River Flood Warning 65, NWS Seattle, WA

000
WGUS86 KSEW 040009
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WESTERN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR WICKERSHAM AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY. 
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 28

                NORTH WEST REGION

HEAVY RAIN HAS TAPERED. HOWEVER NUMEROUS RIVERS ARE STILL FLOODING
AND HAVE NOT YET CRESTED. 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC073-040709-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0065.071204T0146Z-071205T1026Z/
/WKMW1.2.ER.071204T0146Z.071204T1200Z.071205T0126Z.UU/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR WICKERSHAM.
* FROM 6 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 6 PM MONDAY AND CREST NEAR
  11.8 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER FLOODING WILL BE 
  WIDESPREAD WITH SWIFT WATER COVERING FARM LANDS AND MANY ROADS.  
  HIGHWAY 9 NORTH OF ACME MAY BE IMPASSABLE.  EROSION MAY AFFECT SOME
  RIVER BANKS.

$$

WAC073-040709-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0066.071204T0109Z-071205T1209Z/
/NRKW1.3.ER.071204T0109Z.071204T1200Z.071205T0309Z.NR/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE.
* FROM 5 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:45 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* RECORD FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 PM MONDAY AND CREST NEAR
  149.8 FEET AROUND 4 AM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 148.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING DOWNSTREAM THROUGH LYNDEN...WITH SWIFT WATERS COVERING 
  SOME FARM LANDS AND ROADS. EROSION MAY AFFECT SOME RIVER BANKS.

$$

WAC073-040708-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0067.071204T1457Z-071206T1957Z/
/NKSW1.1.ER.071204T1457Z.071205T1200Z.071206T1057Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE.
* FROM 7 AM TUESDAY UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 7 AM TUESDAY AND CREST 
  NEAR 20.6 FEET AROUND 4 AM WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...THE NOOKSACK RIVER WILL CAUSE SHALLOW 
  FLOODING OF LOW PASTURE LANDS ALONG THE RIVER FROM NEAR FERNDALE 
  DOWNSTREAM TO THE MOUTH.

$$

WAC057-040708-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0068.071204T0243Z-071205T1828Z/
/CONW1.3.ER.071204T0243Z.071204T1200Z.071205T0928Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.3 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 34.2 FEET BY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 32.5 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE FLOODING FROM 
  ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM THROUGH SEDRO WOOLLEY. FLOOD WATERS WILL 
  INUNDATE LOW AREAS NEAR THE RIVER...ROADS...AND SEVERAL RESIDENTIAL
  AREAS MAINLY CAPE HORN...HAMILTON AND THUNDERBIRD. SOME WATER WILL 
  FLOW ONTO COCKREHAM ISLAND AND INTO THE NOOKACHAMPS AND STERLING 
  AREAS. FLOODING WILL ALSO OCCUR IN HEADWATERS...TRIBUTARIES...AND 
  OTHER STREAMS WITHIN THE SKAGIT BASIN. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 2 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC057-040708-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0078.071204T1906Z-071206T0523Z/
/MVEW1.2.ER.071204T1906Z.071205T0600Z.071205T2023Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON.
* FROM 11 AM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 11 AM TUESDAY AND CREST 
  NEAR 30.9 FEET AROUND 10 PM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE NOON WEDNESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 30.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD FROM SEDRO 
  WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH. FLOOD WATERS 
  WILL INUNDATE SOME LOW-LYING ROADS...FARMLANDS AND RESIDENTIAL 
  AREAS. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A 
  PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-040708-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0069.071204T0500Z-071204T2346Z/
/ARGW1.1.ER.071204T0500Z.071204T0600Z.071204T1446Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON.
* FROM 9 PM MONDAY UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  3:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 9 PM MONDAY AND CREST NEAR
  13.6 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING OF OSO LOOP ROAD AND CAUSE MINOR RIVERBANK EROSION.
  A STAGE OF 13 FEET CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY 
  FLOOD WARNING SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-040708-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0070.071204T0002Z-071204T1715Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.071203T2124Z.071203T2330Z.071204T0815Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. 
* AT  3:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT  1:24 PM MONDAY AND 
  IS NEARING ITS CREST NOW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE .
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 15.4 FEET.  THE RIVER WILL 
  FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 AM TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES.  A STAGE OF 14 FEET
  CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD WARNING 
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-040708-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-071205T0854Z/
/ARLW1.2.ER.071204T0100Z.071204T0600Z.071204T2354Z.NO/
409 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON.
* FROM 5 PM MONDAY UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT  3:39 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 5 PM MONDAY AND CREST NEAR
  18.0 FEET AROUND 10 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL FLOOD MANY 
  ROADS INCLUDING HWY 530...PIONEER HIGHWAY...MARINE DRIVE AND 
  NUMEROUS LOCATIONS ALONG NORMAN RD. SWIFT WATERS WILL FLOOD 
  RESIDENTIAL AREAS NEAR SILVANA...NORMAN AND FLORENCE.  A STAGE OF 
  18 FEET ON THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO PHASE 3 
  IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$



WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

000
WGUS86 KSEW 040646
FLSSEW
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WESTERN
WASHINGTON...
 
  SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR WICKERSHAM AFFECTING WHATCOM 
  COUNTY.
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY.
  NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH 
  COUNTY.
 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN WESTERN 
WASHINGTON...
 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON AFFECTING SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
  NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE AFFECTING WHATCOM COUNTY. 
  SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON AFFECTING SKAGIT COUNTY. 
  SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS AFFECTING 
  SNOHOMISH COUNTY. 
 
.FLOOD BULLETIN NO. 36

                NORTH WEST REGION

HEAVY RAIN HAS COME TO AN END IN THE CASCADES MONDAY EVENING. HOWEVER
NUMEROUS RIVERS ARE STILL FLOODING AND HAVE NOT YET CRESTED. 

DO NOT DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS...OR SUVS THROUGH FLOODED AREAS...THIS IS 
THE CAUSE OF MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS IN WASHINGTON. BE ALERT FOR 
RAPID CHANGES AND MONITOR DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER 
RADIO OR OTHER LOCAL MEDIA.

WAC073-040716-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0065.000000T0000Z-071205T1026Z/
/WKMW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK NOOKSACK RIVER NEAR WICKERSHAM.
* AT 10:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.5 FEET. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.0 FEET. 

$$

WAC073-041346-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0066.000000T0000Z-071205T1209Z/
/NRKW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT NORTH CEDARVILLE.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 145.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 146.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...CRESTING MONDAY NIGHT NEAR FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER WILL
RECEDE TUESDAY. 

$$

WAC073-040716-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0067.000000T0000Z-071206T1957Z/
/NKSW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NOOKSACK RIVER AT FERNDALE.
* AT 10:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 17.0 FEET 10 
  AM TUESDAY.

$$

WAC057-041345-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-071205T1312Z/
/CONW1.3.ER.071204T0523Z.071204T1200Z.071205T0412Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR CONCRETE.
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 
* AT 10:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE FORECAST IS FOR MAJOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT AROUND FLOOD STAGE
AROUND 930 PM MONDAY. THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 31.0 FEET AROUND 4
AM TUESDAY MORNING.   THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY
NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL FLOOD LOW AREAS AND
SECTIONS OF ROADS ALONG THE RIVER FROM ROCKPORT DOWNSTREAM TO SEDRO
WOOLLEY. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT CORRESPONDS TO A
PHASE 1 FLOOD ON THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM. 

$$

WAC057-041345-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0078.071204T2123Z-071206T0043Z/
/MVEW1.1.ER.071204T2123Z.071205T0600Z.071205T1543Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SKAGIT RIVER NEAR MT. VERNON.
* FROM 1 PM TUESDAY UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 22.9 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 28.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AROUND 1 PM TUESDAY AND CREST 
  NEAR 29.0 FEET AROUND 4 PM TUESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 28.0 FEET...THE SKAGIT RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR FLOODING 
  FROM SEDRO WOOLLEY DOWNSTREAM THROUGH MOUNT VERNON TO THE MOUTH...
  WITH SHALLOW FLOODING IN LOW PASTURE LANDS AND OVER A FEW LOW-LYING
  ROADS NEAR THE RIVER. THIS LEVEL FOR THIS LOCATION ON THE SKAGIT 
  CORRESPONDS TO A PHASE 1 FLOOD IN THE SKAGIT COUNTY FLOOD SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-040716-
/O.CAN.KSEW.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-071204T2346Z/
/ARGW1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE NORTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON.
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 11.9 FEET 4 AM
  TUESDAY.

$$

WAC061-041345-
/O.CON.KSEW.FL.W.0070.000000T0000Z-071204T1715Z/
/GFLW1.1.ER.071203T2124Z.071204T0200Z.071204T0556Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR GRANITE FALLS.
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING. 
* AT 10:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR FLOOD STAGE UNTIL EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING THEN START RECEDING. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR SOME
AREAS UNTIL THE FLOOD WAVE HAS COMPLETELY PASSED DOWNSTREAM.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...THE SOUTH FORK STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL 
  CAUSE FLOODING ALONG THE RIVER AND TRIBUTARIES.  A STAGE OF 14 FEET
  CORRESPONDS TO PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD WARNING 
  SYSTEM.

$$

WAC061-041345-
/O.EXT.KSEW.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-071205T0420Z/
/ARLW1.1.ER.071204T0221Z.071204T0539Z.071204T1920Z.NO/
1046 PM PST MON DEC 03 2007

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER AT ARLINGTON.
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING. 
* AT 10:09 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.1 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 14.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING. THE FORECAST IS FOR MINOR FLOODING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER ROSE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AT  6:21 PM MONDAY AND 
  IS NEARING ITS CREST NOW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  NOON TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...THE STILLAGUAMISH RIVER WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING MAINLY IN THE SILVANA AREA...INCLUDING OVER PIONEER HIGHWAY
AND ALONG NORMAN RD. A STAGE OF 16.0 FEET CORRESPONDS ROUGHLY TO
PHASE 2 IN THE SNOHOMISH COUNTY FLOOD PROGRAM.

$$

FELTON
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...DELAYED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
937 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

PRODUCT IS DELAYED DUE TO INCLEMENT WEATHER. ESTIMATED TIME OF
ISSUANCE 1015 AM PST.

.SYNOPSIS...A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS WESTERN
WASHINGTON TODAY. STRONG WINDS IN MANY AREAS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL
DECREASE AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES INLAND THIS EVENING. THE
ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL KEEP THE RAIN GOING AS IT
APPROACHES THE AREA TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY
BEHIND THE TROUGH. WEAKER WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL DEVELOP
WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND ALLOWING MORE NORMAL WEATHER WITH
WEAK WEATHER SYSTEMS BRUSHING THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TIME FOR JUST THE HIGHLIGHTS. A FRONTAL WAVE HAS BEEN
PROCEEDING NORTH ALONG THE COAST AND HAS REACHED CAPE FLATTERY.
HIGHEST WINDS AT KHQM WERE 81 MPH AT 1 AM BEFORE THE OB WAS LOST.
925 MB WINDS FORECAST UP TO 90 KT SO UPDATED THE WIND WARNING TO
INCREASE POSSIBLE GUSTS ALONG THE COAST UP TO 100 MPH. COASTAL WINDS
EXPECTED TO BACK OFF A NOTCH BY 15Z. NAM12 SHOWS A WEAKER SURGE THIS
AFTERNOON SO THE WINDS MAY GO DOWN FOR A WHILE THROUGH LATE MORNING
THEN POP-UP BRIEFLY AND NOT AS STRONG AROUND MIDDAY.

INLAND WINDS...THE MESO LOW OVER THE NE OLYMPICS HAS BEEN SLOW TO
FORM. WINDS HAVE INCREASED BUT HAVENT EVEN REACHED ADVISORY
CRITERIA YET. THE HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE EVERETT-ADMIRALTY INLET
AREA DOESNT LOOK GOOD AT THIS POINT...AND NEITHER DOES THE WIND
ADVISORY FOR PUGET SOUND SOUTHWARD. NAM12 SHOWS A PEAK IN THE
GRADIENT AROUND THE MESO LOW ABOUT 15Z SO PARTS OF THE AREA MAY
STILL REACH ADVISORY LEVELS. WITH THE WARNINGS/ADVISORIES ALREADY UP
IT WOULD BE FOOLISH TO DROP THEM BEFORE THE PEAK...SO WILL LET
THINGS RIDE. DAY SHIFT WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO DROP THEM LATER THIS
MORNING.

ACARS DATA SHOWS WINDS ALOFT SCREAMING...85 KT AT 850 MB. NOT MUCH
WIND DATA FOR THE MOUNTAINS BUT WITH WINDS ALOFT THAT STRONG...HIGH
WINDS ARE STILL A GOOD BET.

SNOW IN THE PASSES...ACARS DATA ALSO SHOWS THE FREEZING LEVEL UP TO
8000 FEET...SO HEAVY RAIN IS FALLING OVER MOST OF THE CASCADES.
HOWEVER THE PASSES STILL HAVE EAST WINDS...NEAR OR SUB-FREEZING
TEMPERATURES...AND CONTINUING HEAVY PRECIP. ROAD REPORTS SHOW
SNOQUALMIE HAS SWITCHED TO RAIN...BUT IT IS STILL SNOWING HARD AT
STEVENS. WILL EXTEND THE WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON JUST TO BE SAFE. STEVENS MAY SWITCH TO RAIN BEFORE
THEN...BUT THEN AGAIN MAYBE NOT. STRONG WINDS ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE
WINTER STORM CRITERIA.

MODELS SHOW THE MAIN FRONT PASSING THE COAST AROUND 00Z. POPS REMAIN
HIGH TONIGHT THOUGH. THE HIGHEST QPF SHOULD CONTINUE OVER THE NORTH
INTERIOR UNTIL THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND MAIN SURFACE LOW MOVE EAST
OF THE AREA MIDDAY TUESDAY. MUCH CALMER WEST FLOW WITH JUST SHOWERS
AROUND THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT/WEDNESDAY. KAM

.LONG TERM...GFS SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING W OF B.C.
WEDNESDAY...AND SHOWS IT STRONG ENOUGH BY THURSDAY FOR DRY NW FLOW
TO DEVELOP OVER W WA. MAY BE BE POSSIBLE TO DROP THE SHOWERS AND GO
WITH A DRY FORECAST AT LEAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. WILL LEAVE THAT
FOR THE DAY SHIFT. KAM

&&

.HYDRO...HUGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. ACARS SOUNDINGS SHOW THE FREEZING LEVEL
OVER KSEA HAS GONE UP RAPIDLY IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS TO NEAR
9000 FEET. SOUTHWEST WINDS IN THE 850-700MB LAYER RANGE FROM 80-100
KNOTS. THESE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO DIMINISH UNTIL AFTER 21Z.
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION IN THE NEXT 12 HOURS BUT MOIST WARM
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY KEEPING THE
PRECIPITATION GOING ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. WYNOOCHEE DAM HAS
RECEIVED 2.50 INCHES OF RAIN BETWEEN 06Z-10Z. UPDATED QPF FOR OVER 6
INCHES OF RAIN IN THE OLYMPICS FOR THE 30 HOURS AND ANYWHERE FROM 4
TO 6 INCHES IN THE CASCADES. WITH THIS AMOUNT OF PRECIPITATION ALL
MAJOR STEM RIVERS IN WESTERN WASHINGTON HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FLOOD
WITH MAJOR FLOODING POSSIBLE ON RIVERS FLOWING OFF THE OLYMPICS.
HEAVY PRECIPITATION IN THE LOWLANDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL.
WILL ADD AN URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD WARNING TO THE MIX AS WELL
THIS MORNING. FELTON

&&

.AVALANCHE...EXISTING UNSTABLE SNOWPACK STRUCTURE AND INCREASING
LOADS DUE TO STRONG WINDS...VERY HEAVY SNOW THEN RAIN...AND WARMING
TREND FULLY EXPECTED TO CAUSE THE AVALANCHE CYCLE TO CONTINUE TODAY.
BACK COUNTRY TRAVEL IN AVALANCHE TERRAIN NOT RECOMMENDED TODAY.
PLEASE SEE WWW.NWAC.US FOR DETAILS. FERBER

&&

.AVIATION...ACARS SOUNDING INDICATE STRONG SLY WINDS OF 100+ KNOTS
AT 10K FT...50 KT AT 5K FT...AND 40 KT AT 3K FT.  THIS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THROUGH 21Z...BEFORE EASING.

A MIX OF MVFR AND IFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY MON WITH MORE OR
LESS CONTINUOUS RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES.

AT KSEA...WINDS WILL LIKELY NOT INCREASE AT THE SURFACE AS MUCH AS
WAS PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. EXPECT S/SE WIND 10 TO 15 KT. STRONG WINDS
ALOFT POSSIBLY CREATING COMPRESSION ISSUES.

MERCER

&&

.MARINE...COASTAL AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS ARE INDICATING GUSTS TO 75
KT THIS MORNING. A HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR
THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY.  STRONGEST WINDS WILL EASE SOMEWHAT LATER
IN THE MORNING BUT REMAIN QUITE STRONG. GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN
EFFECT FOR ALL OTHER WATERS...ALTHOUGH IT IS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN THAT
THIS WILL MATERIALIZE. IN ADDITION...COMBINED SEAS WILL BUILD CLOSE
TO 40 FT WITH SEVERE BAR CONDITIONS...HIGH SURF...AND POSSIBLE
COASTAL FLOODING.

MERCER

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.HIGH WIND WARNING THROUGH 4 PM FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTH
 COAST...EASTERN AND WESTERN STRAIT AREA...ADMIRALTY INLET AREA...
 HOOD CANAL AREA...EVERETT AND VICINITY...LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA.
.HIGH WIND WATCH THROUGH 4 PM CASCADES AND OLYMPICS.
.WIND ADVISORY ALL OTHER LOWLAND ZONES.
.FLOOD WATCH MOST OF WESTERN WASHINGTON.
.WINTER STORM WARNING FOR THE CASCADE PASSES.
.COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR THE NORTH COAST.
.COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL COAST.
.HIGH SURF WARNING TODAY FOR THE COAST.
.HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING COASTAL WATERS TODAY.
.STORM WARNING WEST ENTRANCE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA.
.GALE WARNING ALL REMAINING WATERS TODAY.
.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ROUGH GRAYS HARBOR BAR.

WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
548 AM PST MON DEC 03 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 NE FORKS              47.96N 124.38W
12/03/2007  M58 MPH          CLALLAM            WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            58 MPH WIND GUST AT FORKS

0500 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 7 WNW CLALLAM BAY       48.29N 124.41W
12/03/2007  E90 MPH          CLALLAM            WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED SUSTAINED SOUTH WIND 60 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 90
            MPH. SPOTTER HAS ANEMOMETER BUT TOO DANGEROUS TO WALK TO
            BUILDING WHERE EQUIPMENT IS.

0500 AM     HEAVY RAIN       8 NNW SKOKOMISH         47.44N 123.21W
12/03/2007  E4.50 INCH       MASON              WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            4.5 PLUS INCHES OF RAIN IN 9 HOURS ENDING 5 AM. RAIN
            GAUGE WAS OVERFLOWING THUS REPORT IS ESTIMATED. TRUE
            AMOUNT IS HIGHER.

0528 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 N ABERDEEN            46.98N 123.83W
12/03/2007  M62 MPH          GRAYS HARBOR       WA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WIND GUST 62 MPH.

&&

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
913 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

WAZ001-503>519-031915-
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-OLYMPICS-
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-WEST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES AND PASSES-
WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES-
913 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GIVE A RISK FOR LANDSLIDES TO WESTERN
WASHINGTON THROUGH TONIGHT...

HEAVY RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE SATURATED
SOILS AROUND WESTERN WASHINGTON. HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF 0.25 TO
TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS. THIS WILL PUT EXTRA PRESSURE ON SOIL STABILITY.

INDICES DEVELOPED BY THE U.S.G.S. SHOW THAT LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING INTENSE RAINFALL OR WHEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE INCH IN
24 HOURS. OBSERVED RAINFALLS HAVE ALREADY EXCEEDED THAT AMOUNT
TODAY...INCLUDING THE SEATTLE AREA.

WHILE THE U.S.G.S. RAINFALL THRESHOLDS APPLY TO THE SEATTLE AREA OF
PUGET SOUND...MOST OF THE LOWLANDS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON ARE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES DUE TO WET SOILS. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE
TO LANDSLIDES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS AND
OTHER STEEP HILLSIDES. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT
CONDITIONS...SEE THE FOLLOWING INTERNET WEB PAGES:

HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/SEW  (FOR WEATHER FORECASTS ALL LOWER CASE)
HTTP://LANDSLIDES.USGS.GOV/MONITORING/SEATTLE/RTD/PLOT.PHP (ALL
LOWER CASE)

COLMAN/ALBRECHT
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
915 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

WAZ001-503>519-040600-
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-
EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
HOOD CANAL AREA-LOWER CHEHALIS VALLEY AREA-OLYMPICS-
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-WEST SLOPES NORTHERN CASCADES AND PASSES-
WEST SLOPES CENTRAL CASCADES AND PASSES-
915 AM PST MON DEC 3 2007

...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GIVE A RISK FOR LANDSLIDES TO WESTERN
WASHINGTON THROUGH TONIGHT...

HEAVY RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS HAVE SATURATED
SOILS AROUND WESTERN WASHINGTON. HEAVY RAINFALL RATES OF 0.25 TO
TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS. THIS WILL PUT EXTRA PRESSURE ON SOIL STABILITY.

INDICES DEVELOPED BY THE U.S.G.S. SHOW THAT LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE
DURING INTENSE RAINFALL OR WHEN RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEED ONE INCH IN
24 HOURS. OBSERVED RAINFALLS HAVE ALREADY EXCEEDED THAT AMOUNT
TODAY...INCLUDING THE SEATTLE AREA.

WHILE THE U.S.G.S. RAINFALL THRESHOLDS APPLY TO THE SEATTLE AREA OF
PUGET SOUND...MOST OF THE LOWLANDS OF WESTERN WASHINGTON ARE
SUSCEPTIBLE TO LANDSLIDES DUE TO WET SOILS. AREAS MOST SUSCEPTIBLE
TO LANDSLIDES UNDER THESE CONDITIONS ARE STEEP COASTAL BLUFFS AND
OTHER STEEP HILLSIDES. FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT CURRENT
CONDITIONS...SEE THE FOLLOWING INTERNET WEB PAGES:

HTTP://WWW.WRH.NOAA.GOV/SEW  (FOR WEATHER FORECASTS ALL LOWER CASE)
HTTP://LANDSLIDES.USGS.GOV/MONITORING/SEATTLE/RTD/PLOT.PHP (ALL
LOWER CASE)

COLMAN/ALBRECHT