Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Advisories in 2007

Coastal Flood Advisory 26, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

December 15, 20076 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood advisory at Dec 15, 2007, 3:30 PM EST for 6 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Dec 16, 2007, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2007, 3:30 PM EST (20:30 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 16, 2007, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Dec 16, 2007, 3:00 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 179 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2007-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -193 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1587 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-193 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
90 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood advisory went out at Dec 15, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 11:53 AM EST, 3 hours 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1153 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD FROM THE SOUTHERN STATES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT...AND REDEVELOP OVER SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA SUNDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN RAPIDLY AND BECOME
QUITE INTENSE AS IT CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD INTO NEW ENGLAND
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING FAIR WEATHER FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH CLOUDS WERE PATCHY OVER THE AREA AT MIDDAY, AS WEAK SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WAS IN THE PROCESS OF EXITING THE REGION, AND THE
UPPER RIDGE AXIS WAS JUST ABOUT PAST THE COAST. THE ALTOSTRATUS
CLOUDS SHOULD OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM THE SOUTHWEST FOR THE
AFTERNOON, WITH CEILINGS GRADUALLY LOWERING. LOW PRESSURE WILL
DEVELOP AS IT MOVES FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO TENNESSEE
TODAY. WHILE THIS IS HAPPENING, HIGH PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND
WILL CONTINUE TO FUNNEL COLD AIR SOUTH OVER THE REGION. THE
COMBINATION MEANS THAT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AND IT WILL BE
COLD. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE THOUGHT TO BE ONLY A FEW DEGREES
AWAY FROM THE 15Z READINGS, SO SOME ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE.
AROUND SUNSET, THERE COULD BE SOME LIGHT FLURRIES OR A BIT A
SLEET STARTING TO MOVE IN FROM THE LOW TO THE WEST, BUT THE MAIN
PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 6 PM.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN KEPT AS WAS ISSUED EARLIER. THERE
IS STILL UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER WE WILL GET ENOUGH FREEZING
RAIN TO MEET CRITERIA. SOUNDINGS SUGGEST QUITE A BIT OF SLEET
BEFORE CHANGEOVER TO FREEZING RAIN.

IN AREAS JUST TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WATCH,
INCLUDING THE PHILADELPHIA METROPOLITAN AREA, A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY
WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED FOR EARLY TONIGHT. I DECIDED TO HOLD OFF
ON ISSUING ANY ADVISORIES THIS PACKAGE AS EACH MODEL RUN SEEMS
WARMER AND THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT FLOW FROM THE OCEAN MAY
SAVE THE DAY AND LIMIT FREEZING RAIN COVERAGE.

TONIGHT, WARM AIR STREAMS IN ALOFT CHANGING ALL PRECIPITATION TO RAIN FROM
PHL S/E AND TO SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN TO THE N/W OF PHL. THE COLD
LOW LEVEL AIR HOLDS FIRM TO THE N/W FOR AWHILE AND SHOULD BE DEEP
ENOUGH TO ALLOW FOR CONSIDERABLE SLEET RATHER THAN A LONG PERIOD
OF HEAVY FREEZING RAIN. AT LEAST THATS MY REASONING. LATE TONIGHT,
THE COLD AIR EVENTUALLY ERODES AND TEMPS RISE EVEN NORTH.

WARM ADVECTION CONTINUES SUNDAY MORNING AS A SECONDARY LOW FROM
SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA INTENSIFIES AND MOVES NORTH OVER THE REGION.
ALL BUT THE POCONOS/NRN NJ AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE LEHIGH
VALLEY SHOULD MOVE ABOVE FREEZING SUNDAY MORNING ALLOWING MOST OF
THE PCP TO FALL AS RAIN. THEN SUNDAY AFTERNOON, AFTER THE LOW
MOVES TO THE NORTH, THE WINDS WILL COME AROUND TO NW AND BRING IN
COLDER WEATHER ONCE AGAIN. SOME SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE NORTH
AND COULD LEAVE AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION IN THE AFTN.

FINALLY, SUNDAY NIGHT WILL SEE COLD NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS UP
TO 45 MPH WITH A STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE
DEPARTING INTENSE LOW.

THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF
STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS POTENTIAL
STORM. THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL AND ICE IS TONIGHT INTO
SUNDAY.

====================================================================

           PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
         THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)

====================================================================
STATION      2IN      4IN      6IN      9IN     12IN
====================================================================

MPO          80       35        5       <0       <5
ABE          40        5       <5       <5       <5
PHL          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5
ACY          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5
GED          <5       <5       <5       <5       <5

====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.

STATION IDENTIFIERS:

MPO - MOUNT POCONO, PA (MOUNT POCONO AIRPORT)
ABE - ALLENTOWN, PA (LEHIGH VALLEY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
PHL - PHILADELPHIA, PA (PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
ACY - ATLANTIC CITY, NJ (ATLANTIC CITY INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT)
GED - GEORGETOWN, DE (SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT)

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE REGION MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
THEN OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY ALLOWING FOR DRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE. THEN
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY, THERE IS ANOTHER NEXT POTENTIAL
PRECIPITATION MAKER AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES EAST FROM THE MIDWEST.

&&

.AVIATION /17Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH ABOUT 00Z TONIGHT.
CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL THEN FALL INTO THE MARGINAL VFR
RANGE AS LIGHT PRECIPITATION BEGINS. AT THE ONSET, SNOW IS
EXPECTED ACROSS KABE AND KRDG, SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE DELAWARE VALLEY, AND RAIN AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED AT KMIV AND
KACY. BY AROUND MIDNIGHT, A CHANGE FROM SNOW TO SLEET IS EXPECTED
AT KABE AND KRDG. AS DAYBREAK APPROACHES, FREEZING RAIN THEN
BECOMES THE MAIN THREAT AS WARMER AIR INTRUDES AT LOWER AND MID
LEVELS. ACROSS THE DELAWARE VALLEY, A TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX,
AND THEN TO RAIN, IS EXPECTED. FURTHER TO THE SOUTH, THE CHANGEOVER
TO ALL RAIN WILL TAKE PLACE SEVERAL HOURS SOONER. AT THE END OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD, IFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. WINDS WILL PICK
UP AS WELL.

SYNOPTICALLY, LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT PASSES
OVER OUR REGION SUNDAY. AS THE STORM MOVES AWAY TO OUR NORTHEAST
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, WINDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE IN OUR
REGION. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY, AS HIGH
PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. A CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM
SHOULD SLIDE NORTH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY, LEAVING US WITH
BASICALLY A VFR OUTLOOK BEYOND SUNDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. AT THE SAME TIME, LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO
THE NORTHEAST WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN
CAROLINAS TONIGHT. THE SECONDARY LOW WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TO
THE NORTHEAST, PASSING OVER OUR REGION SUNDAY BEFORE MOVING UP
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS OF NEW ENGLAND AND THE CANADIAN MARITIME
PROVINCES SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW APPROACHES AND PASSES THROUGH
THE REGION, WINDS AND SEAS WILL BUILD. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
WAS DROPPED IN FAVOR OF JUST GOING WITH A GALE WARNING, AS GALE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS, AND WE FEEL IT PRUDENT TO
EMPHASIZE THESE CONDITIONS FOR MARINERS SO AS TO GIVE THEM
SUFFICIENT TIME TO RESPOND. THE GALES CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     EVENING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR PAZ067>069.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     EVENING FOR NJZ001-007-008.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
     MORNING FOR NJZ009-010.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NJZ012>014-026.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA / STAUBER
NEAR TERM... / STAUBER
SHORT TERM...STAUBER
LONG TERM...STAUBER
AVIATION...KRUZDLO /
MARINE... / KRUZDLO
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING.../ KRUZDLO
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 11:35 AM EST, 3 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-161700-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET
AND THEN CHANGING OVER TO A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXTURE. HEAVY
SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/2 INCH OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN COULD CONTINUE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ007-008-PAZ060>062-161700-
WARREN-MORRIS-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE MIXING WITH SLEET
AND THEN CHANGING OVER TO A SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MIXTURE. THERE
COULD BE A SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET BEFORE THE FREEZING
RAIN DEVELOPS. HEAVY SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET SHOULD CHANGE TO RAIN MOST AREAS SUNDAY
MORNING, BUT SOME OF THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS MIGHT HOLD SOME
FREEZING RAIN LONGER THAN IN THE VALLEYS.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-PAZ067>069-161700-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

SNOW AND SLEET ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING OVER THE SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. THERE COULD BE A
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATION OF SLEET BEFORE CHANGING THE FREEZING
RAIN DEVELOPS. HEAVY SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED BUT 1/4 INCH OF
FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

FREEZING RAIN SHOULD TURN TO RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES INTO SUNDAY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ015-161700-
MERCER-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING TO RAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-161700-
MIDDLESEX-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING BEFORE
CHANGING TO RAIN TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>020-027-PAZ070-071-161700-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION THIS
EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-161700-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW AND SLEET ARE POSSIBLE WITH LITTLE IF ANY ACCUMULATION THIS
EVENING BEFORE CHANGING TO RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-026-161700-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLY SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION. STRONG WINDS MAY PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE SUNDAY.

GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-161700-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...EASTERN MARYLAND...NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

HEAVY RAIN MAY OCCUR SUNDAY MORNING. GUSTY WINDS TO 45 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-161700-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1135 AM EST SAT DEC 15 2007

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 3:40 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren24 hr
Dec 15, 3:40 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Warren18 hr
Dec 15, 4:45 PM ESTHigh Wind WatchPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 10 more12 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2007Every coastal flood advisory in 2007

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.