Severe Thunderstorm Warning 339, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
934 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

.DISCUSSION...
THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA HAVE
DECREASED IN COVERAGE AFTER SUNSET. HOWEVER THE STORMS OUT WEST
HAVE ORGANIZED A BIT MORE AND LOOK TO PERSIST LONGER INTO THE
NIGHT. WILL BE UPDATING ZONES TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT RADAR TRENDS
FOR THIS EVENING... AND TO INCREASE POPS SLIGHTLY IN THE NORTHWEST
FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007/

SHORT TERM...
VERY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXIST ACROSS S OK AND N TX WITH SFC
DEWPOINTS IN LOW 70S AND SBCAPE 3000-4500 J/KG. REMNANT WARM FRONT
LIES SOMEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL OR S OK BUT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT.
LACK OF A WELL-DEFINED CONVECTIVE FOCUS AND WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR STORM SCALE ORGANIZATION AND WILL LIKELY
LEAD TO RELATIVELY SHORT-LIVED MULTICELL PULSE STORMS. HIGH CAPES
WILL SUPPORT HAIL/MICROBURSTS WITH A FEW STORMS. AREAS FROM I-40 S
HAVE BEEN UPPED TO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING.
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WILL LIFT N INTO CENTRAL OK BY EARLY EVENING
AS HIGHER DEWPOINTS AND INSTABILITY SPREAD N... BUT CONVECTIVE
POTENTIAL WILL DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AS LOW LEVELS COOL/STABILIZE.
WILL MAINTAIN LOW POPS AREAWIDE THROUGH MID-LATE EVENING. SIMILAR
CONDITIONS PROGGED ON SUNDAY WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY AND WEAK
CAP.

LONG TERM...
UPPER LOW CURRENTLY OFF THE S CA COAST WILL BE THE MAIN PLAYER LATER
IN THE WEEK AS IT ARRIVES IN THE PLAINS. LATEST MED-RANGE MODEL
TRENDS HAVE THIS LOW OPENING UP AND EJECTING TO NEAR COLORADO BY
AROUND TUESDAY BEFORE CLOSING OFF AGAIN AND LOITERING OVER THE
CENTRAL OR S PLAINS WELL INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. HIGHEST
POPS WILL BE KEPT IN THE WED/WED NIGHT TIME FRAME... DURING WHICH
TIME MOST OF THE MODELS BRING A FRONT SLOWLY INTO OR THROUGH THE
AREA. BEYOND THU... OPERATIONAL 12Z GFS HAS LIMITED SUPPORT FROM ITS
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AS FAR AS CUTTING OFF A 500MB LOW OVER OR NEAR OK.
MAJORITY OF THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE THIS SYSTEM FARTHER E OR SE...
FROM TX INTO THE LOWER OR MID MS VALLEY BY LATE THU. ALTHOUGH THE
GFS HAS MORE SUPPORT FROM THE 12Z ECMWF... AND TO SOME EXTENT THE
06Z DGEX... WILL OPT TO KEEP PRECIP OUT OF THE FORECAST FROM THU
NIGHT INTO NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPS IN LATER PERIODS ARE FROM THE 12 MEX
WITH ONLY SMALL ADJUSTMENTS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  70  88  71  89 /  10  20  10  20
HOBART OK         69  91  70  93 /  20  20  10  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  89  72  91 /  10  20  10  20
GAGE OK           67  88  67  90 /  20  20  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     70  89  71  90 /  30  20  10  20
DURANT OK         71  89  70  89 /  10  20  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1015 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

OKZ007-100330-
GRANT OK-
1015 PM CDT SAT JUN 9 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR GRANT COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MEDFORD AT 1015 PM CDT...
MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

SMALL HAIL AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN GRANT COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY
AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

OKZ004-100715-
HARPER OK-
155 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR HARPER COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTH OF SELMAN AT 155 AM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY.

PEOPLE IN HARPER COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

JAMES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
157 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

OKZ005>007-100715-
WOODS OK-ALFALFA OK-GRANT OK-
157 AM CDT SUN JUN 10 2007

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR ALFALFA...GRANT AND WOODS
COUNTIES.

AT 157 AM...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM
LOOKOUT...TO NEAR CONWAY SPRINGS IN KANSAS...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.
THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO NORTHERN PARTS OF
WOODS...ALFALFA...AND GRANT COUNTIES THROUGH 230 AM. MARGINALLY
SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE.

PEOPLE IN ALFALFA...GRANT AND WOODS COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
ALVA...SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR
WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

JAMES