Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2007

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 269

May 13, 200721 counties in North Dakota; Corson County, Harding County, Perkins County, South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 13, 2007, 10:12 PM MDT for 21 counties in North Dakota; Corson County, Harding County, Perkins County, South Dakota. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 13, 2007, 10:12 PM MDT (04:12 UTC)
Expired
May 14, 2007, 2:30 AM MDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 24 counties

Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Burleigh County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Emmons County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, McLean County, ND, Mercer County, ND, Morton County, ND, Mountrail County, ND, Oliver County, ND, Renville County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Ward County, ND, Williams County, ND, Corson County, SD, Harding County, SD, Perkins County, SD

The radar

The Bismarck radar (KBIS), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 10:40 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings50 min
May 13, 10:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope, Stark65 min
May 13, 10:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHarding, Perkins78 min
May 13, 11:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings, Dunn61 min
May 13, 11:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISAdams, Grant, Hettinger, Morton, Sioux, Stark58 min
May 14, 12:05 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRCorson40 min
May 14, 12:08 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMercer, Oliver67 min
May 14, 12:47 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Emmons, Grant, Morton, Sioux58 min
May 14, 1:15 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISOliver30 min
May 14, 1:25 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcLean50 min
May 14, 1:44 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBurleigh, Kidder, Sheridan61 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1399 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2007-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 0 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1399 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1726 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
0 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
0 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 13, 8:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Billings, Bowman, Dunn, Golden Valley, Grant and 11 more87 min
May 14, 12:08 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Dickey, Eddy, Foster, Griggs and 13 more97 min
May 14, 12:54 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarnes, Benson, Burleigh, Cass, Dickey, Eddy and 19 more4 hr
May 14, 3:31 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarnes, Benson, Cavalier, Dickey, Eddy, Foster and 15 more59 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in North Dakota, 2007Severe Thunderstorm Watches in South Dakota, 2007Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.