Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 460

June 27, 20074 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 27, 2007, 7:26 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 27, 2007, 7:26 PM EDT (23:26 UTC)
Expired
Jun 27, 2007, 11:00 PM EDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 57 counties

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, Nassau County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Columbia County, PA, Cumberland County, PA, Dauphin County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Franklin County, PA, Fulton County, PA, Huntingdon County, PA, Juniata County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lebanon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Mifflin County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Montour County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Northumberland County, PA, Perry County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Schuylkill County, PA, Snyder County, PA, Union County, PA, York County, PA

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHISussex76 min
Jun 27, 7:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPSchuylkill46 min
Jun 27, 7:54 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXQueens3 hr
Jun 27, 7:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPColumbia, Montour63 min
Jun 27, 7:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHILehigh62 min
Jun 27, 8:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMonroe56 min
Jun 27, 8:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren87 min
Jun 27, 8:28 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXRockland, Westchester47 min
Jun 27, 8:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIChester72 min
Jun 27, 8:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXNassau21 min
Jun 27, 8:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXBergen37 min
Jun 27, 8:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMorris69 min
Jun 27, 9:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIDelaware65 min
Jun 27, 9:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region49 min
Jun 27, 9:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBerks, Lehigh86 min
Jun 27, 9:22 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTPLancaster68 min
Jun 27, 9:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIPhiladelphia67 min
Jun 27, 10:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMercer66 min
Jun 27, 10:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningOKXQueens5 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-06-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 357 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-06-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -24 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
357 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-152 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1418 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 27, 12:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region7 hr
Jun 27, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region4 hr
Jun 27, 11:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegany, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Cortland, Erie and 14 more2 hr
Jun 27, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClinton, Essex, Franklin, St. Lawrence7 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Jersey, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.