EXCEPT FOR THE SWRN AND FAR SRN PART OF WW 463...OVERALL SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH GIVEN STABILIZING AIR
MASS AND STRONGER DEEP LAYER SHEAR FORECAST TO REMAIN N OF NC.

..PETERS.. 06/29/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

37087564 36087525 35617503 35107520 34937597 34747655
34387754 34487827 34597944 34748082 35058110 35938111
36188096 36597914 36857777 37007748 37197660

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 12:07 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, Clay and 17 more53 min
Jun 29, 1:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlamance, Anson, Beaufort, Bertie, Cabarrus, Camden and 54 more8 hr
Jun 29, 4:00 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bladen, Craven, Cumberland, Duplin, Greene and 17 more90 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.