Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 270

May 14, 200725 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 14, 2007, 1:54 AM CDT for 25 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 14, 2007, 1:54 AM CDT (06:54 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2007, 6:20 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Barnes County, ND, Benson County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Cass County, ND, Dickey County, ND, Eddy County, ND, Foster County, ND, Grand Forks County, ND, Griggs County, ND, Kidder County, ND, LaMoure County, ND, Logan County, ND, McHenry County, ND, McIntosh County, ND, Nelson County, ND, Pierce County, ND, Ramsey County, ND, Ransom County, ND, Sargent County, ND, Sheridan County, ND, Steele County, ND, Stutsman County, ND, Traill County, ND, Walsh County, ND, Wells County, ND

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 14, 2:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder, Sheridan61 min
May 14, 3:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISSheridan, Wells31 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 108 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1399 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1399 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
0 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 9:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Grant and 11 more87 min
May 13, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Burleigh, Dunn, Emmons and 15 more4 hr
May 14, 1:08 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Dickey, Eddy, Foster, Griggs and 13 more97 min
May 14, 4:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cavalier, Dickey, Eddy, Foster and 15 more59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.