Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 284

May 21, 200715 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 21, 2007, 3:17 PM CDT for 15 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 21, 2007, 3:17 PM CDT (20:17 UTC)
Expired
May 21, 2007, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brewster County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

3 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster62 min
May 21, 9:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXVal Verde3 hr
May 21, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXVal Verde64 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 402 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2007-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 63 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
402 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-189 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
743 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
63 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 21, 2:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Austin, Bell, Bosque, Brazoria, Brazos and 35 more58 min
May 21, 2:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crane, Crockett, Ector, Irion, Midland and 9 more84 min
May 21, 3:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarson, Gray, Hansford, Hutchinson, Moore, Ochiltree and 3 more65 min
May 21, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArmstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Deaf Smith, Donley, Gray and 12 more7 hr
May 21, 6:03 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.