Severe Thunderstorm Warning 192, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
602 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007

.AVIATION...
WEAK COOL FRONT IS LOCATED FROM THE EXTREME EASTERN TEXAS
PANHANDLE ON SOUTH TO CROCKETT COUNTY AND WILL REMAIN ESSENTIALLY
STATIONARY INTO THIS EVENING. ISOLD TO SCT TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT WITH A FEW OF THE
STORMS REACHING SEVERE LEVELS WILL HIGH WINDS...LARGE HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREATS. THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT THE KABI AND THE KSJT
TERMINALS. AREAS OF MVFR CIGS OF BKN010-020 WILL OCCUR ACROSS
MAINLY THE SOUTHERN 1/3 OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING BY MIDMORNING.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 350 PM CDT SUN MAY 6 2007/

SHORT TERM...
FIRST OF ALL...TORNADO WATCH ISSUED EARLIER AND AFTERNOON PRODUCTS
WERE SENT WITH THE MENTION OF THE WATCH INCLUDED. WEAK SURFACE LOW
HAS HELPED PUSH A WEAK PACIFIC FRONT INTO THE AREA...EXTENDING
ROUGHLY FROM CHILDRESS TO SWEETWATER TO SANDERSON. HAVE HAD A FEW
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NOLAN COUNTY...AND THE TOWERING CU CONTINUES
TO TRY TO DEVELOP DOWN THE LINE INTO CROCKETT COUNTY...BUT STILL
FIGHTING A WEAK CAP AT THIS POINT. STILL SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE MAX
HEATING...SO GETTING STORMS TO DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH STILL LOOKS
REASONABLE. FLOW IS GENERALLY TO THE NORTH NORTHEAST SO STORMS
WILL NOT COME EAST VERY QUICKLY...BUT STORMS WILL NOT GET INTO THE
EASTERN COUNTIES UNTIL WELL INTO THE EVENING...AT THE EARLIEST.

BOUNDARY MAY SHIFT A BACK TO THE WEST SOMEWHAT TONIGHT...AND THEN
THE BIG QUESTIONS BEGIN. MODELS KEEP THE BOUNDARY JUST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA INTO MONDAY...AND THEN PUSH INTO WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS BY MONDAY NIGHT OR TUESDAY. GIVEN THE HIGH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PRESENT...HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF THE BOUNDARY SEEMS A GOOD BET. HOWEVER...IF ENOUGH
CONVECTION DEVELOP NORTH OF THE FRONT...BOUNDARY WILL SAG MUCH
FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE MODELS INDICATE. WITH THIS MIND...WILL
CONTINUE TO INCLUDE A MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND WILL
CONTINUE THE SPS.

LONG TERM...
SYSTEM FINALLY GETS OUT BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR THURSDAY MORNING.
WILL DISCOUNT THE KINDA ODD MCS THE GFS DEVELOPS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT JUST TO THE EAST OF MY AREA FOR NOW AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR
FOR CONTINUITY. OTHERWISE...LOOKS DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ABILENE 	 68  79  64  80 /  50  60  60  50
SAN ANGELO 	 65  81  65  82 /  40  60  60  40
JUNCTION 	 72  84  68  81 /  30  30  40  40

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

15/99/15

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
635 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     HAIL             3 SE CARLSBAD           31.57N 100.60W
05/06/2007  E1.75 INCH       TOM GREEN          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AT THE INTERSECTION OF US HIGHWAY 87
            AND GLASS ROAD.

&&

SN

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
640 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0635 PM     HAIL             1 E BRONTE              31.89N 100.28W
05/06/2007  E1.75 INCH       COKE               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

PMCCULLO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
645 PM CDT SUN MAY 06 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0642 PM     TORNADO          10 W MERTZON            31.26N 100.99W
05/06/2007                   IRION              TX   NWS EMPLOYEE

            ROPE TORNADO VISIBLE FROM THE SJT OFFICE.

&&

PMCCULLO