Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 285

May 21, 200717 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 18 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 21, 2007, 4:06 PM CDT for 17 counties in Kansas; Beaver County, Texas County, Oklahoma; 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2007, 4:06 PM CDT (21:06 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2007, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Clark County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Texas County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford31 min
May 21, 5:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMATexas61 min
May 21, 5:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHansford36 min
May 21, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson53 min
May 21, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAOchiltree, Roberts64 min
May 21, 6:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson59 min
May 21, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Randall55 min
May 21, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARoberts60 min
May 21, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGray28 min
May 21, 7:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHutchinson45 min
May 21, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADeaf Smith, Randall56 min
May 21, 7:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson23 min
May 21, 8:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARoberts58 min
May 21, 8:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMARandall4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 197 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 25 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 9 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
25 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-229 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1252 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
17 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Grant, Gray, Hamilton, Haskell, Kearny and 8 more65 min
May 21, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Meade87 min
May 21, 6:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis and 9 more6 hr
May 21, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Austin, Bell, Bosque, Brazoria, Brazos and 35 more58 min
May 21, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Irion, Midland and 9 more84 min
May 21, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Crane, Crockett, Edwards, Jeff Davis, Kinney and 9 more8 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.