Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2007

River Flood Warning 39, NWS Springfield, MO

August 20, 2007Jasper County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this river flood warning at Aug 20, 2007, 12:28 PM CDT for Jasper County, Missouri. It took effect at Aug 20, 2007, 8:30 PM CDT. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 20, 2007, 12:28 PM CDT (17:28 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 20, 2007, 8:30 PM CDT
Expired
Aug 21, 2007, 9:30 PM CDT
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Springfield, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Jasper County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Spring River at Carthage (CHTM7).

Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07185765, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KSGF 201728
FLWSGF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1228 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY
  
.HEAVY RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE SPRING RIVER BASIN HAS
CAUSED THE SPRING RIVER TO RISE SIGNIFICANT. THREE TO FIVE 
INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE RIVER BASIN WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES. 

THOSE WITH PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK ALONG THE RIVER SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
MONITOR RIVER CONDITIONS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-210528-
/O.NEW.KSGF.FL.W.0039.070821T0117Z-070822T1800Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.070821T0117Z.070821T0600Z.070821T1800Z.NO/
1228 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS
  CANCELLED.
* AT 11:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  THE RIVER WILL FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37...EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT/KTA
6 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 202018
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
318 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 

.HEAVY RAINFALL SINCE EARLIER THIS MORNING ACROSS THE SPRING 
RIVER BASIN HAS CAUSED THE RIVER TO RISE SIGNIFICANT. THREE TO FIVE 
INCHES OF RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS THE RIVER BASIN WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OF FIVE TO TEN INCHES. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-211118-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.070821T0136Z-070822T1536Z/
/CHTM7.1.ER.070821T0136Z.070821T0600Z.070821T1536Z.NO/
318 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  2:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 11.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. IN 
  ADDITION...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT STATE HIGHWAY 37... EAST OF 
  CARTHAGE...BETWEEN AVILLA AND REEDS. 

$$

JLT
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 210133
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE...
 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
.HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN JASPER AND
LAWRENCE COUNTIES HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO RISE. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-211633-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.070821T0130Z-070823T0000Z/
/CHTM7.2.ER.070820T2349Z.070821T0600Z.070822T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNITL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* FROM THIS EVENING TO TUESDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  7:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET  
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  IN ADDITION, THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS 
  AFFECTING THE NORTH CENTRAL INDUSTRIAL PART OF CARTHAGE. ALSO, 
  FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT LOW LYING AREAS, AND COUNTY ROADS 
  NORTH AND WEST OF CARTHAGE, ALONG THE SPRING RIVER.  IN ADDITION, 
  KELLOGG LAKE PARK IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS. 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 13.8 FEET
  ON OCT 6 1998.

$$

CRAMER
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 210224
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
924 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE...
 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
.HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EARLIER THIS MORNING HAS CAUSED SIGNIFICANT 
RISES IN RIVER LEVELS.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-211724-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070823T0105Z/
/CHTM7.2.ER.070820T2349Z.070821T0600Z.070822T0105Z.NO/
924 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 16.0 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO IMPACT THE RAILROAD 
  TRACKS ON THE NORTH SIDE OF CARTHAGE, ON CIVIL WAR ROAD, AND  SOME 
  HOMES IN LOW AREAS ALONG GARRISON STREET, JAVA STREET, PRIMM STREET
  AND MAIN STREET, NORTH OF THE SPRING RIVER. 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.0 FEET
  ON MAY 8 2002.

$$

CRAMER
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 210710
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
210 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
.HEAVY RAINFALL FROM MONDAY MORNING HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-212210-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070823T0049Z/
/CHTM7.2.ER.070820T2349Z.070821T0330Z.070822T0049Z.NO/
210 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  1:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...FLOOD WATERS REACH APPROXIMATELY ONE FOOT IN
  DEPTH ALONG CIVIL WAR ROAD, ALONG THE SPRING RIVER. 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 15.0 FEET
  ON MAY 8 2002.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 211504
FLSSGF




FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1004 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007





...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

  SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE AFFECTING JASPER COUNTY 
.HEAVY RAINFALL MONDAY IN THE SPRING RIVER BASIN HAS CAUSED RIVER LEVELS TO 
RISE. 

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOWING WATER. NEARLY HALF OF ALL FLOOD 
FATALITIES ARE VEHICLE RELATED. AS LITTLE AS 6 INCHES OF WATER MAY 
CAUSE YOU TO LOSE CONTROL OF YOUR VEHICLE. TWO FEET OF WATER WILL 
CARRY MOST VEHICLES AWAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-220604-
/O.CON.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070823T0049Z/
/CHTM7.2.ER.070820T2349Z.070821T0330Z.070822T0049Z.NO/
1004 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING ...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:45 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS AT THE GAGE SITE. 
  IN ADDITION, THE LEVEE SYSTEM IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS 
  AFFECTING THE NORTH CENTRAL INDUSTRIAL PART OF CARTHAGE. ALSO, 
  FLOOD WATERS BEGIN TO AFFECT LOW LYING AREAS, AND COUNTY ROADS 
  NORTH AND WEST OF CARTHAGE, ALONG THE SPRING RIVER.  IN ADDITION, 
  KELLOGG LAKE PARK IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS. 
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 12.9 FEET
  ON FEB 25 2001.

$$
000 
WGUS83 KSGF 220230
FLSSGF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
930 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE...
 
ADDITIONAL RIVER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC 
PREDICTION SERVICE PAGE AT 
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=SGF (ALL LOWER CASE)

MOC097-220300-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FL.W.0039.000000T0000Z-070823T0049Z/
/CHTM7.2.ER.070820T2349Z.070821T0330Z.070821T2120Z.NO/
930 PM CDT TUE AUG 21 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SPRING RIVER AT CARTHAGE.
* AT  8:45 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 4:20 PM TUESDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 4.3 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 20, 12:10 PM CDT, 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 20, 12:10 PM CDT, 18 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE FOR AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1210 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

.UPDATE...
AREA OF RAIN CONTINUES TO PUSH OFF TO THE EAST. WITH NO
REDEVELOPMENT IN THE WESTERN CWA AND A SHARP CUTOFF ON THE BACK EDGE
OF THE PRECIPITATION...HAVE TRIMMED BACK ON POPS FROM WEST TO EAST.
DUE TO THE PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE
CWA...HIGH TEMPERATURES NEEDED TO BE LOWERED A FEW DEGREES AS WELL.

BARJENBRUCH/CLAYCOMB

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/257 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007/
MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IS HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL TODAY AS THE
REMNANTS OF ERIN FINALLY LEAVE THE OZARKS. SLIGHT CONCERN FOR
TONIGHT WITH A POTENTIAL MCS TRACKING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST TOWARDS
THE OZARKS. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO TEMPERATURES FOR MIDWEEK AS
HIGHS GET BACK INTO THE 90S. WILL THEN LOOK AT A SLIGHT SHIFT IN
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR THE OZARKS LATE
THIS WEEK.

TODAY...A RECENT BLOSSOM IN RADAR REFLECTIVITIES OVERNIGHT IS
LIKELY BEING AIDED BY A POCKET OF ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE OWING TO A 40
TO 45 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY
TRANSLATE NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR EARLY
THIS MORNING AND WEAKEN...AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE LEFT FROM ERIN
SHEARS EAST. THEREFORE THINK THE MAIN HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL BE
EARLY THIS MORNING. TROPICAL AIRMASS AND HIGH FREEZING LEVELS
STILL SUPPORT A HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...
JUST WILL NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD. WILL THEREFORE KEEP THE FLASH
FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH 15Z. DAY SHIFT MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE WATCH...BUT AM NOT GOING TO GET TOO CUTE
RIGHT NOW. RAIN WILL COME TO AN END OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER LEVEL WAVE
SHIFTS INTO THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY. DID NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM MAV
TEMPERATURES...BUT DID KNOCK THEM DOWN A BIT OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI
WITH THE EXPECTED RAIN AND CLOUD COVER.

TONIGHT...SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUIET OVER MOST OF THE OZARKS. COULD
SEE A REMAINING SHOWER OR TWO UP TOWARDS VICHY THIS EVENING. A
LITTLE BIT OF CONCERN FOR SOME FOG DEVELOPMENT GIVEN THE RECENT
RAINFALL. PRESSURE GRADIENTS AT THE SURFACE SHOULD BE TIGHT ENOUGH
TO KEEP WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 KNOT RANGE OVER MOST AREAS...WITH THE
ONE EXCEPTION POSSIBLY BEING SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. MAY SEE
VISIBILITIES DROP A BIT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT NOT THINKING DENSE
FOG AT THIS TIME. EYES THEN TURN NORTH AS AN MCS IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP SOMEWHERE UP IN THE CORN BELT. THIS MCS WOULD LIKELY TRACK
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KANSAS AND
NORTHWEST MISSOURI LATE TONIGHT. WITH THE LACK OF A DECENT LOW
LEVEL JET...NOT SURE IT WILL MAKE IT INTO SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI. PLACED SLIGHT CHANCE POPS TO COVER THIS FOR NOW
AND WILL LET LATER SHIFTS CONTINUE TO EVALUATE.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SLOW HEIGHT RISES WILL LEAD TO A
WARMING AND DRYING TREND. WILL STILL NEED TO WATCH THE EVOLUTION
OF THAT MCS TUESDAY MORNING. VERY WELL POSSIBLE THERE COULD BE
SOME KIND OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TO DEAL WITH LATER TUESDAY
SOMEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI. AS OF RIGHT NOW...THINK CAP
WILL HOLD AND MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY. HOWEVER...DECENT CONVERGENCE
ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY MAY BE ENOUGH TO GET SOMETHING GOING.
KEPT POPS BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR NOW. OTHERWISE...850 MB
TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE LOWER 20S CELSIUS SPELL LOWER TO
MIDDLE 90S FOR HIGHS.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...HEIGHTS WILL LOWER ACROSS THE NORTHERN
TIER OF STATES. THE PATTERN LOOKS AMPLIFIED ENOUGH TO EVENTUALLY
SUPPORT A FRONT MAKING IT DOWN INTO THE OZARKS. TIME FRAME FOR A
FRONTAL PASSAGE RIGHT NOW IS SOMETIME ON FRIDAY OR SATURDAY.
SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS WERE BRACKETED AROUND THIS PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL STAY WARM AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH HIGHS STILL IN
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 90S THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY FRIDAY. WILL THEN
NEED TO SEE WHERE THAT FRONT ENDS UP NEXT WEEKEND TO GET A BETTER
HANDLE ON POPS AND TEMPERATURES.

SCHAUMANN

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...SYSTEM HAS MOVED OFF AND WEAKENED IN
EASTERN MISSOURI LATE THIS MORNING. RADAR SHOWING PRECIP OFF TO THE
EAST OF SPRINGFIELD. HAVE SOME LOW MVFR CEILINGS OVER JOPLIN THAT
HAS SHOWN SIGNS OF LIFTING AND SHOULD BREAK IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
WITH ALL THE MOISTURE ON THE GROUND...NEED TO START THINKING OF
POSSIBLY SOME FOG TOMORROW MORNING. MOS GUIDANCE SHOWING WINDS
REMAINING STRONG FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT...SO ONLY WENT WITH A
SLIGHT REDUCTION IN VISIBILITIES. SHOULD WINDS TAPER OFF EVEN
MORE...THEN FOG WILL BE A GREATER THREAT. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR
CONDITIONS.

GCC

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.

KS...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 20, 10:45 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1045 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-211545-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1045 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
  ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
  WILL THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY THIS
  AFTERNOON.

  HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE LIKELY THIS MORNING
  FROM PLEASANT HOPE TO CAMDENTON. FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
  ALONG THE REST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR EARLY THIS MORNING.
  HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE
  MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

  A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO
  60 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES.

  A DECAYING CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO AFFECT AREAS
  NORTH OF A FORT SCOTT TO VICHY LINE LATE TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS
  TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY THROUGH
  SUNDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS APPEARS TO BE ON FRIDAY
  OR SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES GREATER THAN 100 DEGREES WILL BE
  POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN
  AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME SOUTHEAST
  KANSAS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CLAYCOMB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 20, 11:03 AM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1103 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MARSHFIELD              37.34N 92.91W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOOD WATERS HAVE CLOSED HIGHWAY 38, NEAR THE JUNCTION OF
            J HIGHWAY. IN ADDITION, ROUTE DD NEAR THE MARSHFIELD HIGH
            SCHOOL, AND EVANS ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

&&

JLT
Local storm report, Aug 20, 11:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1105 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E MARSHFIELD          37.34N 92.87W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROUTE DD, EAST OF MARSHFIELD IS CLOSED AS A BRIDGE ALONG
            THE OSAGE FORK IS WASHED OUT.

&&

JLT
Local storm report, Aug 20, 11:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1107 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S MARSHFIELD          37.27N 92.91W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY A AND FF, SOUTH OF
            MARSHFIELD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

&&

JLT
Local storm report, Aug 20, 11:18 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1118 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 AM     FLASH FLOOD      AVILLA                  37.20N 94.13W
08/20/2007                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ON HIGHWAY 96...WATER WAS 2 FEET DEEP OVER THE ROAD FOR A
            LENGTH OF ABOUT 50 YARDS.

0620 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLER                  37.21N 93.84W
08/20/2007  M7.25 INCH       LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

            7.25 INCHES OF RAIN SINCE MIDNIGHT BY CWIP OBSERVER.

0640 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MILLER                  37.21N 93.84W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

            FLOODING IN THE TOWN OF MILLER. VOLUNTEER OBSERVER IN
            MILLER REPORTED 9.40 INCHES SINCE MIDNIGHT.

0656 AM     FLASH FLOOD      HALLTOWN                37.19N 93.63W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A REPORT OF 7 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN HALLTOWN SINCE 10
            PM.

0658 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MILLER                  37.21N 93.84W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A WATER RESCUE WAS IN PROGRESS IN THE TOWN OF MILLER
            WHICH HAS RECEIVED OVER 10 INCHES OF RAINFALL SINCE
            MIDNIGHT.

0700 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S PENNSBORO           37.30N 93.83W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 39 NEAR PENNSBORO. THE
            MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION IS EXPECTED TO
            CLOSE THIS ROAD.

0705 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S MILLER              37.17N 93.84W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO TO THREE FEET OF WATER WAS FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 39 AT
            THE JUNCTION OF HIGHWAY 39 AND HIGHWAY 96 NEAR ALBATROSS.

0710 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S LOCKWOOD            37.36N 93.95W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY 97, SOUTH OF
            LOCKWOOD.

0710 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 SSE LOCKWOOD          37.32N 93.92W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER COUNTY ROAD NN, 1.5 MILES WEST OF
            HIGHWAY 97.

0710 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 S LOCKWOOD            37.33N 93.95W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER COUNTY ROAD NN AT THE BORDER OF
            DADE AND LAWRENCE COUNTY ON HIGHWAY 97.

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 N EVERTON             37.41N 93.70W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 160 AT THE JUNCTION OF 160
            AND HIGHWAY 245. IN ADDITION, WATER WAS FLOWING OVER
            HIGHWAY O, JUST EAST OF THE JUNCTION OF HIGHWAY 160 AND
            HIGHWAY O.

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W EVERTON             37.34N 93.76W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            HIGHWAY K BETWEEN PENNSBORO AND EVERTON IS CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOOD WATERS.

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N GREENFIELD          37.43N 93.84W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WATER WAS FLOWING OVER HIGHWAY 39 WEST AND NORTH OF
            GREENFIELD.

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 SE GREENFIELD         37.37N 93.79W
08/20/2007  M5.00 INCH       DADE               MO   PUBLIC

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WALNUT GROVE            37.41N 93.55W
08/20/2007                   GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            STREET FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED IN WALNUT GROVE, WITH
            SOME OF THE FLOOD WATERS AFFECTING A LOCAL BANK.

0840 AM     HEAVY RAIN       MILLER                  37.21N 93.84W
08/20/2007  M11.94 INCH      LAWRENCE           MO   PUBLIC

            A VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVER MEASURED 11.94 INCHES OF
            RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT.

0840 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W EUDORA              37.48N 93.56W
08/20/2007                   POLK               MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            THE BRIDGE ON HIGHWAY W, NEAR THE JUNCTION OF HIGHWAY 123
            AND 215 WEST OF EUDORA IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS OF
            TURKEY CREEK.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       DADEVILLE               37.48N 93.67W
08/20/2007  M9.95 INCH       DADE               MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            TOTAL RAINFALL FOR THE LAST 24 HOURS.

0910 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NNE LA RUSSELL        37.21N 94.03W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE YY, NORTH OF HIGHWAY 96 IN WESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY
            IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

0910 AM     FLASH FLOOD      4 N LA RUSSELL          37.20N 94.06W
08/20/2007                   JASPER             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE AA NORTH OF HIGHWAY 96 IN WESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY
            IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

0910 AM     FLASH FLOOD      S AVILLA                37.20N 94.13W
08/20/2007                   JASPER             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY 37 IS CLOSED SOUTH OF AVILLA DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

0910 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S EUDORA              37.45N 93.54W
08/20/2007                   POLK               MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            A WATER RESCUE IS CURRENTLY IN PROGRESS ON HIGHWAY 123,
            SOUTH OF EUDORA.

0940 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BOLIVAR                 37.61N 93.41W
08/20/2007                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN BOLIVAR WITH
            ROAD CLOSURES ON OAKLAND AVENUE AND BUFFALO ROAD DUE TO
            FLOOD WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SSE DADEVILLE         37.44N 93.65W
08/20/2007                   DADE               MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE U IS CLOSED EAST OF HIGHWAY 245 ON LUMLEY BRANCH
            DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 NE MILLER             37.27N 93.78W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE DD IS CLOSED BETWEEN HIGHWAY 39 AND HIGHWAY M DUE
            TO FLOOD WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 NE MILLER             37.28N 93.76W
08/20/2007                   LAWRENCE           MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE WW IS CLOSED BETWEEN HIGHWAY 39 AND HIGHWAY M,

            ALONG THE LAWRENCE, DADE COUNTY LINE DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S WALNUT GROVE        37.40N 93.55W
08/20/2007                   GREENE             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HIGHWAY 123 IS CLOSED SOUTH OF WALNUT GROVE DUE TO FLOOD
            WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E WALNUT GROVE        37.41N 93.51W
08/20/2007                   GREENE             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE JJ IS CLOSED NORTH OF ROUTE BB DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

1030 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 SW WALNUT GROVE       37.39N 93.58W
08/20/2007                   GREENE             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE V IS CLOSED BETWEEN HIGHWAY 160 AND ROUTE BB DUE TO
            FLOOD WATERS.

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      5 S MARSHFIELD          37.27N 92.91W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY A AND FF, SOUTH OF
            MARSHFIELD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E MARSHFIELD          37.34N 92.87W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROUTE DD, EAST OF MARSHFIELD IS CLOSED AS A BRIDGE ALONG
            THE OSAGE FORK IS WASHED OUT.

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MARSHFIELD              37.34N 92.91W
08/20/2007                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOOD WATERS HAVE CLOSED HIGHWAY 38, NEAR THE JUNCTION OF
            J HIGHWAY. IN ADDITION, ROUTE DD NEAR THE MARSHFIELD HIGH
            SCHOOL, AND EVANS ROAD IS CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS.

1045 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S BRIGHTON            37.44N 93.35W
08/20/2007                   POLK               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 13 NEAR THE POLK, GREENE COUNTY LINE IS UNDER
            WATER WITH APPROXIMATELY 4-5 FEET OF FLOWING WATER.

&&

JLT
Local storm report, Aug 20, 11:29 AM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1129 AM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      PLEASANT HOPE           37.46N 93.27W
08/20/2007                   POLK               MO   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            LOCAL OFFICIAL INDICATED THAT ALL ROADS, COUNTY OR MAIN,
            LEADING IN OR OUT OF PLEASANT HOPE ARE CLOSED AND
            IMPASSABLE.

&&

JLT
Local storm report, Aug 20, 12:26 PM CDT, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1226 PM CDT MON AUG 20 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1151 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BUFFALO                 37.64N 93.09W
08/20/2007                   DALLAS             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVER THE ROAD IN CITY OF BUFFALO FROM THE HWY
            65/HWY 32 INTERSECTION NORTH TO W MILL. LOW WATER
            CROSSING FLOODED BETWEEN ROCKET AND RAINBOW ROAD AND ON
            HIGHWAY 73 NORTH OF RAINBOW ROAD. REPORT VIA ESPOTTER
            FROM COUNTY 911.

&&

DSA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 20, 2:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarry, Lawrence25 min
Aug 20, 3:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFChristian, Webster23 min
Aug 20, 3:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFJasper, Lawrence6 hr
Aug 20, 4:40 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFGreene5 hr
Aug 20, 5:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFLawrence36 min
Aug 20, 6:18 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDade4 hr
Aug 20, 7:10 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFPolk3 hr
Aug 20, 7:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCedar3 hr
Aug 20, 9:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 2 more8 hr
Aug 20, 11:33 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCamden, Laclede, Wright10 hr
Aug 20, 1:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFPulaski, Texas8 hr
Aug 20, 2:07 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFLaclede38 min
Aug 20, 2:37 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFTexas38 min
Aug 20, 2:46 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFWright29 min
Aug 20, 3:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTexas79 min
Aug 20, 4:00 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFShannon6 hr
Aug 20, 4:57 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningSGFCedar, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Jasper, Lawrence and 2 more18 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2007Every river flood warning in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.