Alert archive / Colorado / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2007
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Pueblo, CO
NWS Pueblo, CO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 16, 2007, 6:04 PM MDT for Chaffee County, Colorado. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 16, 2007, 6:04 PM MDT (00:04 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 16, 2007, 6:27 PM MDT
- In force
- 23 min
- Issued by
- NWS Pueblo, CO
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Chaffee County, CO
The radar
The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 5641 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -10 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WUUS55 KPUB 170004
SVRPUB
COC015-170100-
/O.NEW.KPUB.SV.W.0099.070617T0004Z-070617T0100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
604 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY IN CENTRAL COLORADO...
* UNTIL 700 PM MDT...
* AT 600 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS
CENTERED NEAR NATHROP...OR 49 MILES EAST OF GUNNISON...AND WAS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 5 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NATHROP AND RURAL AREAS OF
EAST CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY.
IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.
LAT...LON 3881 10616 3864 10614 3864 10594 3871 10596
3879 10594 3889 10600
$$3 follow-up statements
000
WWUS55 KPUB 170012
SVSPUB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
611 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
COC015-170100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-070617T0100Z/
CHAFFEE CO-
611 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY...
AT 609 PM MDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS CENTERED NEAR
NATHROP...OR 49 MILES EAST OF GUNNISON. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.
THE SEVERE STORM WILL IMPACT THE NATHROP AREA AND HIGHWAY 285
BETWEEN BUENA VISTA AND NATHROP.
IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.
LAT...LON 3881 10616 3864 10614 3864 10594 3871 10596
3879 10594 3889 10600
$$000
WWUS55 KPUB 170023
SVSPUB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
623 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
COC015-170100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-070617T0100Z/
CHAFFEE CO-
623 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY...
AT 621 PM MDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM WAS CENTERED 4 MILES EAST OF
NATHROP...AND WAS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AT 10 MPH.
THE SEVERE STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL
CHAFFEE COUNTY.
IF POSSIBLE...WITHOUT RISKING YOUR SAFETY...PROTECT PROPERTY BEFORE
THE WEATHER HITS. GET IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS. AN
INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR...OR A BASEMENT CAN OFFER THE BEST
PROTECTION.
LAT...LON 3881 10616 3864 10614 3864 10594 3871 10596
3879 10594 3889 10600
$$000
WWUS55 KPUB 170027
SVSPUB
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
628 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
COC015-170038-
/O.CAN.KPUB.SV.W.0099.000000T0000Z-070617T0100Z/
CHAFFEE CO-
628 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR EAST
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY...
HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING MAY STILL BE IN THE AREA.
LAT...LON 3881 10616 3864 10614 3864 10594 3871 10596
3879 10594 3889 10600
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 16, 3:49 PM MDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 3:49 PM MDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 349 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007 .SHORT TERM... (TONIGHT AND SUN) SHORT TERM CONCERNS INCLUDE TEMPERATURES AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE. CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATING GENERALLY WEAK NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ACROSS THE DESERT SW THROUGH THE FOUR CORNERS REGION AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO ATTM. AT THE SFC...THERMAL TROUGH ACROSS THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES KEEPING MOIST SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW IN PLACE WITH CURRENT DEW PTS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO AND IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH MT VALLEYS ATTM. WITH THE MOISTURE IN PLACE...MODEL SOUNDINGS AND CURRENT LAPS ANALYSIS INDICATING CAPE VALUES BETWEEN 1000-2500 J/KG ACROSS REGION...THOUGH A MODERATE TO STRONG CAP REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WITH CINS RANGING BETWEEN 100-200 J/KG. TONIGHT...WEAK NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE REGION TO BECOME MORE WESTERLY AS UPPER RIDGE AXIS SLIDES SOUTH IN ADVANCE OF NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE PAC NW COAST WITH WEAK LEE TROUGHING PUSHING OUT ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR. HAVE KEPT THE CURRENT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS IN PLACE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND IMMEDIATE ADJACENT PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING. WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE...WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A FEW STRONG STORMS PRODUCING HAIL TO JUST UNDER 3/4 OF AN INCH ALONG WITH WIND GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH...PULSE UP THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES. ALL CONVECTION TO DIMINISH WITH THE SUN...WITH CLEARING SKIES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. WITH CONTINUED MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO...COULD SEE SOME PATCHY STRATUS ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS OVERNIGHT...THOUGH WILL KEEP PARTLY CLOUDY WORDING WITH NO RESTRICTION TO VIS AS SHOULD BE ENOUGH WIND TO KEEP FOG OUT OF THE FORECAST. SUNDAY...WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SLOWLY INCREASES ACROSS THE REGION WITH LEE TROUGHING HELPING TO PUSHING OUT THE PERSISTENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WARM AIR ALOFT (+14C TO +18C) PERSISTING ACROSS THE REGION...AND WITH WEAK DOWNSLOPE FLOW SHOULD SEE HIGHS AROUND TODAYS READINGS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND SOME 5-10F HIGHER ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS. SHOULD SEE LESS CONVECTION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS TODAY WITH DRIER AIR IN THE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION...THOUGH CAN NOT RULE OUT ISOLATED TSRA WITH AMPLE SOLAR HEATING. ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS...MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING CAP HOLDING...THOUGH WITH POSSIBLE CONVERGENCE ALONG LEE TROUGH AND A FEW STORMS MOVING OFF THE HIGH TERRAIN...WILL KEEP ISOLATED POPS ACROSS THE PLAINS AS WELL. -MW .LONG TERM... (MON THROUGH SAT) BUSY MONITORING FOR STRONG-SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...SO LITTLE TIME FOR DISCUSSION. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND SEASONAL DIURNAL LOW PROBABILITY CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY WILL BE THE MAIN IMPACT WEATHER NEXT WEEK. METZE && .AVIATION... ISOLATED EVENING CONVECTION LOOKS TO REMAIN ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN...THOUGH COULD SEE GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS MAINLY AT ALS. PATCHY STRATUS STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN COLORADO PLAINS TONIGHT...THOUGH SHOULD BE ENOUGH DRY AIR WORKING IN ACROSS THE TAF SITES TO PRECLUDE ANY MVRF DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && 17/23
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 3:22 PM MDT, 2 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO 322 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007 COZ058>089-093>099-171300- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT- LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT- EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT- CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT- WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT- LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT- EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT- SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT- NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT- WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT- WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET- WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT- WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT- TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT- CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY- NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7500 FT- COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT- WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT- TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT- CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY- EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY- EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY- LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY- 322 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...AND HIGH VALLEYS...OF SOUTHERN COLORADO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE...WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ON SUNDAY...A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON...MOVING EASTWARD TO THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR BY EARLY EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS FOR THESE STORMS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH EASTERN COLORADO MONDAY MORNING...LEADING TO THE CHANCE OF A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR. IF STORMS DO DEVELOP...HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM THE STRONGEST STORMS...IN ADDITION TO GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. MORE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GENERALLY CONFINED TO THE MOUNTAINS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE LIKELY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. METZE
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 16, 3:14 PM MDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
314 PM MDT SAT JUN 16 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0308 PM HAIL WOODLAND PARK 38.99N 105.05W
06/16/2007 M0.75 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER
0312 PM HAIL 5 N DIVIDE 39.01N 105.15W
06/16/2007 M1.00 INCH TELLER CO TRAINED SPOTTER
HEAVY RAIN.
&&
RMGThe office that day
Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 3:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Saguache | 28 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2007Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2007
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.