Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Weather Advisories in 2007

Winter Weather Advisory 17, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 15, 2007Berks County, Lehigh County, Northampton County, Pennsylvania; 6 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Dec 15, 2007, 3:40 PM EST for Berks County, Lehigh County, Northampton County, Pennsylvania; 6 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Dec 15, 2007, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2007, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 15, 2007, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Dec 16, 2007, 9:57 AM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Northampton County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 88 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 182 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -193 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1587 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 152040
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
340 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0007.071216T0000Z-071217T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0006.071216T0300Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
340 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
4 PM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL REACH EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE
AREA BEGINS TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS
LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING
TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS
EVENING THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET BEFORE EVENTUALLY
CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN MIXED WITH SLEET LATE TONIGHT. THE
FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 3 TO 5 INCHES BEFORE
THE CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN.

ICE MAY ACCUMULATE 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH.

AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE
FROM THE SNOW SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0007.071216T0000Z-071217T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.071216T0300Z-071216T1600Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
340 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL REACH EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE
AREA BEGINS TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS
LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING
TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS
EVENING THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET BEFORE EVENTUALLY
CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHT. THE FREEZING RAIN
AND SLEET WILL THEN CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS SUNDAY MORNING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES BEFORE
CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN.

ICE MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO 1/4 INCH.

AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES. UP TO AN INCH OF ADDITIONAL SNOW IS
POSSIBLE FROM THE SNOW SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0007.071216T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.071216T0300Z-071216T1200Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
340 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY...
...WINTER STORM WATCH NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

LOW PRESSURE MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
WILL REACH EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE
AREA BEGINS TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS
LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING
TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION THIS
EVENING THEN QUICKLY MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET BEFORE
EVENTUALLY CHANGING TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL THEN CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MOST
AREAS BY OR SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE AROUND AN INCH. ICE
MAY ACCUMULATE TO AROUND 1/10 INCH.

AS THE COLDER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE BACK IN TOMORROW AFTERNOON...
THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS BEFORE
CHANGING TO SCATTERED FLURRIES IN THE EVENING.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

RPW
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 160408
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1108 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161215-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1108 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. AT TIMES THE PRECIPITATION COULD
OSCILLATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE. 
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 2 TO 3 INCHES
BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN ON SUNDAY.

ICE MAY ACCUMULATE UP TO 1/2 INCH.

AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE
FROM THE SNOW SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ012-015-161000-
/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1000Z/
MIDDLESEX-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON
1108 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CHANGE TO RAIN LATE AT NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING.
A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN.

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
OF THE REGION. THEN AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY NIGHT, IT
WILL GET QUITE WINDY AND THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161215-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1600Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
1108 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE TONIGHT. AT TIMES THE
PRECIPITATION COULD OSCILLATE BACK TO SNOW AND SLEET. 
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN SUNDAY MORNING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE UP TO AN INCH
BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN ON SUNDAY.

A THIN COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE FROM THE FREEZING RAIN.

AS THE COLDER AND DRIER AIR MOVES BACK IN LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND
THEN CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161200-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
1108 PM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SUNDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CHANGE TO RAIN TOWARD DAYBREAK SUNDAY AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE
FREEZING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER
TO RAIN.

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
OF THE REGION. THEN AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY NIGHT, IT
WILL GET QUITE WINDY AND THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

STAUBER
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 160553
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1253 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161400-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1600Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1600Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
1253 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO 
STAY IN THE MID 20S TO AROUND 30. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE 
VERY SLOWLY OVERNIGHT, THEY SHOULD STILL BE BELOW FREEZING THROUGH 
SUNRISE. ALSO, FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE AND MIX WITH 
SNOW AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT AND DEPOSIT AN ICE ACCRETION OF 1/4 
TO 1/2 INCH ALONG WITH A POSSIBLE SLEET ACCUMULATION OF AN INCH.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN SUNDAY MORNING AS 
TEMPERATURES FINALLY MOVE ABOVE FREEZING.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE 
OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. 

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE WHICH WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS 
A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE 
ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT 
CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND 
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
1253 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NO LONGER IN EFFECT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING.
THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO 
STAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. ALTHOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE 
VERY SLOWLY OVERNIGHT, THEY SHOULD STILL BE CLOSE TO FREEZING 
AROUND SUNRISE. ALSO, FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE AND MIX 
MAY WITH SNOW AT TIMES THROUGH THE NIGHT AND DEPOSIT AN ICE 
ACCRETION OF AROUND 1/4 INCH. 

IN CHESTER COUNTY, SOUTH OF THE PENNSYLVANIA TURNPIKE, TEMPERATURES 
WERE CLOSER TO FREEZING AND ONLY A LIGHT ACCUMULATION OF ICE IS 
EXPECTED THERE.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS 
TEMPERATURES FINALLY MOVE ABOVE FREEZING.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND 
THE RAIN IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE 
OVER TO FLURRIES SUNDAY NIGHT.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE WHICH WILL MOVE 
NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS 
A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE 
ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT 
CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND 
SUNDAY NIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161400-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1253 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT. AT TIMES THE PRECIPITATION COULD
OSCILLATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE. 
THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN OVER MOST AREAS SUNDAY
MORNING...WITH THE POSSIBLE EXCEPTION OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
WHERE TEMPERATURES COULD REMAIN AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 2 TO 3 INCHES
BEFORE THE CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN ON SUNDAY.

ICE SHOULD ACCUMULATE TO 1/2 INCH.

AS THE COLDER AIR MOVES BACK IN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO FLURRIES. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE
FROM THE SNOW SHOWERS.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ012-015-161000-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1000Z/
MIDDLESEX-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON
1253 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TO
EASTERN OHIO LATE TONIGHT AS A SECONDARY LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS
TO FORM OVER THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC COASTAL ZONE. THIS SECONDARY LOW
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION ON SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING TO
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY NIGHT.

RAIN WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
SYSTEM WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO 
RISE ABOVE FREEZING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE 
CHANGEOVER TO RAIN.

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
OF THE REGION. THEN AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON SUNDAY NIGHT, IT
WILL GET QUITE WINDY AND THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE SUNDAY NIGHT AND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE FROM THE CIRCULATION ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE DEPARTING
LOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

STAUBER
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 160904
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
404 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1700Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
404 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO STAY BELOW FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING. FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH TOTAL ICE
ACCRETIONS OF AROUND 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH AND SLEET TOTALS OF 1 TO
2 INCHES.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE PRECIPITATION
IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA, WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION
TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161500-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
404 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING
TO STAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ICE ACCRETIONS OF
1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH, MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN THIS MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES FINALLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO
FLURRIES TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA, WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION
TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161715-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
404 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA, WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION
TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. AT TIMES THE
PRECIPITATION COULD OSCILLATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND A SNOW AND
SLEET MIXTURE. THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE
TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES
STRUGGLE TO REACH FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ012-015-161200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
MIDDLESEX-MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON
404 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA, WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION
TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

RAIN WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN.

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
OF THE REGION. THEN AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN TONIGHT... IT WILL GET
QUITE WINDY AND THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE
AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

VM/RS
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 161116
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

PAZ067-161230-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
CHESTER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEST CHESTER
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

TEMPERATURES ARE AT OR ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING AND
THEREFORE THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR DRIZZLE. HOWEVER, THERE MAY STILL
BE SLIPPERY AREAS DUE TO FREEZING RAIN WHICH FELL OVERNIGHT.

$$

NJZ015-161230-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1200Z/
MERCER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...TRENTON
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ARE AT OR ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING AND
THEREFORE THE WARNING IS CANCELLED. ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION
SHOULD BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR DRIZZLE. HOWEVER, THERE MAY STILL
BE SLIPPERY AREAS DUE TO FREEZING RAIN WHICH FELL OVERNIGHT.

$$

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161930-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA...WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR
REGION TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

SNOW SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING AND INTO THIS AFTERNOON. AT TIMES
THE PRECIPITATION COULD OSCILLATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND A
SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE. THE PRECIPITATION MIGHT CHANGE TO RAIN
BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO REACH FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1700Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO STAY BELOW FREEZING EARLY THIS MORNING. FREEZING
RAIN AND SLEET WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH TOTAL ICE
ACCRETIONS OF AROUND 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH AND SLEET TOTALS OF
1 TO 2 INCHES.

BERKS COUNTY WILL SEE TOTAL ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 INCH TO 3/4
INCH.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR
REGION TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ009-010-PAZ068-069-161500-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES CONTINUING
TO STAY IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING WITH ICE ACCRETIONS OF
1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH... MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN THIS MORNING AS
TEMPERATURES FINALLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO
FLURRIES TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR
REGION TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ012-161500-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
MIDDLESEX-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEW BRUNSWICK
616 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA... WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR
REGION TODAY BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

RAIN WITH AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE AND SLEET
IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN.

THE RAIN SHOULD TAPER OFF THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
OF THE REGION. THEN AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN TONIGHT... IT WILL GET
QUITE WINDY AND THERE COULD BE SOME SNOW FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

VM/RS
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 161457
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

NJZ009-010-PAZ068-069-161700-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0018.071216T1457Z-071216T1700Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
957 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES ARE BEGINNING TO WARM ACROSS THE AREA,
HOWEVER, SOME AREAS ARE STILL HOVERING AROUND THE FREEZING MARK.
PERIODS OF RAIN, FREEZING RAIN, AND OCCASIONAL SLEET WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NOON HOUR WITH A SLIGHT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION...
MAINLY IN THE NORTHERN AREAS AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE RAIN IS
EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN CHANGE OVER TO
FLURRIES TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

NJZ012-161600-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-071216T1500Z/
MIDDLESEX-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...NEW BRUNSWICK
957 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING AND ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. WHILE
POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET ARE POSSIBLE FOR A BRIEF TIME
THIS MORNING, MOST PRECIPITATION THAT FALLS SHOULD BE IN THE FORM
OF RAIN.

$$

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-162100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T2100Z/
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
957 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET, AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE AREA. AT TIMES THE PRECIPITATION COULD
OSCILLATE BETWEEN FREEZING RAIN AND A SNOW AND SLEET MIXTURE. THE
PRECIPITATION MIGHT CHANGE TO RAIN BEFORE TAPERING OFF TO SNOW
SHOWERS DURING THE AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES STRUGGLE TO REACH
FREEZING.

THE SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE.  THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-071216T1700Z/
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
957 AM EST SUN DEC 16 2007

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

THE COLD AIR CONTINUES TO HOLD IN PLACE WITH TEMPERATURES
CONTINUING TO STAY BELOW FREEZING THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING WITH TOTAL ICE ACCRETIONS OF
AROUND 1/4 INCH TO 1/2 INCH AND SLEET TOTALS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES.

BERKS COUNTY WILL SEE TOTAL ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 INCH TO
3/4 INCH.

COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN TODAY AND THE
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO RAIN SHOWERS AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY FROM THE REGION.

THE CAUSE FOR THE WINTRY WEATHER IS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE
DELMARVA..WHICH WILL INTENSIFY AS IT CROSSES OUR REGION TODAY
BEFORE MOVING TO COASTAL NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SLEET...AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

ROBERTSON

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Dec 15, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1153 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN STATES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...AND REDEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA SUNDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AND BECOME
QUITE INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH CLOUDS WERE PATCHY OVER THE AREA AT MIDDAY, AS WEAK SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WAS IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING THE REGION, AND THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS WAS JUST ABOUT PAST THE COAST. THE ALTOSTRATUS
CLOUDS SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE
AFTERNOON, WITH CEILINGS GRADUALLY LOWERING. LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP AS IT MOVES FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO TENNESSEE
TODAY. WHILE THIS IS HAPPENING, HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND
WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL COLD AIR SOUTH OVER THE REGION. THE
COMBINATION MEANS THAT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND IT WILL BE
COLD. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE THOUGHT TO BE ONLY A FEW DEGREES
AWAY FROM THE 15Z READINGS, SO SOME ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE.
AROUND SUNSET, THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT FLURRIES OR A BIT A
SLEET STARTING TO MOVE IN FROM THE LOW TO THE WEST, BUT THE MAIN
PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 6 PM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN KEPT AS WAS ISSUED EARLIER. THERE
IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER WE WILL GET ENOUGH FREEZING
RAIN TO MEET CRITERIA. SOUNDINGS SUGGEST QUITE A BIT OF SLEET
BEFORE CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN.

IN AREAS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WATCH,
INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA, A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED FOR EARLY TONIGHT. I DECIDED TO HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES THIS PACKAGE AS EACH MODEL RUN SEEMS
WARMER AND THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT FLOW FROM THE OCEAN MAY
SAVE THE DAY AND LIMIT FREEZING RAIN COVERAGE.

TONIGHT, WARM AIR STREAMS IN ALOFT CHANGING ALL PRECIPITATION TO RAIN FROM
PHL S/E AND TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN TO THE N/W OF PHL. THE COLD
LOW LEVEL AIR HOLDS FIRM TO THE N/W FOR AWHILE AND SHOULD BE DEEP
ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR CONSIDERABLE SLEET RATHER THAN A LONG PERIOD
OF HEAVY FREEZING RAIN. AT LEAST THATS MY REASONING. LATE TONIGHT,
THE COLD AIR EVENTUALLY ERODES AND TEMPS RISE EVEN NORTH.

WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES SUNDAY MORNING AS A SECONDARY LOW FROM
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA INTENSIFIES AND MOVES NORTH OVER THE REGION.
ALL BUT THE POCONOS/NRN NJ AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LEHIGH
VALLEY SHOULD MOVE ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY MORNING ALLOWING MOST OF
THE PCP TO FALL AS RAIN. THEN SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AFTER THE LOW
MOVES TO THE NORTH, THE WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO NW AND BRING IN
COLDER WEATHER ONCE AGAIN. SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE NORTH
AND COULD LEAVE AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IN THE AFTN.

FINALLY, SUNDAY NIGHT WILL SEE COLD NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP
TO 45 MPH WITH A STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE
DEPARTING INTENSE LOW.

THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF
STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS POTENTIAL
STORM. THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL AND ICE IS TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

====================================================================

           PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
         THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)

====================================================================
STATION      2IN      4IN      6IN      9IN     12IN
====================================================================

MPO          80       35        5       <0       <5
ABE          40        5       <5       <5       <5
PHL          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5
ACY          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5
GED          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5

====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.

STATION IDENTIFIERS:

MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
ACY - ATLANTIC CITY, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
THEN OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE. THEN
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY, THERE IS ANOTHER NEXT POTENTIAL
PRECIPITATION MAKER AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST FROM THE MIDWEST.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH ABOUT 00Z TONIGHT.
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL THEN FALL INTO THE MARGINAL VFR
RANGE AS LIGHT PRECIPITATION BEGINS. AT THE ONSET, SNOW IS
EXPECTED ACROSS KABE AND KRDG, SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE DELAWARE VALLEY, AND RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AT KMIV AND
KACY. BY AROUND MIDNIGHT, A CHANGE FROM SNOW TO SLEET IS EXPECTED
AT KABE AND KRDG. AS DAYBREAK APPROACHES, FREEZING RAIN THEN
BECOMES THE MAIN THREAT AS WARMER AIR INTRUDES AT LOWER AND MID
LEVELS. ACROSS THE DELAWARE VALLEY, A TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX,
AND THEN TO RAIN, IS EXPECTED. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH, THE CHANGEOVER
TO ALL RAIN WILL TAKE PLACE SEVERAL HOURS SOONER. AT THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD, IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL PICK
UP AS WELL.

SYNOPTICALLY, LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES
OVER OUR REGION SUNDAY. AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY TO OUR NORTHEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN OUR
REGION. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY, AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM
SHOULD SLIDE NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY, LEAVING US WITH
BASICALLY A VFR OUTLOOK BEYOND SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. AT THE SAME TIME, LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO
THE NORTHEAST WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN
CAROLINAS TONIGHT. THE SECONDARY LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST, PASSING OVER OUR REGION SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING UP
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIME
PROVINCES SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH
THE REGION, WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WAS DROPPED IN FAVOR OF JUST GOING WITH A GALE WARNING, AS GALE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS, AND WE FEEL IT PRUDENT TO
EMPHASIZE THESE CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS SO AS TO GIVE THEM
SUFFICIENT TIME TO RESPOND. THE GALES CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     EVENING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ067>069.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     EVENING FOR NJZ001-007-008.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ009-010.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NJZ012>014-026.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA / STAUBER
NEAR TERM... / STAUBER
SHORT TERM...STAUBER
LONG TERM...STAUBER
AVIATION...KRUZDLO /
MARINE... / KRUZDLO
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING.../ KRUZDLO
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 11:35 AM EST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161700-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET
AND THEN CHANGING OVER TO A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXTURE. HEAVY
SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/2 INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CONTINUE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161700-
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET
AND THEN CHANGING OVER TO A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXTURE. THERE
COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET BEFORE THE FREEZING
RAIN DEVELOPS. HEAVY SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN MOST AREAS SUNDAY
MORNING, BUT SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS MIGHT HOLD SOME
FREEZING RAIN LONGER THAN IN THE VALLEYS.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161700-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING OVER THE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE COULD BE A
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET BEFORE CHANGING THE FREEZING
RAIN DEVELOPS. HEAVY SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/4 INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

FREEZING RAIN SHOULD TURN TO RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ015-161700-
MERCER-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING TO RAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-161700-
MIDDLESEX-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING TO RAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>020-027-PAZ070-071-161700-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION THIS
EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-161700-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION THIS
EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-026-161700-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-161700-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-161700-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 3:40 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton24 hr
Dec 15, 4:45 PM ESTHigh Wind WatchPHIBerks, Carbon, Delaware, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton and 1 more12 hr
Dec 15, 3:30 PM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Middlesex, Monmouth, Ocean24 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2007Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2007Every winter weather advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.