Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2007

Mesoscale Discussion 539

April 22, 200719 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 22, 2007, 3:07 PM CDT for 19 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 113 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 22, 2007, 3:07 PM CDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Apr 22, 2007, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
113 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 29 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Cass County, MO, Clay County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Platte County, MO, Ray County, MO, Vernon County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-04-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 2007-04-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1369 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
341 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 222007
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222007 
MOZ000-KSZ000-222200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0539
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0307 PM CDT SUN APR 22 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS AND WRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 222007Z - 222200Z

AN ISOLATED SVR STORM MAY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA IN THE NEXT FEW
HOURS...BUT GIVEN THE MARGINAL/LIMITED NATURE OF THE SVR THREAT...A
WW IS NOT EXPECTED ATTM.

LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY INDICATES MODERATE CU DEVELOPING ALONG A
DRYLINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR TOP SWD TO 30 W OF CNU. RECENT RUC/NAM
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT MID LEVEL INVERSION SHOULD REMAIN
STOUT ACROSS THE AREA /SOUTH OF THE NEWD EJECTING UPPER LOW OVER ERN
NEB/ AS EVIDENT BY THE STRONG DRYING NOTED ON WV IMAGERY. THUS
DESPITE INCREASING LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY...WITH MLCAPES AROUND
750-1000 J/KG...WEAK 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES SHOULD TEND TO LIMIT THE
UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND MAGNITUDE OF THE SVR TSTM THREAT ENOUGH THAT A
WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

..CROSBIE.. 04/22/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

37119445 37619411 38679371 39359379 39409406 39399477
39049536 38689587 38089594 37419592 37119586 37089506

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 10:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Comanche60 min
Apr 22, 10:57 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson, Doniphan and 20 more93 min
Apr 22, 11:30 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtchison, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Doniphan, Geary and 10 more6 hr
Apr 22, 1:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Clark, Knox, Lewis, Macon, Marion and 4 more8 hr
Apr 22, 1:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton and 12 more95 min
Apr 22, 1:56 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 7 more7 hr
Apr 22, 5:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Grundy and 4 more2 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2007Mesoscale Discussions in Missouri, 2007Every mesoscale discussion in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.